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On the generalised birthday problem

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 August 2016

R. J. McGregor
Affiliation:
School of Computing and Intelligent Systems, University of Ulster, Magee College, Londonderry, Northern Ireland BT48 7JL
G. P. Shannon
Affiliation:
School of Computing and Information Engineering, University of Ulster, Coleraine, Co. Londonderry BT52 1SA

Extract

Probability theory abounds in counterintuitive results, perhaps the most celebrated being the answer to the birthday problem: what is the least value of n such that p (n, 2) > ½ where p (n, 2) denotes the probability that at least two out of n randomly chosen people have the same birthday? The question assumes birthdays are uniformly and independently distributed with leap years being ignored. The solution, n = 23, never fails to startle beginning students, and very often triggers an interest in the subject of probability. It is derived from the well-known observation that by the principle of complementation p (n, 2) is one minus the probability that no two have the same birthday, i.e.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © The Mathematical Association 2004

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References

1. Feller, William, An introduction to probability theory and its applications, Wiley (1968).Google Scholar
2. Gehan, Edmund A., Note on the ‘Birthday Problem’, The American Statistician (1968) p. 28.Google Scholar