Given the importance of identifying dementia prodromes for future treatment efforts, we examined two methods of diagnosing mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and determined whether empirically-derived MCI subtypes of these diagnostic methods were consistent with one another as well as with conventional MCI subtypes (i.e., amnestic, non-amnestic, single-domain, multi-domain). Participants were diagnosed with MCI using either conventional Petersen/Winblad criteria (n = 134; >1.5 SDs below normal on one test within a cognitive domain) or comprehensive neuropsychological criteria developed by Jak et al. (2009) (n = 80; >1 SD below normal on two tests within a domain), and the resulting samples were examined via hierarchical cluster and discriminant function analyses. Results showed that neuropsychological profiles varied depending on the criteria used to define MCI. Both criteria revealed an Amnestic subtype, consistent with prodromal Alzheimer's disease (AD), and a Mixed subtype that may capture individuals in advanced stages of MCI. The comprehensive criteria uniquely yielded Dysexecutive and Visuospatial subtypes, whereas the conventional criteria produced a subtype that performed within normal limits, suggesting its susceptibility to false positive diagnostic errors. Whether these empirically-derived MCI subtypes correspond to dissociable neuropathologic substrates and represent reliable prodromes of dementia will require additional follow-up. (JINS, 2013, 19, 1–11)

Background: A large proportion of patients with amnestic mild cognitive impairment (MCI) progress to Alzheimer's disease (AD), but the rate of conversion is highly variable, depending on selection and inclusion criteria. In the present prospective study, amnestic MCI criteria were applied in order to enrich the study population with prodromal AD patients.

Methods: A composite CERAD word list learning z-score of −1 was applied as a cut-off for memory performance at baseline. Competing causes of memory impairment other than prodromal AD were actively excluded. A cohort of 88 amnestic MCI patients was included; 75 were available for follow-up.

Results: After a mean delay of 19 months, 44% were found to have converted to AD, corresponding to an annualized conversion rate of 28%. The rate of new diagnoses other than stable MCI or AD was 6%. Baseline neuropsychological variables were not instrumental to predict progression.

Conclusion: Amnestic MCI patients, as identified by the present set of criteria, carry a high risk of median-term progression to AD.