Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-g7gxr Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-15T09:42:32.334Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Passive versus Active Fund Performance: Do Index Funds Have Skill?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 February 2018

Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

We apply methods designed to measure mutual fund skill to a cross section of funds that is unlikely to exhibit managerial portfolio selection skill: index funds. Surprisingly, these tests imply index fund skill exists, is persistent, and is in similar proportion as in active funds. We use the distribution of passive fund performance to gauge the incremental ability of active managers. Outperformance by top active funds is lower when benchmarked to the index fund distribution and disappears when we account for residual risk. Stochastic dominance tests suggest no risk-averse investor should choose a random active fund over a random index fund.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Michael G. Foster School of Business, University of Washington 2018 

Footnotes

1

We thank Kerry Back, Jonathan Berk, Hendrik Bessembinder (the editor), Martijn Cremers, David De Angelis, Stephen Dimmock, Hitesh Doshi, Nick Hirschey, Nishad Kapadia, Andy Koch, Sebastien Michenaud, Dermot Murphy, Barbara Ostdiek, Sugata Ray, Jonathan Reuter, Jules van Binsbergen, James Weston, Eric Zitzewitz (the referee), and seminar/conference participants at Rice University, the 2014 Lone Star Finance Conference, the 2014 Conference on Financial Economics and Accounting, and the 2016 Financial Intermediation Research Society Conference for helpful discussions and comments.

References

Angrist, J. D., and Pischke, J.-S.. Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist’s Companion. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press (2008).Google Scholar
Barras, L.; Scaillet, O.; and Wermers, R.. “False Discoveries in Mutual Fund Performance: Measuring Luck in Estimated Alphas.” Journal of Finance, 65 (2010), 179216.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barrett, G. F., and Donald, S. G.. “Consistent Tests for Stochastic Dominance.” Econometrica, 71 (2003), 71104.Google Scholar
Berk, J., and van Binsbergen, J. H.. “Measuring Skill in the Mutual Fund Industry.” Journal of Financial Economics, 118 (2015), 120.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Berk, J., and van Binsbergen, J. H.. “Assessing Asset Pricing Models Using Revealed Preference.” Journal of Financial Economics, 119 (2016), 123.Google Scholar
Berk, J., and Green, R.. “Mutual Fund Flows and Performance in Rational Markets.” Journal of Political Economy, 112 (2004), 12691295.Google Scholar
Blocher, J., and Whaley, R. E.. “Two-Sided Markets in Asset Management: Exchange-Traded Funds and Securities Lending.” Working Paper, Vanderbilt University (2016).Google Scholar
Bollen, N. B. P., and Busse, J. A.. “On the Timing Ability of Mutual Fund Managers.” Journal of Finance, 56 (2001), 10751094.Google Scholar
Carhart, M. M.On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance.” Journal of Finance, 52 (1997), 5782.Google Scholar
Chen, H.-L.; Jegadeesh, N.; and Wermers, R.. “The Value of Active Mutual Fund Management: An Examination of the Stockholdings and Trades of Fund Managers.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 35 (2000), 343368.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chevalier, J., and Ellison, G. D.. “Risk Taking by Mutual Funds as a Response to Incentives.” Journal of Political Economy, 105 (1997), 11671200.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Choi, J. J.; Laibson, D.; and Madrian, B. C.. “Why Does the Law of One Price Fail? An Experiment on Index Mutual Funds.” Review of Financial Studies, 23 (2010), 14051432.Google Scholar
Cremers, K. J. M., and Petajisto, A.. “How Active Is Your Fund Manager? A New Measure That Predicts Performance.” Review of Financial Studies, 22 (2009), 33293365.Google Scholar
Cremers, M.; Petajisto, A.; and Zitzewitz, E.. “Should Benchmark Indices Have Alpha? Revisiting Performance Evaluation.” Critical Finance Review, 2 (2013), 148.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Daniel, K.; Grinblatt, M.; Titman, S.; and Wermers, R.. “Measuring Mutual Fund Performance with Characteristic-Based Benchmarks.” Journal of Finance, 52 (1997), 10351058.Google Scholar
Del Guercio, D., and Reuter, J.. “Mutual Fund Performance and the Incentive to Generate Alpha.” Journal of Finance, 69 (2014), 16731704.Google Scholar
Elton, E. J.; Gruber, M. J.; and Blake, C. R.. “The Persistence of Risk-Adjusted Mutual Fund Performance.” Journal of Business, 69 (1996), 133157.Google Scholar
Elton, E. J.; Gruber, M. J.; and Busse, J. A.. “Are Investors Rational? Choices among Index Funds.” Journal of Finance, 59 (2004), 261288.Google Scholar
Elton, E. J.; Gruber, M. J.; Das, S.; and Hlavka, M.. “Efficiency with Costly Information: A Reinterpretation of Evidence from Managed Portfolios.” Review of Financial Studies, 6 (1993), 122.Google Scholar
Evans, R. B.Mutual Fund Incubation.” Journal of Finance, 65 (2010), 15811611.Google Scholar
Fama, E. F., and French, K. R.. “Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds.” Journal of Financial Economics, 33 (1993), 356.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fama, E. F., and French, K. R.. “Luck versus Skill in the Cross-Section of Mutual Fund Returns.” Journal of Finance, 65 (2010), 19151947.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ferson, W. E., and Chen, Y.. “How Many Good and Bad Fund Managers Are There, Really?” Working Paper, University of Southern California (2015).Google Scholar
Ferson, W. E., and Schadt, R. W.. “Measuring Fund Strategy and Performance in Changing Economic Conditions.” Journal of Finance, 51 (1996), 425461.Google Scholar
Glode, V.Why Mutual Funds Underperform.” Journal of Financial Economics, 99 (2011), 546559.Google Scholar
Grinblatt, M., and Titman, S.. “Mutual Fund Performance: An Analysis of Quarterly Portfolio Holdings.” Journal of Business, 62 (1989), 393416.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grinblatt, M., and Titman, S.. “The Persistence of Mutual Fund Performance.” Journal of Finance, 47 (1992), 19771984.Google Scholar
Grinblatt, M., and Titman, S.. “Performance Measurement without Benchmarks: An Examination of Mutual Fund Returns.” Journal of Business, 66 (1993), 4768.Google Scholar
Gruber, M. J.Another Puzzle: The Growth in Actively Managed Mutual Funds.” Journal of Finance, 51 (1996), 783810.Google Scholar
Hausman, J.; Luo, Y.; and Palmer, C.. “Errors in the Dependent Variable of Quantile Regression Models.” Working Paper, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (2014).Google Scholar
Hortacsu, A., and Syverson, C.. “Product Differentiation, Search Costs, and Competition in the Mutual Fund Industry: A Case Study of S&P 500 Index Funds.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 119 (2004), 403456.Google Scholar
Hunter, D.; Kandel, E.; Kandel, S.; and Wermers, R.. “Mutual Fund Performance Evaluation with Active Peer Benchmarks.” Journal of Financial Economics, 112 (2014), 129.Google Scholar
Investment Company Institute. “2015 Investment Company Fact Book.” White Paper (2015).Google Scholar
Jensen, M. C.The Performance of Mutual Funds in the Period 1945–1964.” Journal of Finance, 23 (1968), 389416.Google Scholar
Jiang, G. J.; Yao, T.; and Yu, T.. “Do Mutual Funds Time the Market? Evidence from Portfolio Holdings.” Journal of Financial Economics, 86 (2007), 724758.Google Scholar
Jiang, H.; Verbeek, M.; and Wang, Y.. “Information Content When Mutual Funds Deviate from Benchmarks.” Management Science, 60 (2014), 20382053.Google Scholar
Kacperczyk, M.; Sialm, C.; and Zheng, L.. “Unobserved Actions of Mutual Funds.” Review of Financial Studies, 21 (2008), 23792416.Google Scholar
Kacperczyk, M.; van Nieuwerburgh, S.; and Veldkamp, L.. “Time-Varying Fund Manager Skill.” Journal of Finance, 69 (2014), 14551484.Google Scholar
Keim, D. B.An Analysis of Mutual Fund Design: The Case of Investing in Small-Cap Stocks.” Journal of Financial Economics, 51 (1999), 173194.Google Scholar
Kosowski, R.; Timmermann, A.; Wermers, R.; and White, H.. “Can Mutual Fund Stars Really Pick Stocks? New Evidence from a Bootstrap Analysis.” Journal of Finance, 61 (2006), 25512595.Google Scholar
Malkiel, B. G.Returns from Investing in Equity Mutual Funds 1971 to 1991.” Journal of Finance, 50 (1995), 549572.Google Scholar
Pastor, L.; Stambaugh, R.; and Taylor, L.. “Scale and Skill in Active Management.” Journal of Financial Economics, 116 (2015), 2345.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Petajisto, A.Active Share and Mutual Fund Performance.” Financial Analysts Journal, 69 (2013), 7393.Google Scholar
Sensoy, B. A.Performance Evaluation and Self-Designated Benchmark Indexes in the Mutual Fund Industry.” Journal of Financial Economics, 92 (2009), 2539.Google Scholar
Sirri, E., and Tufano, P.. “Costly Search and Mutual Fund Flows.” Journal of Finance, 53 (1998), 15891622.Google Scholar
Storey, J. D.A Direct Approach to False Discovery Rates.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 64 (2002), 479498.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wermers, R.Mutual Fund Performance: An Empirical Decomposition into Stock-Picking Talent, Style, Transactions Costs, and Expenses.” Journal of Finance, 55 (2000), 16551703.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: File

Crane and Crotty supplementary material

Crane and Crotty supplementary material 1

Download Crane and Crotty supplementary material(File)
File 349.7 KB