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Pricing of Options on Commodity Futures with Stochastic Term Structures of Convenience Yields and Interest Rates

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  09 June 2010

Kristian R. Miltersen
Affiliation:
Department of Management, School of Business and Economics, Odense University, Campusvej 55, DK-5230 Odense M, Denmark
Eduardo S. Schwartz
Affiliation:
Department of Finance, John E. Anderson Graduate School of Management at UCLA, 110 Westwood Plaza, Box 951481, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA 90095-1481

Abstract

We develop a model to value options on commodity futures in the presence of stochastic interest rates as well as stochastic convenience yields. In the development of the model, we distinguish between forward and future convenience yields, a distinction that has not been recognized in the literature. Assuming normality of continuously compounded forward interest rates and convenience yields and log-normality of the spot price of the underlying commodity, we obtain closed-form solutions generalizing the Black-Scholes/Merton's formulas. We provide numerical examples with realistic parameter values showing that both the effect of introducing stochastic convenience yields into the model and the effect of having a short time lag between the maturity of a European call option and the underlying futures contract have significant impact on the option prices.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © School of Business Administration, University of Washington 1998

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