Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-t5tsf Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-10T21:15:47.019Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Economic Paradigm and Demand-Side Populist Policies in Thailand

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 January 2022

Naphon Phumma
Affiliation:
Faculty of Economics, Thammasat University, Thailand
Tanadej Vechsuruck*
Affiliation:
Department of Economics, University of Rhode Island, USA
*
*Corresponding author. Email: vechsuruck@uri.edu

Abstract

In the last decades, demand-side populist policies (DSPPs) have played a significant yet controversial role in Thai politics. Most Thai economists disagree with DSPPs. They have argued that such policies are inefficient and have suggested the Thai government drop short-sighted DSPPs and replace them with supply-side policies that are more effective in the long run. However, Thai politicians have viewed DSPPs as unavoidable for political reasons and turned a deaf ear on economists’ suggestions to stop issuing them. In this paper, we argue that the domination of the neoclassical economics paradigm prevents Thai economists and politicians from understanding the role of DSPPs in shaping the demand and supply sides of the macroeconomy in both the short run and long run. Based on the theory of transformational growth, DSPPs are endogenous phenomena emerging from Thailand's uneven economic development. Therefore, Thailand could implement the policies to facilitate long-run economic growth. We propose three principles for future DSPPs that can positively impact the economy in the long run: boosting productivity, promoting innovation, and addressing income inequality.

Type
Original Article
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Institute of East Asian Studies, Sogang University

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Vejjajiva, Abhisit. 2008. “Policy statement of the government of Mr. Abhisit Vejjajiva.” Ministry of Education, 30 December. http://www.en.moe.go.th/docs/policy-statement-abhisit-ENG.pdf.Google Scholar
Asian Development Bank. 2020. Country Diagnostic Study on Long-Term Care in Thailand. Manila: Asian Development Bank. http://dx.doi.org/10.22617/TCS200373-2.Google Scholar
Phanishsarn, Aksonrnsri, and Phanishsarn, Trin. 2019. Nayobaai chim shop chai bun tao tae mai ruk sah [Chim shop chai Policy: Alleviate but not Cure], The Standard, 8 November. https://thestandard.co/chim-shop-chai-16/.Google Scholar
Laothamatas, Anek. 2006. “Taksina-prachaniyom: kwarmmai punha lae tarngork [Taksina-Populism: Meaning, problems, and solution].” King Prajadhipok's Institute, July. http://kpi.ac.th/media_kpiacth/pdf/M8_173.pdf.Google Scholar
Argyrous, George. 2002. “Endogenous demand in the theory of transformational growth.” Chap. 13 in The Economics of Demand-Led Growth: Challenging the Supply-side Vision of the Long Run, edited by Setterfield, Mark. Massachusetts: Edward Elgar Publishing.Google Scholar
Chandra, Ramesh, and Sandilands, Roger J.. 2021. “Nicholas Kaldor, increasing returns and Verdoorn’s Law.Journal of Post Keynesian Economics 44(2): 315339.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dixon, Chris. 1998. The Thai Economy: Uneven Development and Internationalisation. London: Routledge.Google Scholar
Nunphakdi, Ekkasit. 2020. Satahban koom samong: kaaiwipark karn muang khong TDRI [Think Trap: A political anatomy of TDRI]. Bangkok, Thailand: Thammsat University Press.Google Scholar
Friedman, Milton. 1968. “The role of monetary policy.American Economic Review 58(1): 117.Google Scholar
Fuller, Thomas. 2013. “Protests continue in Thailand after election is set,” New York Times, 9 December. https://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/10/world/asia/thailand-protests.html.Google Scholar
Fuller, Thomas. 2014. “Thailand's military stages coup, thwarting populist movement,” New York Times, 22 May. https://www.nytimes.com/2014/05/23/world/asia/thailand-military-coup.html.Google Scholar
Hewison, Kevin. 2014. “Considerations on inequality and politics in Thailand.Democratization 21(5): 846866.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hewison, Kevin. 2004. “Crafting Thailand's new social contract.The Pacific Review 17(4): 503522.Google Scholar
Hookway, James. 2014. “Thai military co-opts populist policies of government deposed by coup,” TheWall Street Journal, 17 June. https://www.wsj.com/articles/thai-military-co-opts-populist-policies-of-deposed-government-1402969013.Google Scholar
Isranews. 2015. “Shop chuey chart rue kae mart tra karn srang gimmick rudthabarn? [Shop chuey chart or just a gimmick],” Isranews Agency, 25 December. https://www.isranews.org/thaireform-other-news/43641-shopping.html.Google Scholar
Pinthong, Jermsak. 2004a. Roo tun thaksin [Understanding Thaksin]. Bangkok: Kor kid duay khon.Google Scholar
Pinthong, Jermsak. 2004b. Roo tun thaksin 2 [Understanding Thaksin 2]. Bangkok: Khor kid duay khon.Google Scholar
Jones, Charlie, and Pimdee, Paitoon. 2017. “Innovative ideas: Thailand 4. 0 and the fourth industrial revolution.Asian International Journal of Social Sciences 17(1): 435.Google Scholar
Kaldor, Nicholas. 1966. Causes of the Slow Rate of Economic Growth of the United Kingdom: An Inaugural Lecture. London.Google Scholar
Kaldor, Nicholas. 1967. Strategic Factors in Economic Development. New York: Cornell University Press.Google Scholar
Keynes, John Maynard. 1964 [1936]. The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money. New York: A Harvest Book.Google Scholar
Marglin, Stephen A. 1984. Growth, Distribution, and Prices. Massachusetts: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Matichon. 2017. “Nak wichakarn pud foon ‘shop chuay chart’ [Academics revives Shop chuay chart],” 6 November. https://www.matichon.co.th/economy/news_722484.Google Scholar
McCargo, Duncan, and Ukrit, Pathamanand. 2005. The Thaksinization of Thailand. Copenhagen: NIA Press.Google Scholar
McKenzie, David. 2017. “Identifying and spurring high-growth entrepreneurship: Experimental evidence from a business plan competition.American Economic Review 107(8): 22782307.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
MGROnline. 2009. “Check chuay chart lod tone daeng mai tua paen din!! [Check chuay chart decreases the shade of red not throughout the country],” 26 March. https://mgronline.com/daily/detail/9520000034817.Google Scholar
MGROnline. 2020. “Nuk sethasard mortor noon dernnah ‘Kon La Khrueng’ kratoon sethakid daijing-pookharaaiyoi dai prayoad [Thammasat economist supports Kon La Khrueng saying it stimulates economy and small entreprenuers benefit],” 18 November. https://mgronline.com/qol/detail/9630000119115.Google Scholar
Nell, Edward J. 1994. “On transformational growth Edward J. Nell interviewed by Steven Pressman.Review of Political Economy 6(1): 107132.Google Scholar
Nell, Edward J. 1998. The General Theory of Transformational Growth. Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Nell, Edward J., and Argyrous, George. 2013. “Transformational growth, endogenous demand, and a developmental ELR program.” In The Job Guarantee: Toward True Full Employment, edited by Murray, Michael and Forstater, Mathew, New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 144148.Google Scholar
Poapongsakorn, Nipon, Puntrakua, Kamphol, Nantajit, Chompunuch, Arunkhong, Danop, and Janepeungpal, Jirat. 2016. Corruption in the Paddy Pledging Policy. Bangkok: Thailand Science Research and Innovation (TSRI).Google Scholar
Bisonyabut, Nonarit. 2016. “‘Jaek ngern’ mai chuay pon wang wong yark jon nae ork nayobai rayayarw kae pun hah [‘Giving away money won’t help the poor to overcome poverty trap, suggesting policies stress on the long run].” Thailand Development Reaseach Institute (TDRI), 22 November. https://tdri.or.th/2016/11/2016-11-22-2/.Google Scholar
Phongpaichit, Pasuk, and Baker, Chris. 2008. “Thaksin's populism.Journal of Contemporary Asia 38(1): 6283.Google Scholar
Phelps, Edmund Strother. 1967. “Phillips curves, expectations of inflation and optimal unemployment.” Economica 34(135): 254–81.Google Scholar
Luengnaruemitchai, Pipat. 2017. “4 khor songsai tor marttrakarn “shop chuay chart” [4 Questions about “shop chuay chart”],” The 101 World, 8 November. https://www.the101.world/shopping-for-thailand/.Google Scholar
Luengnaruemitchai, Pipat. 2016. “Martrakarn darn paasee pue gratoon setrakid [Tax policy to stimulate the economy],” Thai Publica, 8 December. https://thaipublica.org/2016/12/pipat-51/.Google Scholar
Prachatai. 2017. “Nuk sethasard chee ‘shop chuay chart’ krum khon dai prayod kae 7% khong poo sia pasee [Economists point out only 7% of taxpayers receive benefits from shop chuay chart],” 3 December. https://prachatai.com/journal/2017/12/74404.Google Scholar
Prachatai. 2006. “Pramern pol kratob tarng setthakit khong nayobaai ruttabarn thaksin [Evaluating the economic effects of Thaksin's policies],” 30 March. https://prachatai.com/journal/2006/03/7954.Google Scholar
Kongkirati, Prajak, and Kanchoochat, Veerayooth. 2018. “The Prayuth regime: Embedded military and hierarchical capitalism in Thailand.TRaNS: Trans-Regional and -National Studies of Southeast Asia 6(2): 279305.Google Scholar
Chiengkul, Prapimphan. 2019. “Uneven development, inequality and concentration of power: A critique of Thailand 4. 0.Third World Quarterly 40(9): 16891707.Google Scholar
Chan-o-cha, Prayuth. 2014. “Policy statement of the council of ministers.” Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 12 September. https://image.mfa.go.th/mfa/0/jSk8pVMLqS/migrate_directory/news-20150317-202944-850848.pdf.Google Scholar
Ricks, Jacob. 2018. “Politics and the price of rice in Thailand: Public choice, institutional change and rural subsidies.Journal of Contemporary Asia 48(3): 395418.Google Scholar
Romer, Paul. 1986. “Increasing returns and long-run growth.Journal of Political Economy 94(5): 10021037.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Romer, Paul. 1994. “The origins of endogenous growth.Journal of Economic Perspectives 8(1): 322.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Selway, Joel Sawat. 2011. “Electoral reform and public policy outcomes in Thailand: The politics of the 30-Baht Health Scheme.World Politics 63(1): 165202.Google ScholarPubMed
Smith, Adam. 2003 [1776]. The Wealth of Nations. New York: Bantam Classics.Google Scholar
Solow, Robert M. 1956. “A contribution to the theory of economic growth.The Quarterly Journal of Economics 70(1): 6594.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tangkitvanich, Somkiat. 2015. Vigritakarn prachatippatai prachaniyom lae tarng ork tee pen prachatippatai [Democracy crisis, populism, and democratic solutions]. Bangkok: King Prajadhipok's Institute.Google Scholar
Thailand Development Research Institute. 2013. Paa tarng tunpra ted thai garl karm prachaniyom soo karn terb toh young yeun [Break the deadlockThailand overcoming populism toward sustainability], 25 November. https://tdri.or.th/2013/11/year-end-2013-ptk/.Google Scholar
Thairath. 2016. “Ruam tee sud! project kra tun setrakid pee 59 khong kwan jark ruttabarn hai khon thai [2016 Stimulus plan: A gift from Thai government for Thai people],” 30 December. https://www.thairath.co.th/content/821490.Google Scholar
Jenmana, Thanasak. 2018. “Income inequality, political instability, and the Thai democratic struggle.” The Paris School of Economics Masters in Analysis and Policy in Economics Working Paper. September. http://www.piketty.pse.ens.fr/files/Jenmana2018.pdfGoogle Scholar
The Sub-Committee on Monetary, Fiscal and Budget Policies. 2011. Wi kror lae seuksah pongratob nayoobai prachaniyom kahraeng lae ngernduen kong nayobai rudtabarn yuk mai tum dai jing rue? [An Analysis the Effects of Populist Policies: Wages and Salaries of the New Government. Is it Plausible?]. Bangkok.Google Scholar
Thirlwall, Anthony. P. 2015. “A plain man’s guide to Kaldor’s growth laws.” In Essays on Keynesian and Kaldorian Economics, by Thirlwall, A. P.. London: Palgrave Macmillan, 326338.Google Scholar
Santiprabhob, Veerathai. 2013. Chuan kid 3 naew tarng yoo kub prachaniyom bab thai thai [3 Ways how to Live with Thai Populism]. October 15. https://tdri.or.th/2013/10/thai-populism-veerathai/.Google Scholar
Kanchoochat, Veerayooth. 2019. Sethakid sarm see-sethakid haeng anakod [Three-Color Economy -Economy for the Future]. Bangkok: Bookscape.Google Scholar
Verdoorn, Petrus J. 1949. “Fattori che regolano lo sviluppo della produttivita del lavoro.Ed. L'industria: 310.Google Scholar
Verdoorn, Petrus J. 1980. “Verdoorn's law in retrospect: A comment.The Economic Journal 90(358): 382385.Google Scholar
Shinawatra, Yingluck. 2011. “Policy statement of the council of ministers.” Ministry of Energy, 23 August. http://www.eppo.go.th/images/POLICY/ENG/gov-policy-2554-E.pdf.Google Scholar
Young, Allyn A. 1928. “Increasing returns and economic progress.The Economic Journal 38(152): 527542.Google Scholar