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Accuracy, Language Dependence, and Joyce's Argument for Probabilism

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 January 2022

Branden Fitelson
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Abstract

In this article, I explain how a variant of David Miller's argument concerning the language dependence of the accuracy of predictions can be applied to Joyce's notion of the accuracy of “estimates of numerical truth-values” (i.e., Joycean credences). This leads to a potential problem for Joyce's accuracy-dominance-based argument for the conclusion that credences (understood as “estimates of numerical truth-values” in Joyce's sense) should obey the probability calculus.

Type
Research Article
Information
Philosophy of Science , Volume 79 , Issue 1 , January 2012 , pp. 167 - 174
Copyright
Copyright © The Philosophy of Science Association

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Footnotes

‡

I would like to thank Kenny Easwaran, Ben Levinstein, David Miller, Wolfgang Schwarz, Mike Titelbaum, Robbie Williams, and two anonymous referees of this journal for useful comments on earlier drafts.

References

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