10 - China’s Growing Local Government Debt

Summary

Chapter 10 tackles the controversial issue of high local government debt. It first examines sources of local government debt and clarifies that most of China’s local government debt is set apart from the government budget. It then estimates the size of China’s local government debt over time, scrutinizes the reasons for the fast debt accumulation, and evaluates the immediate impacts and potential problems of high local government debt. In this latter part, the size of government debt in each region is also estimated and the large disparities in government debt among regions are exposed. It shows that local government debt is rather high in some regions. It also shows that the size of local government assets is substantial. Thus, although high, China's local government debt is still manageable It finally discusses the measures China has taken to curb local government debt and offers suggestions for additional fiscal reforms needed for curtailing local government debt.