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A Naturalist’s Guide to Objective Chance

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 January 2022

Nina Emery
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Abstract

I argue that there are such things as nomological probabilities—probabilities that play a certain explanatory role with respect to stable, long-run relative frequencies. Indeed, I argue, we should be willing to accept nomological probabilities even if they turn out to be metaphysically weird or even wholly sui generis entities. I then give an example of one way in which this argument should shape future work on the metaphysics of chance by describing a challenge to a common group of analyses of objective probability—Humean analyses—understood as analyses of nomological probability.

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Type
Research Article
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Philosophy of Science , Volume 84 , Issue 3 , July 2017 , pp. 480 - 499
Copyright
Copyright © The Philosophy of Science Association

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