As a benchmark mortality model in forecasting future mortality rates and hedging longevity risk, the widely employed Lee–Carter model (Lee, R.D. and Carter, L.R. (1992) Modeling and forecasting U.S. mortality. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 87, 659–671.) suffers from a restrictive constraint on the unobserved mortality index for ensuring model’s identification and a possible inconsistent inference. Recently, a modified Lee–Carter model (Liu, Q., Ling, C. and Peng, L. (2018) Statistical inference for Lee–Carter mortality model and corresponding forecasts. North American Actuarial Journal, to appear.) removes this constraint and a simple least squares estimation is consistent with a normal limit when the mortality index follows from a unit root or near unit root AR(1) model with a nonzero intercept. This paper proposes a bias-corrected estimator for this modified Lee–Carter model, which is consistent and has a normal limit regardless of the mortality index being a stationary or near unit root or unit root AR(1) process with a nonzero intercept. Applications to the US mortality rates and a simulation study are provided as well.

The emission of scission neutrons from fissioning nuclei is of high practical interest. To study this process we have used the sudden approximation and also a more realistic approach that takes into account the scission dynamics. Numerically, this implies the solution of the bi-dimensional Schrödinger equation, both stationary and time-dependent. To describe axially symmetric extremely deformed nuclear shapes, we have used the Cassini parametrization. The Hamiltonian is discretized by using finite difference approximations of the derivatives. The main computational challenges are the solution of algebraic eigenvalue problems and of linear systems with large sparse matrices. We have employed appropriate procedures (Arnoldi and bi-conjugate gradients). The numerical solutions have been used to evaluate physical quantities, like the number of emitted neutrons per scission event, the primary fragments’ excitation energy and the distribution of the emission points.

The magnetization of a ferromagnetic sample solves anon-convex variational problem, where its relaxation by convexifyingthe energy density resolves relevantmacroscopic information. The numerical analysis of the relaxed modelhas to deal with a constrained convexbut degenerated, nonlocal energy functional in mixed formulation formagnetic potential u and magnetization m.In [C. Carstensen and A. Prohl, Numer. Math.90(2001) 65–99], the conforming P1 - (P0)d -element in d=2,3 spatialdimensions is shown to lead toan ill-posed discrete problem in relaxed micromagnetism, and suboptimalconvergence.This observation motivated anon-conforming finite element method which leads toa well-posed discrete problem, with solutions converging atoptimal rate.In this work, we provide both an a priori and a posteriori error analysis for twostabilized conforming methods which account for inter-element jumps of thepiecewise constant magnetization.Both methods converge at optimal rate;the new approach is applied to a macroscopic nonstationary ferromagnetic model [M. Kružík and A. Prohl, Adv. Math. Sci. Appl. 14 (2004) 665–681 – M. Kružík and T. Roubíček, Z. Angew. Math. Phys. 55 (2004) 159–182 ].

Variograms and covariance functions are the fundamental tools for modeling dependent data observed over time, space, or space-time. This paper aims at constructing nonseparable spatio-temporal variograms and covariance models. Special attention is paid to an intrinsically stationary spatio-temporal random field whose covariance function is of Schoenberg-Lévy type. The correlation structure is studied for its increment process and for its partial derivative with respect to the time lag, as well as for the superposition over time of a stationary spatio-temporal random field. As another approach, we investigate the permissibility of the linear combination of certain separable spatio-temporal covariance functions to be a valid covariance, and obtain a subclass of stationary spatio-temporal models isotropic in space.

This paper studies a class of stationary covariance models, in both the discrete- and the continuous-time domains, which possess a simple functional form γ(τ + τ0)+γ(τ − τ0)− 2γ(τ), where τ 0 is a fixed lag andγ(τ) is an intrinsically stationary variogram, and include the fractional Gaussian noise of Kolmogorov (1940) and a stochastic volatility model of Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (2001), (2002) as special cases. Properties of the class, and interesting special cases with long memory, are studied. We also characterize the covariance function via the variogram.

The aim of this study was to assess the error made by violating the assumption of stationarity when using Fourier analysis for spectral decomposition of heart period power. A comparison was made between using Fourier and Wavelet analysis (the latter being a relatively new method without the assumption of stationarity). Both methods were compared separately for stationary and nonstationary segments. An ambulatory device was used to measure the heart period data of 40 young and healthy participants during a psychological stress task and during periods of rest. Surprisingly small differences (<1%) were found between the results of both methods, with differences being slightly larger for the nonstationary segments. It is concluded that both methods perform almost identically for computation of heart period power values. Thus, the Wavelet method is only superior for analyzing heart period data when additional analyses in the time-frequency domain are required.

In generalization of the well-known formulae for quermass densities of stationary and isotropic Boolean models, we prove corresponding results for densities of mixed volumes in the stationary situation and show how they can be used to determine the intensity of non-isotropic Boolean models Z in d-dimensional space for d = 2, 3, 4. We then consider non-stationary Boolean models and extend results of Fallert on quermass densities to densities of mixed volumes. In particular, we present explicit formulae for a planar inhomogeneous Boolean model with circular grains.

This paper presents the large-buffer asymptotics for a multiplexer which serves N types of heterogeneous sessions which have long-tailed session lengths. Specifically, the model considered is that sessions of type i ∈ {1,…,N} arrive as a Poisson process with rate λi. Each type of session (independently) remains active for a random duration, say τi, where P(τi > x) ~ αix-(1 + βi) for positive numbers αi and βi. While active, a session transmits at a rate ri. Under the assumption that the average load ρ = ∑Ni=1riλiE[τi] < C, where C denotes the server capacity, we show that both the tail distribution of the stationary buffer content and the loss asymptotics in finite buffers of size z behave approximately as z-κJ0, where κJ0 depends not only on the βi but also on the transmission rates ri; it is the ratio of βi to ri which determines κJ0. When specialized to the homogeneous case, i.e., when ri=r and βi = β for all i, the result coincides with results reported in the literature which have been shown under more restrictive hypotheses. Finally, it is a simple observation that light-tailed sessions only have the effect of reducing the available capacity for long-tailed sessions, but do not contribute otherwise to the definition of κJ0.

Many physical problems are described by stochastic processes with stationary increments. We present a general description of such processes. In particular we give an expression of a process in terms of its increments and we show that there are two classes of processes: diffusion and asymptotically stationary. Moreover, we show that the nth increments are given by a linear filtering of an arbitrary stationary process.