Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-dk4vv Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-28T14:45:42.596Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

SKILL BIAS IN AN ENDOGENOUS GROWTH MODEL: EVALUATING THE CASE FOR MARKET SIZE AND ACCELERATION EFFECTS

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 March 2013

Mark Sanders*
Affiliation:
Utrecht School of Economics and Max Planck Institute of Economics
*
Address correspondence to: Mark Sanders, Utrecht School of Economics, P.O. Box 80125, 3508 TC Utrecht, the Netherlands; e-mail: m.w.j.l.sanders@uu.nl.

Abstract

Skill-biased technical change occupied empirical economists for much of the 1990s. The empirical literature firmly established a positive correlation between technology indicators and demand shifts. In the minds of many, that has established a causal relationship. This leap of faith, however, is at odds with Hicks's conventional wisdom that endogenous technological change will be biased toward using cheap and abundant resources. In addition, if the rate of technical change is considered to be endogenous, the assumption of an exogenous bias toward skilled labor should at least be questioned. Two hypotheses explaining endogenous skill bias in technical change have been suggested in the theoretical literature: the acceleration effect and the market size effect. In this paper these are studied in a single endogenous-growth model to derive the sufficient and necessary conditions for both hypotheses. After confronting these conditions with the evidence, the paper concludes that it strongly favors the acceleration hypothesis.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2013 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Acemoglu, D. (1998) Why do technologies complement skills? Directed technical change and wage inequality. Quarterly Journal of Economics 113, 10551090.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Acemoglu, D. (2002a) Directed technical change. Review of Economic Studies 69, 781809.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Acemoglu, D. (2002b) Technical change, inequality and the labor market. Journal of Economic Literature 40, 772.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Acemoglu, D. (2009) Introduction to Modern Economic Growth. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Acs, Z. and Audretsch, D. (1987) Innovation, market structure and firm size. Review of Economics and Statistics 69 (4), 567574.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Acs, Z. and Audretsch, D. (1988) Innovation in large and small firms: An empirical analysis. American Economic Review 78, 678690.Google Scholar
Aghion, P. (2002) Schumpeterian growth theory and the dynamics of income inequality. Econometrica 70, 855882.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Aghion, P. and Howitt, P. (2009) The Economics of Growth. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Aghion, P., Howitt, P., and Violante, G. (2002) General purpose technology and wage inequality. Journal of Economic Growth 7, 315345.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Audretsch, D. (1987) An empirical test of the industry life cycle. Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv 123, 297308.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Audretsch, D. and Feldman, M. (1996) Innovative clusters and the industry life cycle. Review of Industrial Organization 11, 253273.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Autor, D., Katz, L., and Kearney, M. (2008) Trends in US wage inequality: Revising the revisionists. Review of Economics and Statistics 90, 300323.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Autor, D., Katz, L., and Krueger, A. (1998) Computing inequality: Have computers changed the labour market? Quarterly Journal of Economics 113, 11691214.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Autor, D., Levy, F., and Murnane, R. (2003) The skill content of recent technological changes: An empirical exploration. Quarterly Journal of Economics 118, 12791333.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bartel, A. and Lichtenberg, F. (1987) The comparative advantage of educated workers in implementing new technology. Review of Economics and Statistics 69, 111.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Berman, E. and Machin, S. (2000) Skill-biased technology transfer around the world. Oxford Review of Economic Policy 16, 1222.Google Scholar
Blundell, R., Griffith, R., and Windmeijer, F. (2002) Individual effects and dynamics in count data models. Journal of Econometrics 108, 113131.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bos, J., vanAAAALamoen, R., and Sanders, M. (2011) Producing Innovations: Determinants of Innovativity and Efficiency. Mimeo, Utrecht University.Google Scholar
Bound, J. and Johnson, G. (1992) Changes in the structure of wages in the 1980s: An evaluation of alternative explanations. American Economic Review 82, 371392.Google Scholar
Bresnahan, T., Gambardella, A., and Saxenian, A. (2001) “Old economy” inputs for “new economy” outcomes: Cluster formation in the new Silicon Valleys. Industrial and Corporate Change 10 (4), 835860.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Card, D. and DiNardo, J. (2002) Skill-biased technical change and rising wage inequality: Some problems and puzzles. Journal of Labor Economics 20, 733783.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Card, D. and DiNardo, J. (2006) The impact of technological change on low-wage workers: A review In Blank, R.M., Danziger, S.H., and Schoeni, R.F. (eds.), Working and Poor: How Economic and Policy Changes Are Affecting Low-Wage Workers, pp. 113140. New York: Russell Sage Foundation.Google Scholar
Caselli, F. (1999) Technological revolutions. American Economic Review 89, 78102.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cohen, W. and Klepper, S. (1996) A reprise of size and R&D. Economic Journal 106, 925951.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Davis, S. (1992) Cross Country Patterns of Changes in Relative Wages. NBER working paper 4085, National Bureau of Economic Research.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dollar, D. (1986) Technological innovation, capital mobility and the product-cycle in North–South trade. American Economic Review 76, 177190.Google Scholar
Feenstra, R. (ed.) (2000) The Impact of International Trade on Wages. Chicago: National Bureau of Economic Research.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Feenstra, R. and Hanson, G. (1996) Globalization, outsourcing and wage inequality. American Economic Review 86, 240245.Google Scholar
Freeman, R. (1986) The demand for education. In Ashenfelder, O. and Layard, R. (eds.), Handbook of Labour Economics, vol. I, pp. 357386. Amsterdam: Elsevier.Google Scholar
Freeman, R. and Katz, L. (1994) Rising wage inequality, the United States vs. other advanced countries. In Freeman, R. (ed.), Working under Different Rules, pp. 128. New York: Russell Sage Foundation.Google Scholar
Galor, O. and Moav, O. (2000) Ability-biased technological transition, wage inequality, and economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics 115, 469497.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Galor, O. and Tsiddon, D. (1997) Technological progress, mobility and economic growth. American Economic Review 87, 363382.Google Scholar
Goldin, C. and Katz, L. (2000) The Returns to Skill in the United States across the Twentieth Century. NBER working paper 7126, National Bureau of Economic Research.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gottschalk, P. and Moffitt, R. (1994) The growth of earnings instability in the U.S. labor market. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2, 217272.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Greenwood, J. and Uysal, G. (2005) New goods and the transition to a new economy. Journal of Economic Growth 10, 99134.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Greenwood, J. and Yorukoglu, M. (1997) 1974. Carnegie–Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 46, 4995.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grilliches, Z. (1979) Issues in assessing the contribution of research and development to productivity growth. Bell Journal of Economics 10, 92116.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grilliches, Z. (1984) R&D and innovation: Some empirical findings. Comments. In Grilliches, Z. (ed.), R&D, Patents and Productivity, pp. 148149. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Grossman, G. and Helpman, E. (1991a) Endogenous product cycles. Economic Journal 101, 12141229.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grossman, G. and Helpman, E. (1991b), Innovation and Growth in the Global Economy. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Hall, B. and Trajtenberg, M. (2004) Uncovering GPTs with Patent Data. NBER working paper 10901, National Bureau of Economic Research.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hirsch, S. (1965) The United States electronics industry in international trade. National Institutional Economics Review 34, 94107.Google Scholar
Jacobs, B., Nahuis, R., and Tang, P. (2002) Sectoral productivity growth and R&D spillovers in the Netherlands. De Economist 150, 181210.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jaffe, A. (1986) Technological opportunity and spillovers of R&D: Evidence from firms' patents, profits and market value. American Economic Review 76, 9841001.Google Scholar
Jaffe, A. (1988) Demand and supply influences in R&D intensity and productivity growth. Review of Economics and Statistics 70, 431437.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jaffe, A. and Caballero, R. (2002) How high are the giants' shoulders: An empirical assessment of knowledge spillovers and creative destruction in a model of economic growth. In Jaffe, A. and Trajtenberg, M. (eds.), Patents, Citations and Innovations: A Window on the Knowledge Economy, pp. 89154. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Jaffe, A. and Trajtenberg, M. (eds.) (2002) Patents, Citations and Innovations: A Window on the Knowledge Economy. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Jensen, R. and Thursby, J. (1986) A strategic approach to the product life cycle. Journal of International Economics 21, 269284.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jensen, R. and Thursby, J. (1987) A decision-theoretical model of innovation, technology transfer and trade. Review of Economic Studies 54, 613649.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jones, C. (1995) R&D based models of economic growth. Journal of Political Economy 103, 759784.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jones, C. (2005) Growth and ideas. In Aghion, P. and Durlauf, S. (eds.), The Handbook of Economic Growth, pp. 10631111. Amsterdam: Elsevier.Google Scholar
Jovanovich, B. (2004) The Product Cycle and Inequality. NBER working paper 10910, National Bureau of Economic Research.Google Scholar
Juhn, C., Murphy, K., and Pierce, B. (1993) Wage inequality and the rise in the return to skill. Journal of Political Economy 101, 410442.Google Scholar
Katz, L. and Autor, D. (1999) Changes in the wage structure and earnings inequality. In Aschenfelder, O. and Card, D. (eds.), Handbook of Labour Economics, vol. IIIA. Amsterdam: Elsevier.Google Scholar
Katz, L., Loveman, G., and Blanchflower, D. (1995) A comparison of changes in the structure of wages in four OECD countries. In Freeman, R. and Katz, L. (eds.), Differences and Changes in Wage Structures, pp. 2566. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Katz, L. and Murphy, K. (1992) Changes in relative wages, 1963–1987: Supply and demand factors. Quarterly Journal of Economics 107, 3578.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Katz, L. and Revenga, A. (1989) Changes in the structure of wages: The United States vs Japan. Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 3, 522553.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kiley, M. (1999) The supply of skilled labour and skill-biased technological progress. Economic Journal 109, 708724.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Klepper, S. (1997) Industry life cycles. Industrial and Corporate Change 6 (1), 145181.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kortum, S. and Lerner, J. (1997) Stronger Protection or Technological Revolution: What Is behind the Recent Surge in Patenting? NBER working paper 6204, National Bureau of Economic Research.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Krugman, P. (1979) A model of innovation, technology transfer and the world distribution of income. Journal of Political Economy 87, 253266.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Krugman, P. (2000) And now for something completely different: An alternative model of trade, education and inequality. In Feenstra, R. (ed.), The Impact of International Trade on Wages. Chicago: National Bureau of Economic Research.Google Scholar
Krusell, P., Ohanion, L., Rios-Rull, J., and Violante, G. (2000) Capital–skill complementarity and inequality: A macroeconomic analysis. Econometrica 68, 10261053.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Machin, S. (1996) Changes in the relative demand for skills in the UK labour market. In Booth, A. and Snower, D. (eds.), Acquiring Skills: Market Failures, Their Symptoms and Policy Responses, pp. 129146. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Mairesse, J. and Mohnen, P. (2005) The importance of R&D for innovation: A reassessment using French survey data. Journal of Technology Transfer 30 (2), 183197.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mairesse, J. and Mohnen, P. (2010) Using Innovations Surveys for Econometric Analysis. NBER working papers 15857, National Bureau of Economic Research.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mansfield, E. (1980) Industrial R&D in Japan and the United States: A comparative study. American Economic Review 78, 223228.Google Scholar
Mansfield, E. (1984) R&D and innovation: Some empirical findings. In Grilliches, Z. (ed.), R&D, Patents and Productivity, pp. 127154. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Murphy, K. and Welch, F. (1992) The structure of wages. Quarterly Journal of Economics 107, 941964.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Murphy, K. and Welch, F. (1993) Occupational change and the demand for skill, 1940–1990. American Economic Review 83, 409414.Google Scholar
Nadiri, M. (1993) Innovations and technological spillovers. NBER working paper 4423, National Bureau of Economic Research.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nelson, R. and Phelps, E. (1966) Investment in humans, technological diffusion and economic growth. American Economic Association Papers and Proceedings 56, 6975.Google Scholar
Nickell, S. and Bell, B. (1995) The collapse in the demand for the unskilled and unemployment across the OECD. Oxford Review of Economic Policy 11, 4062.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rubinstein, Y. and Tsiddon, D. (1999) Coping with Technological Progress: The Role of Ability in Making Inequality So Persistent. CEPR discussion paper 2153.Google Scholar
Sanders, M. (2004) Skill-Biased Technical Change; Its Origins, Interaction with the Labour Market and Policy Implications. Maastricht: Maastricht University.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schultz, T.W. (1975) The value of the ability to deal with disequilibria. Journal of Economic Literature 13, 872876.Google Scholar
Thompson, P. (2001) The microeconomics of an R&D-based model of endogenous growth. Journal of Economic Growth 6, 263283.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vernon, R. (1966) International investment and international trade in the product cycle. Quarterly Journal of Economics 80, 190207.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Xiang, C. (2002) New Goods and Rising Skill Premium: An Empirical Investigation. Working paper 479, University of Michigan.Google Scholar
Zon, A. van and Sanders, M. (2002) On Growth Frontiers and Labour Market Policies. Unpublished report prepared for the European Commission. Brussels: European Commission.Google Scholar