Introduction
The black-and-white snub-nosed monkey Rhinopithecus bieti is endemic to Yunnan, China, and categorized as Endangered on the IUCN Red List (Bleisch & Richardson, Reference Bleisch and Richardson2008). Surveys have shown that the monkeys live in 15 isolated groups, with a total of c. 2,500 individuals (Jin & Long, Reference Jin and Long2010), in a narrow range from Mangkang in Tibet to Yunlong in the Yunling Mountains, in Yunnan Province, at 1,800–4,513 m altitude (Long et al., Reference Long, Kirkpatrick, Zhong and Xiao1994, Reference Long, Kirkpatrick, Zhong and Xiao1996). Groups are scattered in the Three Parallel Rivers region, one of the most ecologically important areas in China, the rugged terrain of which makes it difficult to carry out surveys. Circa 80% of the species’ global population is distributed in the north-west region of Yunnan and the remainder is in south-east Tibet. The species is threatened by habitat alteration (Zhao, Reference Zhao1988; Zhao et al., Reference Zhao, He, Wu and Nash1988), poaching (Bai, Reference Bai1987) and economic activities such as farming and collection of timber (Xiang et al., Reference Xiang, Huo, Wang, Cui, Xaio, Quan and Tai2007a), and the areas between populations are damaged by logging, grazing, mining, agriculture and the livelihood activities of local people, including firewood collection. Because of this habitat fragmentation the monkeys may incur a high energy cost if they travel long distances between habitat patches (Kirkpatrick, Reference Kirkpatrick1996; Ren et al., Reference Ren, Li, Long, Wu and Wei2009). Fragmentation may also prevent genetic exchange between populations, making the species more vulnerable to extinction (Xiao et al., Reference Xiao, Ding, Cui, Zhou and Zhao2003; Li et al., Reference Li, Grueter, Ren, Long, Li, Peng and Wei2008; Li et al., Reference Li, Yu, Ren, Li, Wu and Long2009a,Reference Li, Yu, Ren, Xie, Huang and Longb; Liu et al., Reference Liu, Ren, Wu, Zhao, Hao and Wang2009; Grueter et al., Reference Grueter, Li, Ren, Xiang and Li2012).
Based on genetic analysis R. bieti populations have been grouped into five management units (S1–S5) for conservation (Liu et al., Reference Liu, Ren, Wei, Long, Hao and Li2007, Reference Liu, Ren, Wu, Zhao, Hao and Wang2009). S1 is in the north-west of the range, confined within an isolated patch of forest and separated from the other management units by National Road 214 and a strip of human settlements. National Road 214 also separates S1 and S2 from the other management units. To the south-east, S4 and S5 are surrounded by cultivated land and towns (Fig. 1).
Where required, reserve managers need to establish habitat corridors to facilitate genetic exchange between populations, identifying priority areas for restoration to increase landscape connectivity.
Here we address the issue of how habitat corridors linking isolated groups of R. bieti can be designed effectively. We compare Euclidean distance and land-cover weighted, human-disturbance weighted cost distances between groups, and on this basis we propose priority areas for habitat restoration and make recommendations for managers.
Study area
R. bieti populations are localized in ridge-top patches of primary forest along the 300 km spine of the Yunling Mountains (Fig. 1). Given the lack of data from the Tibet Autonomous Region (groups G1–G3), this study is limited to populations within Yunnan Province and is based on previous genetic studies that identified 12 discrete groups in Yunnan (G4–G15; Liu et al., Reference Liu, Ren, Wei, Long, Hao and Li2007, 2009).
Ecological conditions vary from north to south within the species’ distribution range. Towards the south the mountains decrease in elevation, and temperature, precipitation and biodiversity increase. The northern group of monkeys forages in dark coniferous forest dominated by fir, and the diet of this group consists primarily of lichens (Kirkpatrick et al., Reference Kirkpatrick, Long, Zhong and Xiao1998). The middle and southern groups forage primarily in mixed coniferous and broadleaf forest and their diet is more diverse. Habitats at lower elevations tend to be complex in terms of plant species composition and usually contain more diverse food items than habitats at higher elevations. From north to south, R. bieti show a tendency to feed on more plant species and to consume more non-lichen foods (Xiang et al., Reference Xiang, Huo, Xiao, Quan and Grueter2007b). Overall, forest vegetation in this region can be categorized as follows, ranked in descending order of elevation: (1) dark-coniferous forest (Abies georgei), (2) mixed coniferous and broadleaf forest, and (3) Yunnan pine Pinus yunnanensis forest. Only (1) and (2) are known to be suitable habitats for R. bieti (Kirkpatrick et al., Reference Kirkpatrick, Long, Zhong and Xiao1998; Xiao et al., Reference Xiao, Ding, Cui, Zhou and Zhao2003; Li et al., Reference Li, Grueter, Ren, Long, Li, Peng and Wei2008).
Methods
The analysis was based on a classified vegetation map (2.5 × 2.5 km resolution) derived from an assemblage of 13 SPOT5 satellite images (November 2004, 60 × 60 km) covering the study area, with ground-truthing carried out by the Conservation Information Centre of The Nature Conservancy's China programme.
The genetic distances between pairs of monkey populations were obtained from Liu et al. (Reference Liu, Ren, Wei, Long, Hao and Li2007, Reference Liu, Ren, Wu, Zhao, Hao and Wang2009), in which two blood, two muscle and 203 faecal samples from eight groups (G4, 5, 6, 9, 10, 11, 13, 15) across our study area were assessed by sequencing across 401 bp of the hypervariable I segment of the mitochondrial DNA of 157 individuals. In total, 52 variable sites were found and 30 haplotypes defined (Liu et al., Reference Liu, Ren, Wei, Long, Hao and Li2007). We performed a hierarchical cluster analysis on the genetic distance matrix, using Rousset's distance measure FST/(1-FST) to visualize genetic proximity between all groups. The analysis was based on Ward's method, implemented in R v. 2.14.1 (Ward, Reference Ward1963; R Development Core Team, 2012).
We performed a least-cost path analysis to identify potential dispersal corridors and determine the cost of movement. This approach calculates between-patch distances, based on assignment of relative resistance to dispersal for each cover type in the landscape. A routing Djikstra algorithm then finds the least costly path from a donor patch to a target patch, and the cost of this path is taken as the distance between the two patches. According to the vegetation map there are five land-cover categories: optimal suitable habitat (dark coniferous forest), suboptimal habitat (mixed coniferous and broadleaf forest), shrubs, meadows and cultivated land.
We extracted four human-disturbance factors (road density, distance to road, human population density and distance to town) from 1 : 250,000 topographical maps from the China Mapping Centre. Most variables related to human disturbance are correlated, and therefore we used a principal component analysis in ArcGIS v. 9.3 (ESRI, Redlands, USA) to compute new variables, each of which was a linear combination of the original variables and orthogonal to (independent of) the others. Axis 1, bearing the largest possible variance, was divided into five classes of equal intervals, representing a gradient of human disturbance.
To infer the appropriate costs for each land-cover type and human-disturbance index class we calculated least-cost distance over a range of values and compared them to the genetic distance by (1) assigning hypothetical costs to each land-cover type or human disturbance, (2) calculating the least-cost distances between groups, based on these costs, and (3) determining the best assignments for habitat viscosity or human disturbance by comparing the correlation between the least-cost path distance for the hypothetical costs and the genetic distance matrices. The relationship between the genetic distance as response variable and the other distances (Euclidian, least cost, land cover, human disturbance) was modelled using a multiple regression of distance matrices (Lichstein, Reference Lichstein2007). A permutation test (R = 9,999) was used to test the null hypothesis of no correlation among genetic and least-cost path distance, and computing was carried out using R v. 2.14.1 and Ecodist v. 1.4–7 (Goslee & Urban, Reference Goslee and Urban2007).
The most suitable habitat and the minimum human disturbance (class 1) were assigned a resistance value of 1; the most unsuitable habitat (cultivated land) and the maximum human disturbance (class 5) were assigned a resistance value of 100 (Chardon et al., Reference Chardon, Adriaensen and Matthysen2003; Wu et al., Reference Wu, Zhou, Wang, Xiao, Teng and Peng2009). These were considered fixed values. For classes 2, 3 and 4 the resistance values were explored in increments of 10 to maximize R 2 of the multiple regression of distance matrices with land cover and human disturbance separately. This resulted in a total of 84 least-cost path analyses based on different combinations. Computing was performed using ArcView and the add-on PATHMATRIX (Ray, Reference Ray2005). We compared univariate and multivariate models (e.g. with land cover and human disturbance as independent variables) to select the best model for explaining genetic distances.
We used the optimal costs to compute least-cost paths and define potential corridors on this basis, considering both human disturbance and land-cover viscosity values. For each pixel of the map, the larger of these two values was assigned.
Based on our field experience we set three conditions for the choice of areas suitable for restoration of the black-and-white snub-nosed monkey: they should be sensitive areas and possible stepping-stones, and they should be located in a nature reserve, for ease of restoration. Sensitive areas are patches where current or future human activities are expected to cause significant damage to the ecosystem (Epps et al., Reference Epps, Wehausen, Bleich, Torres and Brashares2007; Holderegger & Wagner, Reference Holderegger and Wagner2008; Wang et al., Reference Wang, Savage and Shaffer2009; Wu et al., Reference Wu, Zhou, Wang, Xiao, Teng and Peng2009, Reference Wu, Zhou, Wang, Xiao and Teng2010; Xue et al., Reference Xue, Li, Li, Wu, Zhou and Lv2011), and stepping-stones are patches of favourable habitat that facilitate dispersal among fragmented populations (Saunders, Reference Saunders, Lindenmayer and Hobbs2007).
National Road 214 is a permanent habitat barrier, and therefore we focused on habitat restoration for groups G6–G15. We superimposed National Roads, cultivated vegetation, and towns on a map to identify gaps between favourable habitats and propose possible restoration areas.
Results
Our cluster analysis revealed three primary genetic groups (Fig. 2): (1) G13 and G15, (2) G10, G11 and G5, and (3) G4, G6, G7 and G9.
Univariate analyses showed that genetic distance was better explained by human disturbance and land-cover least-cost paths than by Euclidian distance (Table 1). Multivariate models combining land cover and human disturbance did not perform much better than univariate models, indicating a strong covariation between land cover and human disturbance. In all cases the inclusion of G11 in the analysis of the northern groups yielded a large increase in R 2, indicating that isolation by distance (R 2 = 0.15) was greater for this group. No isolation by distance (R 2 = 0.36) was found if the southern groups G11 and G13–G15 were excluded.
Fig. 3 shows the corridors obtained from the least-cost path analysis. The highest correlation between genetic and least-cost path distances (R = 0.25, P = 0.02) was obtained with cost assignments of 1, 10, 50, 60, 70, 80 and 100, based on combining human disturbance and land-cover type (Table 2).
Figs 1 and 3 show that high-quality habitats are fragmented in the southern part of the study area and are interspersed with human-influenced areas unsuitable for black-and-white snub-nosed monkeys. In this context we propose seven sensitive areas for restoration (e.g. reforestation, reinforced protection of the forest and the monkeys). Figs 1 and 3 also show the status of human disturbance at the study site.
Table 3 shows the pairwise dispersal cost between monkey populations and indicates that genetic groups G6–G10 have high connectivity with the other groups because the corridors lie in the range of suitable habitat. The areas between the southern groups (G8, G9 and G10) contain more artificial barriers than those between the northern groups (G6 and G7), indicating potentially higher connectivity among the northern groups. The groups G11 and G12 (management unit S4) have medium connectivity. Parts of the corridor cross suitable habitats, whereas other parts lie in non-suitable habitat, reducing the connectivity. The groups G14 and G15 (management unit S5) have the lowest connectivity because potential corridors lie primarily in cultivated vegetation.
Discussion
Our results show a north–south gradient of genetic isolation by distance if the southern groups G13–G15 and/or G11 are included in the analysis, and also indicate that the southernmost groups are the most genetically differentiated. This may be explained by a longer history of isolation or smaller population sizes, both of which imply a threat to the survival of these groups (Hanski et al., Reference Hanski, Pakkala, Kuussaari and Lei1995; Paetkau et al., Reference Paetkau, Calvert, Stirling and Strobeck1995). Both hypotheses are consistent with the observation that favourable habitats are smaller and more fragmented in this area (Fig. 3).
In contrast, groups G4–G11 appear to be more genetically homogenous (Fig. 2) and are still connected by forest corridors, visible both on maps and in the field, which may serve as links between patches, although the inclusion of G11 in the analysis yields significant genetic isolation by distance. Group 11 may have been isolated more recently (genetically it is closer to the groups of management unit S3) and this could also result from smaller population sizes, which would increase the level of drift and thus genetic distance. Groups 4 and 5 have been isolated from other groups even more recently by National Road 214.
The potential corridors between S3 and S4 and within S5 would be the most difficult areas to restore because human populations and infrastructure are concentrated in the southern part of the study area, around S4 and S5. These areas coincide with where the least-cost path is blocked by urbanization and the expansion of farmland; however, they represent key areas for restoration, conditional on reducing human disturbance (Dong, Reference Dong2009). Based on our analyses we propose seven areas for restoration, primarily located between S3, S4 and S5 (Fig. 3). These could be managed by the Baimang Snow Mountain Nature Reserve in Weixi, Lanping and Lijiang Counties, with the help of local authorities.
Our approach primarily identifies landscape features that strongly correlate with gene flow (Balkenhol & Landguth, Reference Balkenhol and Landguth2011; Jaquiery et al., Reference Jaquiery, Broquet, Hirzel, Yearsley and Perrin2011). We expect this to be the case with the land-cover and human-disturbance features evaluated here; however, we still know little about the ecology and behaviour of the black-and-white snub-nosed monkey.
Least-cost modelling is commonly employed to assign dispersal costs to distinct habitat types and to calculate the least costly dispersal paths among habitat patches (Epps et al., Reference Epps, Wehausen, Bleich, Torres and Brashares2007). The emerging field of landscape genetics uses high-resolution genetic data to determine the influence of landscape features such as fields (Vos et al., Reference Vos, Antonisse-De Jong, Goedhart and Smulders2001) or highways (Epps et al., Reference Epps, Bleich, Wehausen and Torres2003; Keller & Largiader, Reference Keller and Largiader2003) on gene flow and dispersal (Manel et al., Reference Manel, Schwartz, Luikart and Taberlet2003). However, power and accuracy are often questionable when relevant data on dispersal are lacking and landscape complexity increases (Balkenhol & Landguth, Reference Balkenhol and Landguth2011; Jaquiery et al., Reference Jaquiery, Broquet, Hirzel, Yearsley and Perrin2011). Our approach has, therefore, a number of limitations; for example, we simplified landscape types, categorizing them for ease of modelling. This results in an over-simplification, especially regarding vegetation conditions. A second limitation is that the anthropogenic barriers may vary (e.g. tunnels are built that may decrease mountain road traffic), and subsequently new corridors may appear in places where the species is no longer present. We dealt with this by taking into account four disturbance factors (road density, distance to road, population density and distance to town), using a principal component analysis, but until re-created corridors are used by monkeys there will always be uncertainty regarding their suitability.
The extent to which our method and results are applicable to conservation management will depend on the local landscape and the repeatability of our results across the range of the species. Direct field observations and measurements are necessary to understand the detailed effects of different habitats on dispersal; it is possible that spatial differences at a finer scale, such as subtle terrain contours in mountainous areas, contribute to the cost of traversing a landscape. With increasingly detailed spatial data these fine-scale patterns could be resolved. However, within these limitations our study is a first step towards better design of areas for restoration.
Based on our results we recommend (1) that restoration efforts focus on the current range of the monkeys, with efforts to reduce human disturbance and human population pressure and increase public awareness, and (2) the development of a long-term plan for habitat restoration and corridor design in the areas between groups, based on site-specific conditions, and regional development compatible with the protection of the species. For instance, livestock enclosures and techniques that increase agricultural efficiency could be introduced to reduce pressure on the forests that the snub-nosed monkey depends on, and measures could be taken to encourage use of fuels other than firewood. Promoting techniques that increase agricultural efficiency could help reduce the encroachment of agriculture on forests. We will convey our findings to the public and the relevant authorities, and we intend to have our recommendations integrated into the Yunnan Biodiversity Conservation Action Plan.
Acknowledgements
This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC no. 31100351). We thank Dr Zhijing Liu for contributing genetic research, and Mrs Sara Gavryck and Mrs Yongmei Luo of The Nature Conservancy's China Programme, for their valuable suggestions on data integration and processing. This research has been conducted within the context of the GDRI (International Research Network) Ecosystem Health and Environmental Disease Ecology.
Biographical sketches
Li Li’s research focuses on the conservation of the snub-nosed monkey, and approaches using geographical information systems. Yadong Xue has been involved in ecological research on the snub-nosed monkey in China since 2007. Gongsheng Wu studies the effects of habitat loss and fragmentation on biodiversity. Diqiang Li’s research focus is on biodiversity inventory and monitoring in protected areas, and regional conservation planning. He has worked on the conservation ecology and genetics of the Przewalski's gazelle, the wild camel and the golden monkey. Patrick Giradoux studies the effects of landscape on the long-term dynamics of wildlife populations and conservation, and infectious disease transmission. He works mainly in Europe and China but also in Africa, Indonesia and Mexico.