Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-j824f Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-15T10:16:29.679Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Continuity by Surprise: Explaining Institutional Stability in Contemporary Peru

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 September 2022

Alberto Vergara
Affiliation:
Harvard University
Daniel Encinas
Affiliation:
Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

In the first decade of the twenty-first century, Latin America experienced a so-called left turn that sought either to reform or eliminate the neoliberal institutions established during the 1980s and 1990s. However, although Peru has electoral, economic, and social processes similar to those of its neighbors, the neoliberal institutions established in Peru by the 1993 Constitution remain firmly in place. This article aims to understand the mechanisms sustaining Peru's neoliberal regime since its creation. Why have these institutions survived and grown in strength in a regional environment that has been hostile to neoliberal legacies? The article answers that question, emphasizing the evolution of the balance of power between the precarious Peruvian political class and the empowered technocrats and bureaucrats within the state. The reformist politicians are too weak and amateurish to challenge the technobureaucrats within the state. Moreover, the article analyzes the different strategies deployed by technocrats and bureaucrats in order to ensure the continuity and stability of the neoliberal regime and its policies. Theoretically, the article suggests that institutional stability can arise from a daily process gradually shaped by actors and their strategies.

Resumo

Resumo

Durante la década del 2000, América Latina pasó por el denominado “giro a la izquierda” que buscaba reformar o eliminar las instituciones neoliberales establecidas durante las décadas de 1980 y 1990. Sin embargo, a pesar de experimentar procesos sociales, económicos y electorales similares a sus vecinos, en el Perú las instituciones neoliberales surgidas con la Constitución de 1993 se mantienen firmes. El artículo busca entender los mecanismos que brindan continuidad y estabilidad al régimen neoliberal desde su creación en el Perú. ¿Por qué han sobrevivido y obtenido estabilidad estas instituciones en un contexto regional que ha sido, más bien, hostil a los legados neoliberales? El artículo responde a esta pregunta enfatizando, de un lado, la evolución del balance de poder entre la precaria clase política peruana y la fortalecida capa de tecnócratas y burócratas en el Estado. Los políticos reformistas son débiles e inexpertos y no consiguen desafiar a los fortalecidos cuadros técnico-burocráticos al interior del Estado. Asimismo, se analiza las diferentes estrategias puestas en práctica por tecnócratas y burócratas para asegurar la continuidad y estabilidad de las instituciones y políticas neoliberales. En el plano teórico se sugiere que la estabilidad institucional puede surgir de un proceso cotidiano y construido progresivamente por los actores y sus estrategias.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © 2016 by the Latin American Studies Association

Footnotes

For their helpful comments at different moments in this research we want to thank Steven Levitsky, Jorge Domínguez, Frances Hagopian, Kurt Weyland, Eduardo Dargent, Hillel Soifer, Juan Pablo Luna, Richard Snyder, and Marylia Cruz. Any inaccuracies remain our sole responsibility. This article was accepted for publication on March 20, 2014.

References

Amorim Neto, Octavio 2006The Presidential Calculus: Executive Policy Making and Cabinet Formation in the Americas.” Comparative Political Studies 39 (4): 415440.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Arce, Moisés 2005 Market Reform in Society: Post-Crisis Politics and Economic Change in Authoritarian Peru. University Park: Pennsylvania State University Press.Google Scholar
Bourdieu, Pierre 1989 La noblesse d'état. Paris: Les Editions de Minuit.Google Scholar
Cameron, Maxwell A. 2011Peru: The Left Turn That Wasn't.” In The Resurgence of the Latin American Left, edited by Levitsky, Steven and Roberts, Kenneth M., 375398. Baltimore: John Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Cameron, Maxwell A., and Hershberg, Eric, eds. 2010 Latin America's Left Turns: Politics, Policies, and Trajectories of Change. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Centeno, Miguel Ángel 1997 Democracy within Reason: Technocratic Revolution in Mexico. University Park: Pennsylvania State University Press.Google Scholar
Centeno, Miguel Ángel, and Cohen, Joseph 2012The Arc of Neoliberalism.” Annual Review of Sociology 38:317340.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Centeno, Miguel Ángel, and Silva, Patricio 1998 Introduction to The Politics of Expertise in Latin America, edited by Centeno, Miguel Ángel and Silva, Patricio, 112. New York: Saint Martin's Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Collier, David, and Collier, Ruth 1991 Shaping the Political Arena. Notre Dame, IN: University of Notre Dame Press.Google Scholar
Conaghan, Catherine 1998Stars of the Crisis: the Ascent of the Economists in Peru.” In The Politics of Expertise in Latin America, edited by Centeno, Miguel Ángel and Silva, Patricio, 112. New York: Saint Martin's Press.Google Scholar
Dargent, Eduardo 2012Technocracy under Democracy: Assessing the Political Autonomy of Experts in Latin America.” PhD diss., University of Texas, Austin.Google Scholar
Dargent, Eduardo 2015 Technocracy and Democracy in Latin America: The Experts Running Government. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Davis Cross, Mai'a 2013Rethinking Epistemic Communities Twenty Years Later.” Review of International Studies 39 (1): 137160.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
De Althaus, Jaime 2011 La promesa de la democracia. Lima: Planeta.Google Scholar
de la Torre, Carlos 2013El tecnopopulismo de Rafael Correa: ¿Es compatible el carisma con la tecnocracia?Latin American Research Review 48 (1): 2443.Google Scholar
Domínguez, Jorge, ed. 1997 Technopols: Freeing Politics and Markets in Latin America in the 1990s. University Park: Pennsylvania State University Press.Google Scholar
Durand, Francisco 2010 La mano invisible en el Estado: Crítica a los neoliberales criollos. Lima: Fondo Editorial del Pedagógico San Marcos.Google Scholar
Esping-Andersen, G⊘sta 1999 Les trois mondes de l'État-providence. Paris: Puf.Google Scholar
Evans, Peter, and Rauch, James E. 1999Bureaucracy and Growth: A Cross-National Analysis of the Effects of ‘Weberian’ State Structures on Economic Growth.” American Sociological Review 64 (5): 748765.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Flores-Macías, Gustavo 2012 After Neoliberalism? The Left and Economic Reforms in Latin America. New York: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ginsberg, Benjamin, and Shefter, Martin 1990 Politics by Other Means. New York: W. W. Norton.Google Scholar
Grindle, Merilee S. 2010Constructing, Deconstructing, and Reconstructing Career Civil Service Systems in Latin America.” HKS Working Paper Series, RWP10-025. Cambridge, MA: John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University.Google Scholar
Hacker, Jacob S., and Pierson, Paul 2010Winner-Take-All Politics and Political Science: A Response.” Politics and Society 38 (2): 266282.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hall, Peter A. 1993Policy Paradigms, Social Learning, and the State: The Case of Economic Policymaking in Britain.” Comparative Politics 25 (3): 275296.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hall, Peter A. 1997The Role of Interests, Institutions, and Ideas in the Comparative Political Economy of the Industrialized Nations.” In Comparative Politics: Rationality, Culture and Structure, edited by Lichbach, Mark Irving and Zuckerman, Alan S., 174207. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Hall, Peter A. 2010Historical Institutionalism in Rationalist and Sociological Perspective.” In Explaining Institutional Change: Ambiguity, Agency, and Power, edited by Mahoney, James and Thelen, Kathleen, 204224. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Huber, Evelyne, and Stephens, John D. 2012 Democracy and the Left: Social Policy and Inequality in Latin America. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Katznelson, Ira 2003Periodization and Preferences: Reflections on Purposive Action in Comparative Historical Social Science.” In Comparative Historical Analysis in the Social Sciences, edited by Mahoney, James and Rueschemeyer, Dietrich, 270304. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kaufman, Robert 2011The Political Left, the Export Boom, and the Populist Temptation.” In The Resurgence of the Latin American Left, edited by Levitsky, Steven and Roberts, Kenneth M., 93116. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Leiteritz, Ralf J. 2010Sustaining Open Capital Accounts: International Norms and Domestic Institutions; A Comparison between Peru and Colombia.” PhD diss., London School of Economics.Google Scholar
Levi, Margaret 2006Why We Need a New Theory of Government.” Perspectives on Politics 4 (1): 519.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Levitsky, Steven 2013Peru: Challenges of a Democracy without Parties.” In Constructing Democratic Governance in Latin America, 4th ed., edited by Domínguez, Jorge I. and Shifter, Michael, 282315. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Levitsky, Steven, and Cameron, Maxwell 2003Democracy without Parties?Latin American Politics and Society 45 (3): 133.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Levitsky, Steven, and Murillo, María Victoria 2009Variation in Institutional Strength.” Annual Review of Political Science 12:115133.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Levitsky, Steven, and Murillo, María Victoria 2012Building Institutions on Weak Foundations: Lessons from Latin America.” Paper presented at the conference “Guillermo O'Donnell and the Study of Democracy,” Buenos Aires, March 2627.Google Scholar
Levitsky, Steven, and Roberts, Keneth, eds. 2011 The Resurgence of the Latin American Left. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press; 2011.Google Scholar
Lipset, Seymour M., and Rokkan, Stein 1967 Party Systems and Voter Alignments: Cross-National Perspectives. New York: Free Press.Google Scholar
Mahoney, James 2000Path Dependence in Historical Sociology.” Theory and Society 29 (4): 507548.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mahoney, James, and Thelen, Kathleen, eds. 2010 Explaining Institutional Change: Ambiguity, Agency, and Power. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Mauceri, Philip 1995State Reform, Coalitions, and the Neoliberal Autogolpe in Peru.” Latin American Research Review 30 (1): 737.Google Scholar
Mazzuca, Sebastián L. 2007Reconceptualizing Democratization: Access to Power versus Exercise of Power.” In Regimes and Democracy in Latin America: Theories and Methods, edited by Munck, Gerardo, 3950. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Montecinos, Veronica, and Markoff, John 2001From the Power of Economic Ideas to the Power of Economists.” In The Other Mirror: Grand Theory through the Lens of Latin America, by Miguel Ángel Centeno and Fernando López Álvez, 105-150. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Murillo, María Victoria, Oliveros, Virginia, and Vaishnav, Milan 2011Economic Constraints and Presidential Agency.” In The Resurgence of the Latin American Left, edited by Levitsky, Steven and Roberts, Kenneth, 5270. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Panfichi, Aldo 2011Contentious Representation in Contemporary Peru.” In Fractured Politics: Peruvian Democracy Past and Present, edited by Crabtree, John, 89104. London: Institute for the Study of the Americas.Google Scholar
Pierson, Paul 2000Increasing Returns, Path Dependence, and the Study of Politics.” American Political Science Review 94 (2): 251267.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Przeworski, Adam 1991 Democracy and the Market: Political and Economic Reforms in Eastern Europe and Latin America. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Radnitz, Scott 2011Informal Politics and the State.” Comparative Politics 43 (3): 351371.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Reygadas, Luis, and Filgueira, Fernando 2010Inequality and the Incorporation Crisis: The Left's Social Policy Toolkit.” In Latin America's Left Turn, edited by Cameron, Maxwell A. and Hershberg, Eric, 171192. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Roberts, Kenneth M. 2012Historical Timing, Political Cleavages, and Party Building in Third Wave' Democracies.” Paper prepared for the conference “Challenges for Party Building in Latin America,” Harvard University, November 1617.Google Scholar
Sikkink, Kathryn 1991 Ideas and Institutions: Developmentalism in Brazil and Argentina. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press.Google Scholar
Silva, Patricio 2009 In the Name of Reason: Technocrats and Politics in Chile. University Park: Pennsylvania State University Press.Google Scholar
Stokes, Susan C. 2001 Mandates and Democracy: Neoliberalism by Surprise in Latin America. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Streeck, Wolfgang, and Thelen, Kathleen, eds. 2005 Beyond Continuity: Institutional Change in Advanced Political Economies. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Tanaka, Martín 1998 Los espejismos de la democracia: El colapso del sistema de partidos en el Perú, 1980-1995, en perspectiva comparada. Lima: Instituto de Estudios Peruanos.Google Scholar
Tanaka, Martín 2001¿Crónica de una muerte anunciada?” In Lecciones del final del fujimorismo: La legitimidad presidencial y la acción política, by Jane Marcus-Delgado and Martín Tanaka, 57-105. Lima: Instituto de Estudios Peruanos.Google Scholar
Taylor, Matthew M. 2009Institutional Development through Policy-Making: A Case Study of the Brazilian Central Bank.” World Politics 61 (3): 487515.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Teles, Steven M. 2010 The Rise of the Legal Conservative Movement. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Thelen, Kathleen 2003How Institutions Evolve: Insights from Comparative Historical Analysis.” In Comparative Historical Analysis in the Social Sciences, edited by Mahoney, James and Rueschemeyer, Dietrich, 208240. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Uceda, Ricardo, and Rivera, David 2013 “Las lecciones del caso Repsol.” Revista Poder (May).Google Scholar
Valladares, Jorge 2012El Congreso está abierto.” Revista Argumentos 6 (March).Google Scholar
Vergara, Alberto 2012Alternancia sin alternativa: ¿Un año de Humala o veinte años de un sistema?Revista Argumentos 6 (July).Google Scholar
Weyland, Kurt 2002 The Politics of Market Reform in Fragile Democracies: Argentina, Brazil, Peru, and Venezuela. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Weyland, Kurt 2008Toward a New Theory of Institutional Change.” World Politics 60 (2): 281314.Google Scholar
Weyland, Kurt 2009The Rise of Latin America's Two Lefts: Insights from Rentier State Theory.” Comparative Politics 41 (2): 145164.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Weyland, Kurt, Madrid, Raúl L., and Hunter, Wendy, eds. 2010 Leftist Governments in Latin America: Successes and Shortcomings. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Yashar, Deborah J. 2005 Contesting Citizenship in Latin America: The Rise of Indigenous Movements and the Post-liberal Challenge. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ziblatt, Daniel 2006 Structuring the State: The Formation of Italy and Germany and the Puzzle of Federalism. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar