3 - Is democratic voting inaccurate?

Summary

Democratic voting as inaccurate

Simple majority voting on binary alternatives is not a problem for social choice theory, and indeed enjoys several desirable qualities that account for its paradigmatic appeal (May 1952; Rae 1969; Taylor 1969). Political issues are not somehow naturally binary, however, and all voting methods of reducing multiple alternatives to two alternatives are subject to manipulation. Thus, Riker (1982, 65–113) continues, fairness requires a decision rule that works with more than two alternatives. Any number of plausibly fair voting methods are available, but the problem is that, given a fixed set of voters' preference rankings, it is possible that the different methods would lead to different outcomes. The method of counting affects the outcome of counting; thus, voting does not accurately amalgamate voter's values.

For example, if preferences are as in Table 3.1, and if voting is sincere, then alternative A wins by plurality voting, B by plurality runoff, C by the Condorcet criterion, D by approval voting, and E by Borda count (Nurmi 1992, 465). The plurality rule is that the alternative with the most votes wins. If there were an election among alternatives A through E, those in the four-voter group would each cast his vote for A, those in the three-voter group would each cast her vote for B, and those in the two-voter group would each cast his vote for C: A gets the most votes (but not necessarily the majority) and thus is the winner under the plurality rule.