This paper investigates the relationship between credits and sector-level output dynamics in a sample of 41 advanced and developing countries. The existing literature shows that household credits are associated with boom-bust cycles in aggregate output, whereas business loans do not cause such output dynamics. The present paper expands these findings in terms of advanced versus developing countries and manufacturing versus services sectors. The new findings indicate that the resulting boom-bust cycles in the aggregate output in response to household credits are generally observed in the sample of developing countries, with no similar dynamics in the advanced countries. Another significant conclusion is that the boom-bust cycles are generated mostly in the services sector. No equivalent boom-bust dynamics are observed in the manufacturing sector, but the negative medium-run effects of household credits are larger in this sector. These findings indicate that credit mechanisms and consequences can significantly vary across countries and sectors.

The purpose of this article is to assess the relationship between trade liberalisation in Tunisia and the employment intensity of sectoral output growth, in order to examine the claim that free trade creates jobs by stimulating growth. Using panel data for 15 Tunisian sectors over the period 1983–2010, we compare estimated sectoral output–employment elasticities prior to and following the Free Trade Agreement process with the European Union. The results provide evidence that trade liberalisation in Tunisia has led to an increase in the intensity of employment in exporting manufacturing sectors like textiles, clothing and leather industries, and mechanical and electrical industries. However, their ability to generate jobs in response to value-added growth remains weak. Conversely, since the Free Trade Agreement process, the most labour-intensive service sectors, notably tourism and miscellaneous services, have shown a significant decrease in the employment intensity of their output growth. Our findings suggest that the Free Trade Agreement with the European Union has not really fostered the shift of the Tunisian Economy towards a more inclusive model and support the argument for a reorientation of investment policy in favour of sectors generating more job opportunities.