Climate change – risk prognosis for children
Increasing risk of heat waves
Global climate change with rising average temperatures is the central threat worldwide to our environment and thus also to the health of the population. About two billion people worldwide do not have access to clean drinking water today, and about half of the world’s population suffers from severe water scarcity for at least part of the year. These numbers are expected to rise due to climate change and population growth(Reference Lee and Romero1). As global warming increases, even residents of temperate latitudes will face overheating and heat waves in the coming years and decades. Global warming will have a significant impact on the quality of life and sustainability (such as reducing emissions, expanding the share of renewable energy, and optimising the circular economy), especially in cities(Reference Lee and Romero1,Reference Nazarian, Krayenhoff and Bechtel2) .
Already, about 559 million children are affected by frequent heat waves, and about 624 million children are exposed to one of three other heat measures: duration of heat wave, severity of heat wave, or extremely high temperatures. By 2050, virtually every child on Earth – more than 2 billion children – is expected to be exposed to more frequent heat waves. Children in northern regions will face the most dramatic increase in heat waves, while nearly half of all children in Africa and Asia will be permanently exposed to extremely high temperatures by 2050(3). These findings underscore the urgent need to adapt the services children rely on as unavoidable impacts of global heating unfold.
Climate change and lifestyle
Since climate change is largely determined by current lifestyles, a fundamental paradigm shift in the assessment of current lifestyles is necessary for risk reduction. Globally, goals have been formulated, for example, in the UN’s Sustainable Developmental Goals and in the guidelines of the Paris Climate Change Agreement(4).
Eating and drinking habits
Dietary habits are an important component in the actions to address the global challenge of climate change for future generations. Specifically, this challenge for food habits means that a shift to a plant-based diet and sustainable food production is necessary(5). However, water, the most important food for humans, has not been sufficiently considered in terms of the required dietary change.
Fluid balance and temperature regulation
Water: physiological requirement
The human body consists of a considerable amount of water. This involves orders of magnitude from 70–80 % in newborns to 40–50 % in adults and 35 % in the elderly. The daily turnover rate of water is higher than that of any other nutrient, ranging in magnitude from one-sixth of body weight per d in infants to about one-fortieth in adults(Reference Manz, Wentz and Sichert-Hellert6,Reference Kalhoff, Hilbig and Libuda7) . Even small water deficits lead to functional impairments, whereas increased drinking of water in children can, for example, promote cognitive performance(Reference Drozdowska, Falkenstein and Jendrusch8).
Water and child health
Children are a particularly vulnerable group when it comes to protecting their health. For example, the regulation of water balance in the body is particularly susceptible to disruption. On the one hand, children need more water than adults in relation to their body weight. Both an insufficient quantity and an insufficient quality of water endanger the health and development of children. This is all the more true for the youngest children. Literature data suggest that children in Europe, for example, already consume slightly less fluid than the recommended amount on average every day(Reference Iglesia, Guelinckx and De Miguel-Etayo9).
Temperature regulation in heat
The rate of heat storage in the body (S) can be described as the difference between the metabolic rate (M), the external work rate (Wk), the rates of heat transfer by conduction (K), radiation (R), convection (C) and evaporation (E) from the skin surface, and the rates of heat transfer by convection and evaporation from the respiratory tract (Cres and Eres), thus:
S = M - Wk - K - R - C - E - (Cres + Eres)(Reference Cramer, Gagnon and Laitano10).
As the ambient temperatures increase, the possibility of heat transfer via the processes of radiation and convection decreases. From about 35 degrees, effective heat loss to avoid overheating of the body is only possible through sweating (Fig.1).
In relation to their body weight, children have a much larger body surface area than adults. In contrast, the capacities for active counter-regulatory processes (often as a function of body mass) are still relatively low. Therefore, children have an increased risk of overheating in heat waves, particularly when the ambient temperature exceeds the skin temperature at over 30 degrees Celsius(Reference Cramer, Gagnon and Laitano10).
Fluid balance in heat
At high ambient temperatures, the amount of water needed to compensate for temperature via sweating increases sharply in addition to other requirements. This means that as the climate warms, the risk of water loss through the skin surface is high. As the climate warms, and particularly during heat waves, it is essential to adapt drinking habits to maintain health and performance, especially for children. Thus, the challenges of global warming should be considered in hydration recommendations for children.
Water as the regular choice of beverage
From the point of view of health care and the prevention of later diet-related diseases, water is an exceptionally healthy beverage: water is calorie-free and therefore generally the first choice for meeting fluid requirements. This is even more true when the need for fluids increases, for example, as a result of global warming. If this necessary high fluid intake is covered by drinking water, this also makes a significant contribution to sustainable nutrition from a climate protection point of view, especially if tap water is drunk. For example, the CO2 footprint when using (packaged) mineral water is many times higher compared to tap water, depending on the consideration of the individual process steps. Taken together, this results in a clear multi-perspective chain of arguments for drinking water as a regular beverage from early childhood.
However, water scarcity through climate change and the resulting increase in the costs of water can lead to inequitable access. This may deprive households of opportunities to collect the amount of safe water needed for proper handwashing and hygiene, limiting children’s ability to grow up healthy and strong. Moreover, there is a cost in terms of household income and plant health in terms of packaging and transporting water(Reference Lee and Romero1,3) .
Early Education for children
Global warming and drinking habits
An adjustment of the drinking habits is indispensable for the maintenance of health and efficiency. This will require developing environmentally friendly drinking recommendations for children that meet physiological water needs in different weather scenarios, especially in light of increasing global warming and more frequent heat waves. The fact that the messages about drinking water are positive, as opposed to restrictions or even bans (on alternative drinks that are popular with children, such as soft drinks and juices), increases the prospects for success.
Promoting drinking water in daycare centres: setting-based approach
Early education is a useful starting point when it comes to long-term acquisition of health-promoting behaviours. Learning to drink water regularly at an early stage can support a healthy lifestyle. Changing drinking habits as an adaptation to global warming should be taught to children as early as possible, that is, in daycare centres and kindergardens (e.g. as part of the concept of a ‘healthy daycare centre’). For this purpose, pedagogical concepts on the topic of weather and water should be developed for early childhood care. The importance of adequate hydration should be continuously taught, starting from early childhood. Because any type of behaviour change is challenging(Reference Scaglioni, De Cosmi and Ciappolino12), multiple approaches are needed in addition to setting-based approaches, such as home-based approaches, public health strategies, social norms or networking with community-based services.
In the face of rapid climate change, countries must act now by protecting, preparing and prioritising the high-risk population of children.
Acknowledgements
None.
Financial support
Funding from the ‘Deutsche Bundesstiftung Umwelt’ (German Federal Foundation for the Environment)
Conflict of interest
The authors have no relevant financial or non-financial interests to disclose.
Authorship
H.K. conceived the presentation; H.K. and M.K. wrote the manuscript; K.S., A.B. and T.L. contributed to the analysis and interpretation; T.L. directed the work. All authors critically reviewed the work, agreed to the version of the manuscript to be published and are responsible for all aspects of the work
Ethics of human subject participation
Not applicable
Consent for publication
All authors have seen and approved the contents of the submitted manuscript