Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-g7gxr Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-15T12:03:18.116Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Dynamic Moral Hazard and Risk-Shifting Incentives in a Leveraged Firm

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  16 October 2019

Alejandro Rivera*
Affiliation:
Rivera, axr150331@utdallas.edu, University of Texas at Dallas Department of Finance and Managerial Economics
*
Rivera (corresponding author), axr150331@utdallas.edu

Abstract

I develop an analytically tractable model that integrates the risk-shifting problem between bondholders and shareholders with the moral-hazard problem between shareholders and the manager. An optimal contract binds shareholders and the manager, and this contract’s flexibility allows shareholders to relax the manager’s incentive constraint following a “good” profitability shock. Thus, the optimal contract amplifies the upside and thereby increases shareholder appetite for risk shifting. Whereas some empirical studies find a positive relation between risk shifting and leverage, others find a negative relation. This model predicts a non-monotonic relation between risk shifting and leverage and can reconcile these contradictory empirical findings.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Michael G. Foster School of Business, University of Washington 2019

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

I am extremely grateful to Simon Gilchrist, Francois Gourio, Dirk Hackbarth, Jianjun Miao, and Berardino Palazzo for their valuable advice and encouragement. I also thank an anonymous referee, Rui Albuquerque, Andrea Buffa, Jerome Detemple, Mehmet Eckmekci (discussant), Stefania Garetto, Sambuddha Ghosh, Adam Guren, Jarrad Harford (the editor), Robert King, Nobuhiro Kiyotaki, Raymond Leung (discussant), Gustavo Manso, Alisdair Mckay, Juan Ortner, Ander Perez, Catalina Rivera, Yuliy Sannikov, Giorgo Sertsios, Enrique Schroth, James Thomson, Laura Veldkamp, Tak Wang, Toni Whited, and seminar participants at Boston University, Bank of Colombia, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Northeastern University, Universidad de los Andes, Universidad Javeriana, Quebec University, City University of London, the 2015 Finance Theory Group Summer School, the 2015 Green Line Macro Meeting Conference, and the 2014 Istanbul Conference of Economics and Finance for very helpful comments.

References

Albuquerque, R., and Hopenhayn, H.. “Optimal Lending Contracts and Firm Dynamics.” Review of Economic Studies, 71 (2004), 285315.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Andrade, G., and Kaplan, S. N.. “How Costly Is Financial (Not Economic) Distress? Evidence from Highly Leveraged Transactions That Became Distressed.” Journal of Finance, 53 (1998), 14431493.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Becker, B., and Strömberg, P.. “Fiduciary Duties and Equity-Debtholder Conflicts.” Review of Financial Studies, 25 (2012), 19311969.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Biais, B.; Mariotti, T.; Plantin, G.; and Rochet, J.-C.. “Dynamic Security Design: Convergence to Continuous Time and Asset Pricing Implications.” Review of Economic Studies, 74 (2007), 345390.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Biais, B.; Mariotti, T.; Rochet, J.-C.; and Villeneuve, S.. “Large Risks, Limited Liability, and Dynamic Moral Hazard.” Econometrica, 78 (2010), 73118.Google Scholar
Brealey, R. A.; Myers, S. C.; and Allen, F.. Corporate Finance. New York, NY: McGraw-Hill/Irwin (2006).Google Scholar
Brunnermeier, M. K., and Sannikov, Y.. “A Macroeconomic Model with a Financial Sector.” American Economic Review, 104 (2014), 379421.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cvitanić, J., and Zhang, J.. Contract Theory in Continuous-Time Models. Berlin, Germany: Springer-Verlag (2012).Google Scholar
DeMarzo, P., and Fishman, M.. “Agency and Optimal Investment Dynamics.” Review of Financial Studies, 20 (2007a), 151188.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
DeMarzo, P., and Fishman, M.. “Optimal Long-Term Financial Contracting.” Review of Financial Studies, 20 (2007b), 20792128.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
DeMarzo, P. M.; Fishman, M.; He, Z.; and Wang, N.. “Dynamic Agency and the q Theory of Investment.” Journal of Finance, 67 (2012), 22952340.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
DeMarzo, P. M., and Sannikov, Y.. “Optimal Security Design and Dynamic Capital Structure in a Continuous-Time Agency Model.” Journal of Finance, 61 (2006), 26812724.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
DeMarzo, P., and Sannikov, Y.. “Learning, Termination, and Payout Policy in Dynamic Incentive Contracts.” Review of Economic Studies, 84 (2016), 182236.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Eisdorfer, A.Empirical Evidence of Risk Shifting in Financially Distressed Firms.” Journal of Finance, 63 (2008), 609637.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Eisdorfer, A.Convertible Debt and Risk-Shifting Incentives.” Journal of Financial Research, 32 (2009), 423447.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ericsson, J.Asset Substitution, Debt Pricing, Optimal Leverage and Maturity.” Finance, 21 (2000), 3970.Google Scholar
Gilje, E. P.Do Firms Engage in Risk-Shifting? Empirical Evidence.” Review of Financial Studies, 29 (2016), 29252954.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gryglewicz, S., and Hartman-Glaser, B.. “Dynamic Agency and Real Options.” Working Paper, Erasmus University Rotterdam and University of California Los Angeles (2014).Google Scholar
He, Z.Optimal Executive Compensation When Firm Size Follows Geometric Brownian Motion.” Review of Financial Studies, 22 (2009), 859892.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
He, Z.A Model of Dynamic Compensation and Capital Structure.” Journal of Financial Economics, 100 (2011), 351366.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
He, Z., and Krishnamurthy, A.. “Intermediary Asset Pricing.” American Economic Review, 103 (2013), 732–70.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
He, Z.; Wei, B.; Yu, J.; and Gao, F.. “Optimal Long-Term Contracting with Learning.” Review of Financial Studies, 30 (2017), 20062065.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hernández-Lagos, P.; Povel, P.; and Sertsios, G.. “An Experimental Analysis of Risk-Shifting Behavior.” Review of Corporate Finance Studies, 6 (2017), 68101.Google Scholar
Hoffmann, F., and Pfeil, S.. “Delegated Investment in a Dynamic Agency Model.” Working Paper, University of Frankfurt (2013).Google Scholar
Holmstrom, B., and Milgrom, P.. “Aggregation and Linearity in the Provision of Intertemporal Incentives.” Econometrica, 55 (1987), 303328.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jensen, M. C., and Meckling, W. H.. “Agency Costs and the Theory of the Firm.” Journal of Financial Economics, 3 (1976), 305360.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
John, T. A., and John, K.. “Top-Management Compensation and Capital Structure.” Journal of Finance, 48 (1993), 949974.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ju, N., and Wan, X.. “Optimal Compensation and Pay-Performance Sensitivity in a Continuous-Time Principal–Agent Model.” Management Science, 58 (2012), 641657.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Karatzas, I., and Shreve, S. E.. Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus. 2nd edNew York, NY: Springer-Verlag (1991).Google Scholar
Landier, A.; Sraer, D.; and Thesmar, D.. “The Risk-Shifting Hypothesis: Evidence from Subprime Originations.” Working Paper, HEC, University of California Berkeley, Princeton University, and Massachusetts Institute of Technology (2015).Google Scholar
Leland, H. E.Corporate Debt Value, Bond Covenants, and Optimal Capital Structure.” Journal of Finance, 49 (1994), 12131252.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Leland, H. E.Agency Costs, Risk Management, and Capital Structure.” Journal of Finance, 53 (1998), 12131243.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Miao, J., and Rivera, A.. “Robust Contracts in Continuous Time.” Econometrica, 84 (2016), 14051440.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ou-Yang, H.Optimal Contracts in a Continuous-Time Delegated Portfolio Management Problem.” Review of Financial Studies, 16 (2003), 173208.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Parrino, R.; Poteshman, A. M.; and Weisbach, M. S.. “Measuring Investment Distortions When Risk-Averse Managers Decide Whether to Undertake Risky Projects.” Financial Management, 34 (2005), 2160.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Parrino, R., and Weisbach, M. S.. “Measuring Investment Distortions Arising from Stockholder–Bondholder Conflicts.” Journal of Financial Economics, 53 (1999), 342.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Piskorski, T., and Tchistyi, A.. “Optimal Mortgage Design.” Review of Financial Studies, 23 (2010), 30983140.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Piskorski, T., and Westerfield, M. M.. “Optimal Dynamic Contracts with Moral Hazard and Costly Monitoring.” Journal of Economic Theory, 166 (2016), 242281.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Prat, J., and Jovanovic, B.. “Dynamic Contracts When the Agent’s Quality Is Unknown.” Theoretical Economics, 9 (2014), 865914.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rauh, J. D.Risk Shifting Versus Risk Management: Investment Policy in Corporate Pension Plans.” Review of Financial Studies, 22 (2009), 26872733.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sannikov, Y.A Continuous-Time Version of the Principal-Agent Problem.” Review of Economic Studies, 75 (2008), 957984.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schattler, H., and Sung, J.. “The First-Order Approach to the Continuous-Time Principal-Agent Problem with Exponential Utility.” Journal of Economic Theory, 61 (1993), 331371.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Spear, S. E., and Srivastava, S.. “On Repeated Moral Hazard with Discounting.” Review of Economic Studies, 54 (1987), 599617.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Subramanian, A.Carrots or Sticks? Optimal Compensation for Firm Managers.” In Presentation at the 7th Annual International Real Options Conference Program, Washington, DC, (2003).Google Scholar
Szydlowski, M.“Ambiguity in Dynamic Contracts.” Working Paper, Northwestern University (2012).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Szydlowski, M.“Incentives, Project Choice and Dynamic Multitasking.” Discussion Paper No. 1525, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science (2015).Google Scholar
Williams, N.“On Dynamic Principal-Agent Problems in Continuous Time.” Working Paper, University of Wisconsin–Madison (2009).Google Scholar
Williams, N.Persistent Private Information.” Econometrica, 79 (2011), 12331274.Google Scholar
Zhang, Y.Dynamic Contracting with Persistent Shocks.” Journal of Economic Theory, 144 (2009), 635675.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Zhu, J.Optimal Contracts with Shirking.” Review of Economic Studies, 80 (2013), 812839.CrossRefGoogle Scholar