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Presidential Vote Models: A Recount

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  16 May 2002

Larry M. Bartels  and
John Zaller
Larry M. Bartels
Affiliation:
Princeton University
John Zaller
Affiliation:
University of California, Los Angeles
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Extract

Was it Al Gore's election to lose? Most political scientists, includeing us, believed that peace and a booming economy would give Gore a significant advantage in the 2000 presidential race. The election outcome—a virtual dead heat in the popular vote—has prompted two reactions that seem to us to be quite wrong-headed.

Type
Research Article
Information
PS: Political Science & Politics , Volume 34 , Issue 1 , March 2001 , pp. 9 - 20
Copyright
© 2001 by the American Political Science Association

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Footnotes

* We thank Adam Berinsky, James Campbell, David Karol, Michael Rothschild, Lynn Vavreck, and Christopher Wlezien for helpful comments on an earlier draft.