The application of manure phosphorus at rates above crop uptake has resulted
in water pollution for some regions. In response, new manure management
standards will require some farms to match manure phosphorus application
rates with crop uptake. For some regions, this will lead to more crop acres
and a shift toward crops with greater nutrient uptake, both of which will
increase nitrogen runoff. The greater nitrogen runoff could offset the lower
phosphorus runoff to result in greater water pollution. This demonstrates
the law of unintended consequences, which results when policy does not
consider how economic agents respond to incentives.