Hostname: page-component-745bb68f8f-b6zl4 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2025-01-15T07:14:26.348Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Devising Scenarios for Future Repository Evolution: A Rigorous Methodology

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 February 2011

Neil A. Chapman ,
Johan Andersson ,
Peter Robinson ,
Kristina Skagius ,
Clas-Otto Wene ,
Marie Wiborgh  and
Stig Wingefors
Neil A. Chapman
Affiliation:
Intera Information Technologies, Melton Mowbray, UK;
Johan Andersson
Affiliation:
Swedish Nuclear Power Inspectorate, Stockholm, Sweden;
Peter Robinson
Affiliation:
Intera Information Technologies, Melton Mowbray, UK;
Kristina Skagius
Affiliation:
Kemakta, Stockholm, Sweden;
Clas-Otto Wene
Affiliation:
Chalmers Institute of Technology, Göteborg, Sweden.
Marie Wiborgh
Affiliation:
Kemakta, Stockholm, Sweden;
Stig Wingefors
Affiliation:
Swedish Nuclear Power Inspectorate, Stockholm, Sweden;
Get access

Abstract

The Swedish Nuclear Power Inspectorate is developing a new methodology for the construction of scenarios for radiological consequence analysis as part of its SITE-94 performance assessment project. SITE-94 involves the incorporation of site specific data from the Äspö site into a performance assessment (PA) of a hypothetical high-level waste repository. This paper describes a systems analysis approach that has been developed based on the concept of organising all the events and processes which need to be taken account of in PA into a ‘process system’ and a much smaller residual group which are used to generate scenarios. The methodology used for developing scenarios, producing calculation cases and addressing the various types of uncertainty involved in PA consequence analysis is described.

Type
Research Article
Information
MRS Online Proceedings Library (OPL) , Volume 353: Symposium – Scientific Basis for Nuclear Waste Management XVIII , 1994 , 495
Copyright
Copyright © Materials Research Society 1995

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

[1] Kahn, H. and Wiener, A. J. 1967. The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty-Three Years. Macmillan, New York, 431pps.Google Scholar
[2] Stenhouse, M. J., Chapman, N. A. , and Sumerling, T. J. 1993. Scenario Development FEP audit list preparation: Methodology and presentation. Swedish Nuclear Power Inspectorate, Stockholm, Report No: TR-93:27, 116pps.Google Scholar
[3] SKI, 1991. SKI Project-90. Swedish Nuclear Power Inspectorate, Stockholm, Technical Report 91–23, 2 volumes.Google Scholar
[4] Andersson, J. (editor) 1989. The joint SKI/SKB scenario development project. Swedish Nuclear Power Inspectorate Report No. TR-89:14, Stockholm, 168pps.Google Scholar
[5] King, L., Chapman, N.A. & Kautsky, F. 1994. Ice-front scenarios: SKI’s SITE-94 Central Scenario. In: Proceedings of ‘Geoprospective’ Conference, Paris.Google Scholar