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Published online by Cambridge University Press: 26 March 2020
GDP will grow by 1.3 per cent this year, and by 1.7 and 2.2 per cent in 2011 and 2012.
The saving rate will remain above 6 per cent and per capita consumer spending will not reach its pre-recession peak until 2015.
The announced increase in VAT will keep inflation above target until 2012.
Public sector net borrowing will fall sharply reaching 2.8 per cent of GDP in 2015–16.
The Emergency Budget has raised the probability of a decline in output in 2011 as compared to 2010 to 19 per cent.