Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-m6dg7 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-10T13:12:00.898Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

OPTIMAL FISCAL POLICY WITH LAND FINANCING IN CHINA

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  18 December 2017

Shen Guo*
Affiliation:
Central University of Finance and Economics
Zheng Jiang
Affiliation:
Central University of Finance and Economics
*
Address correspondence to: Shen Guo, China Academy of Public Finance and Public Policy, Central University of Finance and Economics, 39 South College Road, Beijing 100081, China; e-mail: sguo.cufe@gmail.com.

Abstract

This paper examines China's optimal fiscal policy in a general equilibrium model, in which the government finances its budget through both a special instrument, an implicit tax on the residential land, and a typical conventional instrument, the value-added tax (VAT). By solving a Ramsey problem, we find that (i) the optimal policy suggests a much lower land tax rate than the existing rate in China, and (ii) a substantial part of debt stabilization should come through an adjustment in the VAT rate, instead of relying on land financing. Switching from the existing policy to the Ramsey policy generates significant welfare gains.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2017 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

We are grateful to anonymous referees, the associate editor and the editor for helpful suggestions. Guo thanks China National Social Science Fund (Grant no.16BJY167) and the Program for Innovation Research in Central University of Finance and Economics for the financial support. The author Z. Jiang thank the National Natural Science Foundation of China for the financial support (Grant no. 71503287).

References

REFERENCES

Bai, Chong-En, Hsieh, Chang-Tai, and Qian, Yingyi (2006) The return to capital in China. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 37, 61102.10.1353/eca.2007.0000Google Scholar
Benigno, Pierpaolo and Woodford, Michael (2003) Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy: A Linear Quadratic Approach. NBER working papers 9905, National Bureau of Economic Research.10.3386/w9905Google Scholar
Bi, Huixin, Leeper, Eric M., and Leith, Campbell (2013) Uncertain fiscal consolidations. Economic Journal 123, 3163.10.1111/ecoj.12011Google Scholar
Chakraborty, Suparna (2016) Real estate cycles, asset redistribution, and the dynamics of a crisis. Macroeconomic Dynamics 20, 18731905.10.1017/S1365100515000322Google Scholar
Chamley, Christophe (1986) Optimal taxation of capital income in general equilibrium with infinite lives. Econometrica 54, 607622.10.2307/1911310Google Scholar
Chang, Chun, Liu, Zheng, and Spiegel, Mark M. (2015) Capital controls and optimal Chinese monetary policy. Journal of Monetary Economics 74, 115.10.1016/j.jmoneco.2015.04.003Google Scholar
Chari, V. V., Lawrence, J. Christiano and Kehoe, Patrick J. (1994) Optimal fiscal policy in a business cycle model. Journal of Political Economy 102, 617652.10.1086/261949Google Scholar
Chari, V. V. and Patrick, J. Kehoe (1999) Optimal fiscal and monetary policy. In Taylor, John B. and Woodford, Michael (eds.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, pp. 16711745. Amsterdam: North Holland.10.1016/S1574-0048(99)10039-9Google Scholar
Coleman, Wilbur J. (2000) Welfare and optimum dynamic taxation of consumption and income. Journal of Public Economics 76, 139.10.1016/S0047-2727(99)00043-2Google Scholar
Ding, Chengri (2007) Policy and praxis of land acquisition in China. Land Use Policy 24, 113.10.1016/j.landusepol.2005.09.002Google Scholar
Ding, Chengri and Lichtenberg, Erik (2011) Land and urban economic growth in China. Journal of Regional Science 51, 299317.10.1111/j.1467-9787.2010.00686.xGoogle Scholar
Domeij, David and Klein, Paul (2005) Preannounced optimal tax reform. Macroeconomic Dynamics 9, 150169.10.1017/S1365100505040204Google Scholar
Guo, Shen, Liu, Lezheng, and Zhao, Yan (2015) The business cycle implications of land financing in China. Economic Modelling 46, 225237.10.1016/j.econmod.2014.12.033Google Scholar
IMF (2011) Shifting gears: Tackling challenges on the road to fiscal adjustment. In Fiscal Monitor. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.Google Scholar
IMF (2012) Balancing fiscal risks. In Fiscal Monitor. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.Google Scholar
Judd, Kenneth L. (1985) Redistributive taxation in a simple perfect foresight model. Journal of Public Economics 28, 5983.10.1016/0047-2727(85)90020-9Google Scholar
Leeper, Eric M. and Yang, Shu-Chun S. (2008) Dynamic scoring: Alternative financing schemes. Journal of Public Economics 92, 159182.10.1016/j.jpubeco.2007.04.011Google Scholar
Leith, Campbell and Wren-Lewis, Simon (2013) Fiscal sustainability in a new Keynesian model. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 45, 14771516.10.1111/jmcb.12060Google Scholar
Ramsey, Frank P. (1927) A contribution to the theory of taxation. Economic Journal 37, 4761.10.2307/2222721Google Scholar
Schmitt-Grohe, Stephanie and Uribe, Martin (2004a) Optimal fiscal and monetary policy under sticky prices. Journal of Economic Theory 114, 198230.10.1016/S0022-0531(03)00111-XGoogle Scholar
Schmitt-Grohe, Stephanie and Uribe, Martin (2004b) Solving dynamic general equilibrium models using a second-order approximation to the policy function. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 28, 755775.10.1016/S0165-1889(03)00043-5Google Scholar
Song, Zheng, Storesletten, Kjetil, and Zilibotti, Fabrizio (2011) Growing like China. American Economic Review 101, 196233.10.1257/aer.101.1.196Google Scholar
Wu, Guiying L., Feng, Qu, and Li, Pei (2015) Does local governments' budget deficit push up housing prices in China? China Economic Review 35, 183196.10.1016/j.chieco.2014.08.007Google Scholar