Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-gvvz8 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-27T07:20:14.631Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Milankovitch cycles and their effects on species in ecological and evolutionary time

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  08 April 2016

K. D. Bennett*
Affiliation:
Sub-department of Quaternary Research, Botany School, Downing Street, Cambridge CB2 3EA, U.K.

Abstract

The Quaternary ice ages were paced by astronomical cycles with periodicities of 20–100 k.y. (Milankovitch cycles). These cycles have been present throughout earth history. The Quaternary fossil record, marine and terrestrial, near to and remote from centers of glaciation, shows that communities of plants and animals are temporary, lasting only a few thousand years at the most. Response of populations to the climatic changes of Quaternary Milankovitch cycles can be taken as typical of the way populations have behaved throughout earth history. Milankovitch cycles thus force an instability of climate and other aspects of the biotic and abiotic environment on time scales much less than typical species durations (1–30 m.y.). Any microevolutionary change that accumulates on a time scale of thousands of years is likely to be lost as communities are reorganized following climatic changes. A four-tier hierarchy of time scales for evolutionary processes can be constructed as follows: ecological time (thousands of years), Milankovitch cycles (20–100 k.y.), geological time (millions of years), mass extinctions (approximately 26 m.y.). “Ecological time” and “geological time” are defined temporally as the intervals between events of the second and fourth tiers, respectively. Gould's (1985) “paradox of the first tier” can be resolved, at least in part, through the undoing of Darwinian natural selection at the first tier by Milankovitch cycles at the second tier.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © The Paleontological Society 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Literature Cited

Anderson, R. Y. 1982. A long geoclimatic record from the Permian. Journal of Geophysical Research 87C:72857294.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Arthur, M. A., and Garrison, R. E. 1986. Cyclicity in the Milankovitch band through geologic time: an introduction. Paleoceanography 1:369372.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barnosky, C. W. 1984. Late Miocene vegetational and climatic variations inferred from a pollen record in northwest Wyoming. Science 223:4951.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Bartlein, P. J., and Prentice, I. C. 1989. Orbital variations, climate and paleoecology. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 4:195199.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Berger, A. 1978. Long-term variations of caloric insolation resulting from the earth's orbital elements. Quaternary Research 9:139167.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Berger, A. 1984. Accuracy and frequency stability of the earth's orbital elements during the Quaternary. Pp. 329. In Berger, A. L., Imbrie, J., Hays, J., Kukla, G., and Saltzman, B. (eds.), Milankovitch and Climate, Part I. D. Reidel Publishing Company; Dordrecht.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Berger, A., and Pestiaux, P. 1984. Accuracy and stability of the Quaternary terrestrial insolation. Pp. 83111. In Berger, A. L., Imbrie, J., Hays, J., Kukla, G., and Saltzman, B. (eds.), Milankovitch and Climate, Part I. D. Reidel Publishing Company; Dordrecht.Google Scholar
Bottjer, D. J., Arthur, M. A., Dean, W. E., Hattin, D. E., and Savrda, C. E. 1986. Rhythmic bedding produced in Cretaceous pelagic carbonate environments: sensitive recorders of climatic cycles. Paleoceanography 1:467481.Google Scholar
Bradley, R. S. 1985. Quaternary Paleoclimatology: Methods of Paleoclimatic Reconstruction. Allen & Unwin; Boston.Google Scholar
Briskin, M., and Harrell, J. 1980. Time-series analysis of the Pleistocene deep-sea paleoclimatic record. Marine Geology 36:122.Google Scholar
Chappell, J. 1974. Geology of coral terraces, Huon Peninsula, New Guinea: a study of Quaternary tectonic movements and sea-level changes. Geological Society of America Bulletin 85:553570.2.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Climap, . 1976. The surface of ice age earth. Science 191:11311137.Google Scholar
Cohmap, . 1988. Climatic changes of the last 18,000 years: observations and model simulations. Science 241:10431052.Google Scholar
Colinvaux, P. A. 1989. Ice-age Amazon revisited. Nature 340:188189.Google Scholar
Coope, G. R. 1978. Constancy of species versus inconstancy of Quaternary environments. Pp. 176187. In Mound, L. A., and Waloff, N. (eds.), Diversity of Insect Faunas. Blackwell Scientific Publications; Oxford.Google Scholar
Coope, G. R. 1979. Late Cenozoic fossil Coleoptera: evolution, biogeography, and ecology. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 10:247267.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Coope, G. R. 1987. The response of late Quaternary insect communities to sudden climatic changes. Pp. 421438. In Gee, J. H. R., and Giller, P. S. (eds.), Organization of Communities: Past and Present. Blackwell Scientific Publications; Oxford.Google Scholar
Cronin, T. M. 1985. Speciation and stasis in marine Ostracoda: climatic modulation of evolution. Science 227:6063.Google Scholar
Cronin, T. M. 1987. Speciation and cyclic climatic change. Pp. 333342. In Rampino, M. R., Sanders, J. E., Newman, W. S., and Königsson, C. K. (eds.), Climate: History, Periodicity, and Predictability. Van Nostrand Publishing Company; New York.Google Scholar
Darwin, C. 1859. On the Origin of Species. John Murray; London.Google Scholar
Davis, M., Hut, P., and Muller, R. A. 1984. Extinction of species by periodic comet showers. Nature 308:715717.Google Scholar
Davis, M. B. 1976. Pleistocene biogeography of temperate deciduous forests. Geoscience and Man 13:1326.Google Scholar
Davis, M. B. 1981. Quaternary history and the stability of forest communities. Pp. 132153. In West, D. C., Shugart, H. H., and Botkin, D. B. (eds.), Forest Succession: Concepts and Applications. Springer-Verlag; New York.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dean, W. E., and Gardner, J. V. 1986. Milankovitch cycles in Neogene deep-sea sediment. Paleoceanography 1:539553.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Delcourt, P. A., and Delcourt, H. R. 1987. Long-term Forest Dynamics of the Temperate Zone. Ecological Studies 63. Springer-Verlag; New York.Google Scholar
Denton, G. H., and Hughes, T. J. 1981. The Last Great Ice Sheets. Wiley; New York.Google Scholar
Dexter, F., Banks, H. T., and Webb, T. III. 1987. Modeling Holocene changes in the location and abundance of beech populations in eastern North America. Review of Palaeobotany and Palynology 50:273292.Google Scholar
Eldredge, N., and Gould, S. J. 1972. Punctuated equilibria: an alternative to phyletic gradualism. Pp. 82115. In Schopf, T. J. M. (ed.), Models in Paleobiology. Freeman, Cooper and Company; San Francisco.Google Scholar
Fischer, A. G. 1984. The two Phanerozoic supercycles. Pp. 129150. In Berggren, W. A., and van Couvering, J. A. (eds.), Catastrophes and Earth History: The New Uniformitarianism. Princeton University Press; Princeton.Google Scholar
Fischer, A. G. 1986. Climatic rhythms recorded in strata. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences 14:351376.Google Scholar
Flenley, J. R. 1979. The Equatorial Rain Forest: A Geological History. Butterworths; London.Google Scholar
Gettzenauer, K. R. 1972. The Pleistocene calcareous nanno-plankton of the subantarctic Pacific Ocean. Deep-Sea Research 29:4560.Google Scholar
Glancy, T. J. Jr., Barron, E. J., and Arthur, M. A. 1986. An initial study of the sensitivity of modeled Cretaceous climate to cyclical insolation forcing. Paleoceanography 1:523537.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gould, S. J. 1985. The paradox of the first tier: an agenda for paleobiology. Paleobiology 11:212.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gould, S. J., and Eldredge, N. 1977. Punctuated equilibria: the tempo and mode of evolution reconsidered. Paleobiology 3:115151.Google Scholar
Gould, S. J., and Vrba, E. S. 1982. Exaptation—a missing term in the science of form. Paleobiology 8:415.Google Scholar
Graham, R. W. 1986. Response of mammalian communities to environmental changes during the late Quaternary. Pp. 300313. In Diamond, J., and Case, T. J. (eds.), Community Ecology. Harper and Row; New York.Google Scholar
Hallam, A. 1983. Plate tectonics and evolution. Pp. 347366. In Bendall, D. S. (ed.), Evolution from Molecules to Men. Cambridge University Press; Cambridge.Google Scholar
Hardie, L. A., Bosellini, A., and Goldhammer, R. K. 1986. Repeated subaerial exposure of subtidal carbonate platforms, Triassic, northern Italy: evidence for high frequency sea level oscillations on a 104 year scale. Paleoceanography 1:447457.Google Scholar
Harris, A. W., and Ward, W. R. 1982. Dynamical constraints on the formation and evolution of planetary bodies. Annual Reviews of Earth and Planetary Sciences 10:61108.Google Scholar
Hays, J. D., Imbrie, J., and Shackleton, N. J. 1976. Variations in the earth's orbit: pacemaker of the ice ages. Science 194:11211132.Google Scholar
Heisler, J., and Tremaine, S. 1989. How dating uncertainties affect the detection of periodicity in extinctions and craters. Icarus 77:213219.Google Scholar
Herbert, T. D., and Fischer, A. G. 1986. Milankovitch climatic origin of mid-Cretaceous black shale rhythms in central Italy. Nature 321:739743.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Herbert, T. D., Stallard, R. F., and Fischer, A. G. 1986. Anoxic events, productivity rhythms, and the orbital signature in a mid-Cretaceous deep-sea sequence from central Italy. Paleoceanography 1:495506.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hooghiemstra, H. 1984. Vegetational and climatic history of the High Plains of Bogota, Colombia: a continuous record of the last 3.5 million years. Dissertationes Botanicae 79. J. Cramer Verlag; Vaduz.Google Scholar
Huntley, B., and Birks, H. J. B. 1983. An Atlas of Past and Present Pollen Maps for Europe 0–13,000 Years Ago. Cambridge University Press; Cambridge.Google Scholar
Huntley, B., and Webb, T. III (eds.). 1988. Handbook of Vegetation Science 7. Vegetation History. Kluwer Academic Publishers; Dordrecht.Google Scholar
Huntley, B., and Webb, T. III. 1989. Migration: “species” response to climatic variations caused by changes in the earth's orbit. Journal of Biogeography 16:519.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Imbrie, J. 1985. A theoretical framework for the Pleistocene ice ages. Journal of the Geological Society of London 142:417432.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Imbrie, J., and Imbrie, K. P. 1979. Ice Ages: Solving the Mystery. Macmillan; London.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Imbrie, J., and Kipp, N. G. 1971. A new micropaleontological method for quantitative paleoclimatology: application to a late Pleistocene Caribbean core. Pp. 71181. In Turekian, K. K. (ed.), The Late Cenozoic Glacial Ages. Yale University Press; New Haven.Google Scholar
Jablonski, D. 1986. Background and mass extinctions: the alternation of macroevolutionary regimes. Science 231:129133.Google Scholar
Jacobson, G. L. Jr., Webb, T. III, and Grimm, E. C. 1987. Patterns and rates of vegetation change during the deglaciation of eastern North America. Pp. 277288. In Ruddiman, W. F., and Wright, H. E. Jr. (eds.), The Geology of North America, Volume K-3: North America and Adjacent Oceans During the Last Deglaciation. Geological Society of America; Boulder, Colorado.Google Scholar
Kershaw, A. P. 1986. Climatic change and aboriginal burning in north-east Australia during the last two glacial/interglacial cycles. Nature 322:4749.Google Scholar
Kutzbach, J. E. 1976. The nature of climate and climatic variations. Quaternary Research 6:471480.Google Scholar
Kutzbach, J. E., and Guetter, P. J. 1986. The influence of changing orbital parameters and surface boundary conditions on climate simulations for the past 18,000 years. Journal of Atmospheric Sciences 43:17261759.Google Scholar
Levinton, J. 1988. Genetics, Paleontology, and Macroevolution. Cambridge University Press; Cambridge.Google Scholar
Mayr, E. 1942. Systematics and the Origin of Species. Columbia University Press; New York.Google Scholar
McIntyre, A. 1967. Coccoliths as paleoclimate indicators of Pleistocene glaciation. Science 158:13141317.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McIntyre, A., Ruddiman, W. F., and Jantzen, R. 1972. Southward penetrations of the North Atlantic polar front: faunal and floral evidence of large-scale surface water mass movements over the last 225,000 years. Deep-Sea Research 19:6177.Google Scholar
Mitchell, J. M. Jr. 1976. An overview of climatic variability and its causal mechanisms. Quaternary Research 6:481493.Google Scholar
Moore, T. C. Jr., Pisias, N. G., and Dunn, D. A. 1982. Carbonate time series of the Quaternary and late Miocene sediments in the Pacific Ocean: a spectral comparison. Marine Geology 46:217233.Google Scholar
Morley, J. J., and Hays, J. D. 1983. Oceanographic conditions associated with high abundances of the radiolarian Cycladophora davisiana. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 66:6372.Google Scholar
Newsome, J., and Flenley, J. R. 1988. Late Quaternary vegetational history of the Central Highlands of Sumatra. II. Palaeopalynology and vegetational history. Journal of Biogeography 15:555578.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Olsen, P. E. 1986. A 40-million-year lake record of early Mesozoic orbital climatic forcing. Science 234:842848.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Park, J., and T. D. Herbert. 1987. Hunting for paleoclimatic periodicities in a geologic time series with an uncertain time scale. Journal of Geophysical Research 92B:1402714040.Google Scholar
Patterson, C., and Smith, A. B. 1989. Periodicity in extinctions: the role of systematics. Ecology 70:802811.Google Scholar
Peacock, J. D. 1989. Marine molluscs and late Quaternary environmental studies with particular reference to the late-glacial period in northwest Europe: a review. Quaternary Science Reviews 8:179192.Google Scholar
Pisias, N. G., and Mix, A. C. 1988. Aliasing of the geologic record and the search for long-period Milankovitch cycles. Paleoceanography 3:613619.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pollack, J. B. 1982. Solar, astronomical, and atmospheric effects on climate. Pp. 6876. In Studies in Geophysics: Climate and Earth History. National Academy Press; Washington D.C.Google Scholar
Potts, D. C. 1983. Evolutionary disequilibrium among Indo-Pacific corals. Bulletin of Marine Science 33:619632.Google Scholar
Potts, D. C. 1984. Generation times and the Quaternary evolution of reef-building corals. Paleobiology 10:4858.Google Scholar
Quinn, J. F., and Signor, P. W. 1989. Death stars, ecology and mass extinctions. Ecology 70:824834.Google Scholar
Raffi, S. 1986. The significance of marine boreal molluscs in the early Pleistocene faunas of the Mediterranean area. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 52:267289.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Raup, D. M., and Sepkoski, J. J. Jr. 1984. Periodicity of extinctions in the geologic past. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (USA) 81:801805.Google Scholar
Raup, D. M., and Sepkoski, J. J. Jr. 1986. Periodic extinction of families and genera. Science 231:833836.Google Scholar
Raup, D. M., and Sepkoski, J. J. Jr. 1988. Testing for periodicity of extinction. Science 241:9496.Google Scholar
Ruddiman, W. F., and Raymo, M. E. 1988. Northern hemisphere climate regimes during the past 3 Ma: possible tectonic connections. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London 318B:411430.Google Scholar
Ruddiman, W. F., Raymo, M. E., and McIntyre, A. 1986. Matuyama 41,000-year cycles: North Atlantic Ocean and northern hemisphere ice sheets. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 80:117129.Google Scholar
Sancetta, C., and Robinson, S. W. 1983. Diatom evidence on Wisconsin and Holocene events in the Bering Sea. Quaternary Research 20:232245.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sepkoski, J. J. Jr. 1989. Periodicity in extinctions and the problem of catastrophism in the history of life. Journal of the Geological Society, London 146:719.Google Scholar
Sergin, V. Ya. 1979. Numerical modeling of the glaciers-ocean-atmosphere global system. Journal of Geophysical Research 84C:31913204.Google Scholar
Sergin, V. Ya. 1980. Origin and mechanism of large-scale climatic oscillations. Science 209:14771482.Google Scholar
Shackleton, N. J., Imbrie, J., and Pisias, N. G. 1988. The evolution of oceanic oxygen-isotope variability in the North Atlantic over the past three million years. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London 318B:679688.Google Scholar
Singh, G., and Geissler, E. A. 1985. Late Cainozoic history of vegetation, fire, lake levels and climate, at Lake George, New South Wales, Australia. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London 311B:379447.Google Scholar
Spaulding, W. G., Leopold, E. B., and van Devender, T. R. 1983. Late Wisconsin paleoecology of the American southwest. Pp. 259293. In Porter, S. C. (ed.), Late Quaternary Environments of the United States. Volume 1. The Late Pleistocene. Longman; London.Google Scholar
Stager, J. C. 1988. Environmental changes at Lake Cheshi, Zambia since 40,000 years B.P. Quaternary Research 29:5465.Google Scholar
Stanley, S. M. 1985. Rates of evolution. Paleobiology 11:1326.Google Scholar
Stigler, S. M., and Wagner, M. J. 1987. A substantial bias in nonparametric tests for periodicity in geophysical data. Science 215:15011503.Google Scholar
Stigler, S. M., and Wagner, M. J. 1988. Response (to Raup and Sepkoski [1988]). Science 241:9699.Google Scholar
Streeter, S. S., and Shackleton, N. J. 1979. Paleocirculation of the deep North Atlantic: 150,000 year record of benthic foraminifera and oxygen-18. Science 203:168171.Google Scholar
Thomsen, E., and Vorren, T. O. 1986. Macrofaunal palaeoecology and stratigraphy in late Quaternary shelf sediments off northern Norway. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 56:103150.Google Scholar
Tiwari, R. K. 1987. Higher-order eccentricity cycles of the middle and late Miocene climatic variations. Nature 327:219221.Google Scholar
van Donk, J. 1976. An O18 record of the Atlantic Ocean for the entire Pleistocene epoch. Geological Society of America Memoir 145:147163.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Walker, D., and Flenley, J. R. 1979. Late Quaternary vegetational history of the Enga Province of upland Papua New Guinea. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London 286B:265344.Google Scholar
Webb, T. III. 1987. The appearance and disappearance of major vegetational assemblages: long-term vegetational dynamics in eastern North America. Vegetatio 69:177187.Google Scholar
West, R. G. 1964. Inter-relations of ecology and Quaternary paleobotany. Journal of Ecology Supplement 52:4757.Google Scholar
West, R. G. 1980. Pleistocene forest history of East Anglia. New Phytologist 85:571622.Google Scholar
Wigley, T. M. L. 1981. Climate and paleoclimate: what can we learn about solar luminosity variations? Solar Physics 74:435471.Google Scholar