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A General Linear Model for Estimating Effect Size in the Presence of Publication Bias

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 January 2025

Jack L. Vevea*
Affiliation:
University of Chicago
Larry V. Hedges
Affiliation:
University of Chicago
*
Requests for reprints and for the computer program employed in this work may be directed to Jack L. Vevea, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3270.

Abstract

When the process of publication favors studies with small p-values, and hence large effect estimates, combined estimates from many studies may be biased. This paper describes a model for estimation of effect size when there is selection based on one-tailed p-values. The model employs the method of maximum likelihood in the context of a mixed (fixed and random) effects general linear model for effect sizes. It offers a test for the presence of publication bias, and corrected estimates of the parameters of the linear model for effect magnitude. The model is illustrated using a well-known data set on the benefits of psychotherapy.

Type
Original Paper
Copyright
Copyright © 1995 The Psychometric Society

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Footnotes

Authors' note: The contributions of the authors are considered equal, and the order of authorship was chosen to be reverse-alphabetical.

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