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An Integrated Model of Vote Choice in Argentina, 2009

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 January 2018

Guido Cataife*
Affiliation:
ICF Macro, Atlanta. gcataife@icfi.com

Abstract

This article studies voter behavior in Argentina. Do voters vote based on issues? Do they vote based on economic performance? What segments of the population are more or less likely to do so? What is the relative impact of issues and the economy in vote choice? To provide a reliable answer to these questions, this study uses a mixed-logit model of spatial voting with nonpolicy components. Contrary to the common belief, the analysis finds that issue voting is a statistically significant and important factor. Economic voting is prevalent in the middle and upper classes, but not among poor voters.

Type
Research Note
Copyright
Copyright © University of Miami 2011

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