Published online by Cambridge University Press: 01 January 2022
Agreement between “independent” measurements of a theoretically posited quantity is intuitively compelling evidence that a theory is, loosely speaking, on the right track. But exactly what conclusion is warranted by such agreement? I propose a new account of the phenomenon’s epistemic significance within the framework of Bayesian epistemology. I contrast my proposal with the standard Bayesian treatment, which lumps the phenomenon under the heading of “evidential diversity.”
For helpful feedback and discussion, I thank Martin Barrett, Malcolm Forster, Elliott Sober, Michael Titelbaum, Peter Vranas, and audiences at the University of Wisconsin–Madison, the London School of Economics, and the PSA 2012.