Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-dk4vv Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-28T00:56:02.700Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Election Fundamentals and Polls Favor the Republicans

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 October 2014

Benjamin Highton
Affiliation:
University of California, Davis
Eric McGhee
Affiliation:
Public Policy Institute of California
John Sides
Affiliation:
George Washington University

Abstract

Image of the first page of this content. For PDF version, please use the ‘Save PDF’ preceeding this image.'
Type
Symposium: The 2014 Midterm Election Forecasts
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2014 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Jacobson, Gary. 2012. The Politics of Congressional Elections. New York: Pearson.Google Scholar
Jackman, Simon. 2004. “Bayesian Analysis for Political Research.” Annual Review of Political Science 7: 483505.Google Scholar
Linzer, Drew A. 2013. “Dynamic Bayesian Forecasting of Presidential Elections in the States.” Journal of the American Statistical Association 108 (501): 124–34.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lauderdale, Benjamin E., and Linzer, Drew A.. 2014. “Under-performing, Over-performing, or Just Performing? The Limitations of Fundamentals-based Presidential Election Forecasting.” Unpublished manuscript.Google Scholar
Sides, John. 2014. “Four Suggestions for Making Election Forecasts Better, and Better Known.” PS: Political Science and Politics 47 (2): 339–41.Google Scholar