Fisheries research monitoring surveys provide an
ensemble of measurements on fish stocks and their environment. Because the
interannual variability in such survey-based indicators is high and because
diagnostics on fish stocks cannot be based on noise, our concern is to make
use of what is continuous in time to obtain a reliable diagnostic. In this
paper, we show how min/max autocorrelation factors (MAFs) can be useful for
assessing the status of a fish stock. Indeed, MAFs will allow us to (i)
summarize the multivariate indicator signals into orthogonal factors that
are continuous in time, (ii) select those indicators that carry the major
signal in time, and (iii) forecast stock status by modelling the time
continuity of the MAFs. These different potential uses of MAFs in an
indicator-based approach to assessment were illustrated with North Sea cod,
for which a suite of biological and spatial indicators are available over a
21-year survey series.