Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-j824f Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-15T16:24:48.105Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Recent Developments in the Institute's Domestic Macromodel

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 March 2020

Extract

The forecast published in this Review uses the latest vintage of the Institute's domestic econometric model, version 11.4. In comparison with the model described a year ago (Model 11.1, see Wren-Lewis, (1988)) some of the main developments are:

1) The key price and wage equations are both forward looking, and are based on explicit dynamic theories of adjustment. This is perhaps the first time that a large quarterly econometric model has attempted to identify the structural characteristics of nominal inertia in the UK.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © 1989 National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Anderton, R. (1989), ‘UK exports of manufactures: testing for the effects of non-price competitiveness using stochastic trends and profitability measures’, National Institute Discussion Paper no. 149.Google Scholar
Darby, J. (1988), ‘Stockbuilding and corporation tax’, National Institute Discussion Paper no. 138.Google Scholar
Darby, J.Minford, M. and Wren-Lewis, S. (1989), ‘Macroeconomic implications of a vintage production model: some preliminary investigations’, National Institute Discussion Paper no. 147.Google Scholar
Gregg, P. (1989), ‘Out for the count—a new approach to modeling claimant unemployment’, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, mimeo.Google Scholar
Hall, S. and Henry, S. (1985), ‘Rational expectations in an Econometric Model: NIESR Model 8’, National Institute Economic Review, no. 114.Google Scholar
Joyce, M. and Wren-Lewis, S. (1989A), ‘Does the NAIRU matter?’, National Institute Discussion Paper no. 154.Google Scholar
Joyce, M. and Wren-Lewis, S. (1989B), ‘Pricing behaviour in the UK manufacturing sector’, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, mimeo.Google Scholar
Moghadam, R. and Wren-Lewis, S. (1989), ‘Are wages forward looking?’, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, mimeo. Pain, N. (1989), ‘International direct investment flows and the UK economy’, National Institute Discussion Paper no. 158.Google Scholar
Taylor, J. (1980), ‘Aggregate demand and staggered contracts’, Journal of Political Economy, 1, 124.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Walton, D. and Westaway, P. (1988), ‘MO—the return of the prodigal son’, Goldman Sachs UK Economics Analyst, December.Google Scholar
Westaway, P. and Pain, N. (1989), ‘Towards a structural model of the UK exchange rate’, National Institute Discussion Paper no. 165.Google Scholar
Wren-Lewis, S. (1988), ‘Supply, liquidity and credit: a new version of the Institute's domestic econometric macromodel’, National Institute Economic Review, no. 126.Google Scholar
Wren-Lewis, S. (1989), ‘The macroeconomics of supply’, National Institute Discussion Paper no. 160.Google Scholar