Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-t5tsf Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-10T10:59:40.411Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Explaining Major and Third Party Candidate Entry in U.S. Gubernatorial Elections, 1980–2005

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  25 January 2021

Conor M. Dowling
Affiliation:
Yale University
Steve B. Lem
Affiliation:
Kutztown University

Abstract

While much scholarly research has focused on the quality of candidates in U.S. elections, the quantity of candidate participation has received much less attention. Consequently, there is little systematic evidence on what factors stimulate or dampen candidate entry into electoral contests, especially at the state level. In this article, we examine the effects of electoral laws, states' social and political climates, and incumbency on gubernatorial candidacies. We test our claims using an event-count model with the number of candidates contesting each gubernatorial election from 1980 to 2005 as the outcome of interest. We divide total candidate participation into major and third party candidates to observe whether the factors affect neither, one, or both types of candidacies. We find that electoral laws and incumbency play an important role in determining the number of candidacies in these elections, but the effect of these factors varies for the two types of candidates.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © 2009 by the Board of Trustees of the University of Illinois

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Ansolabehere, Stephen, and Gerber, Alan. 1996. “The Effects of Filing Fees and Petition Requirements on U. S. House Elections.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 21:249–64.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Atkeson, Lonna Rae, and Partin, Randall W.. 1995. “Economic and Referendum Voting: A Comparison of Gubernatorial and Senatorial Elections.” American Political Science Review 89:99107.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bardwell, Kedron. 2002. “Money and Challenger Emergence in Gubernatorial Primaries.” Political Research Quarterly 55:653–68.Google Scholar
Berry, William D., Ringquist, Evan J., Fording, Richard C., and Hanson, Russell L.. 1998. “Measuring Citizen and Government Ideology in the American States, 1960–93.” American Journal of Political Science 42:327–48.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Beyle, Thad, and Jensen, Jennifer M.. 2005. “Gubernatorial Campaign Expenditures Database.” www.unc.edu/~beyle/guber.html (December 20, 2007).Google Scholar
Black, Gordon S. 1972. “A Theory of Political Ambition: Career Choices and the Role of Structural Incentives.” American Political Science Review 66:144–59.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Canon, Bradley C. 1978. “Factionalism in the South: A Test of Theory and a Revisitation of V. O. Key.” American Journal of Political Science 22:833–48.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carsey, Thomas M., and Wright, Gerald C.. 1998. “State and National Factors in Gubernatorial and Senatorial Elections.” American Journal of Political Science 42:9941002.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cox, Gary W. 1997. Making Votes Count: Strategic Coordination in the World's Electoral Systems. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cox, Gary W., and Katz, Jonathan N.. 2002. Elbridge Gerry's Salamander: The Electoral Consequences of the Reapportionment Revolution. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Duverger, Maurice. 1951. Political Parties. New York, NY: John Wiley.Google Scholar
Erikson, Robert S. 1971. “The Advantage of Incumbency in Congressional Elections.” Polity 3:395405.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fenno, Richard F. 1978. Home Style: House Members in their Districts. Boston, MA: Little, Brown.Google Scholar
Fiorina, Morris P. 1977. Congress: Keystone of the Washington Establishment. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Fiorina, Morris P. 1994. “Divided Government in the American States: A Byproduct of Legislative Professionalism?American Political Science Review 88:304–16.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hibbing, John R. 1999. “Legislative Careers: Why and How We Should Study Them.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 24:149–71.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Holbrook, Thomas M., and Dunk, Emily Van. 1993. “Electoral Competition in the American States.” American Political Science Review 87:955–62.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jacobson, Gary C. 1987. “The Marginals Never Vanished: Incumbency and Competition in Elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, 1952–82.” American Journal of Political Science 31:126–41.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jacobson, Gary C. 1990. “The Effects of Campaign Spending in House Elections: New Evidence for Old Arguments.” American Journal of Political Science 34:334–62.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jacobson, Gary C., and Kernell, Samuel. 1981. Strategy and Choice in Congressional Elections. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Jensen, Jennifer M., and Beyle, Thad. 2003. “Of Footnotes, Missing Data, and Lessons for 50-State Data Collection: The Gubernatorial Campaign Finance Project, 1977–2001.” State Politics and Policy Quarterly 3:203–14.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jewell, Malcolm E., and Morehouse, Sarah M.. 1996. “What are Party Endorsements Worth? A Study of Preprimary Gubernatorial Endorsements.” American Politics Quarterly 24:338–62.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
King, Gary, Tomz, Michael, and Wittenberg, Jason. 2000. “Making the Most of Statistical Analyses: Improving Interpretation and Presentation.” American Journal of Political Science 44:347–61.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lazarus, Jeffrey. 2008. “Incumbent Vulnerability and Challenger Entry in Statewide Elections.” American Politics Research 36:108–29.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lem, Steve B., and Dowling, Conor M.. 2006. “Picking Their Spots: Minor Party Candidates in Gubernatorial Elections.” Political Research Quarterly 59:471–80.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Long, J. Scott. 1997. Regression Models for Categorical and Limited Dependent Variables. Sage Publications.Google Scholar
Maestas, Cherie D., Fulton, Sarah, Maisel, L. Sandy, and Stone, Walter J.. 2006. “When to Risk It? Institutions, Ambitions, and the Decision to Run for the U.S. House.” American Political Science Review 100:195208.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Maisel, L. Sandy, and Stone, Walter J.. 1997. “Determinants of Candidate Emergence in U. S. House Elections: An Exploratory Study.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 22:7996.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mayhew, David R. 1974. “Congressional Elections: The Case of the Vanishing Marginals.” Polity 6:295317.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McCormick, Robert E., and Tollison, Robert D.. 1978. “Legislatures as Unions.” The Journal of Political Economy 86:6378.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Niemi, Richard G., Stanley, Harold W., and Vogel, Ronald J.. 1995. “State Economies and State Taxes: Do Voters Hold Governors Accountable?American Journal of Political Science 39:936–57.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Poole, Keith T., and Rosenthal, Howard. 1997. Congress: A Political-Economic History of Roll Call Voting. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Putnam, Robert D. 2000. Bowling Alone: The Collapse and Revival of American Community. New York, NY: Simon & Schuster.Google Scholar
Squire, Peverill. 1989. “Competition and Uncontested Seats in U. S. House Elections.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 14:281–95.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Squire, Peverill. 2000. “Uncontested Seats in State Legislative Elections.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 25:131–46.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stone, Walter J., and Sandy Maisel, L.. 2003. “The Not-so-Simple Calculus of Winning: Potential U.S. House Candidates' Nomination and General Election Prospects.” The Journal of Politics 65:951–77.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stone, Walter J., Sandy Maisel, L., and Maestas, Cherie D.. 2004. “Quality Counts: Extending the Strategic Politician Model of Incumbent Deterrence.” American Journal of Political Science 48:479–95.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stratmann, Thomas. 2005. “Ballot Access Restrictions and Candidate Entry in Elections.” European Journal of Political Economy 21:5971.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Svoboda, Craig J. 1995. “Retrospective Voting in Gubernatorial Elections: 1982 and 1986.” Political Research Quarterly 48:135–50.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
The Council of State Governments. Various Years. The Book of the States. Lexington, KY: CSG.Google Scholar
Winger, Richard. 2000. “History of U.S. Ballot Access Law for New and Minor Parties.” In The Encyclopedia of Third Parties in America, eds. Ness, I. and Ciment, J.. Armonk, NY: Sharpe Reference.Google Scholar
Wright, Gerald C., Erikson, Robert S., and McIver, John P.. 1985. “Measuring State Partisanship and Ideology with Survey Data.” The Journal of Politics 47:469–89.CrossRefGoogle Scholar