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Local Economic Voting and the Agricultural Boom in Argentina, 2007–2015

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 May 2018

Jorge Mangonnet ,
María Victoria Murillo  and
Julia María Rubio
Jorge Mangonnet*
Affiliation:
Doctoral candidate in political science, Columbia University.
María Victoria Murillo*
Affiliation:
Professor in the Department of Political Science and the School of International and Public Affairs, Columbia University.
Julia María Rubio*
Affiliation:
Doctoral student in political science, Columbia University.
*
jgm2159@columbia.edu
mm2140@columbia.edu
jmr2263@columbia.edu
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Abstract

This article investigates the effect of local economic conditions on voting behavior by focusing on the export-oriented agricultural areas of Argentina during the commodities boom. It assesses the marginal effect of export wealth on electoral outcomes by studying the impact of soybean production, the main Argentine export product during this period. The combination of rising agricultural prices and a salient national tax on exports allows us to evaluate how wealth and tax policy shape local electoral behavior. This study relies on a spatial econometric analysis of the vote across Argentine departments for the 2007–15 period, along with qualitative evidence from interviews and a descriptive analysis of government appointments.

Keywords

economic votingsubnational politicsconservative partiescommodities boomArgentina
Type
Research Article
Information
Latin American Politics and Society , Volume 60 , Issue 3 , August 2018 , pp. 27 - 53
Copyright
© 2018 University of Miami 

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