Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-94fs2 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-10T02:40:54.511Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

6 - Randomized Experiments in Criminology

What Has Been Learned from Long-Term Follow-Ups?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2014

David P. Farrington
Affiliation:
Cambridge University
Brandon C. Welsh
Affiliation:
Netherlands Institute for the Study of Crime and Law Enforcement
Brandon C. Welsh
Affiliation:
Northeastern University
Anthony A. Braga
Affiliation:
Rutgers University, New Jersey
Gerben J. N. Bruinsma
Affiliation:
Netherlands Institute for the Study of Crime and Law Enforcement
Get access

Summary

LONGITUDINAL-EXPERIMENTAL STUDIES

Farrington (1983) and Farrington and Welsh (2005, 2006) reviewed randomized experiments in criminology with the following features: (1) at least fifty units (e.g., persons or areas) were initially assigned to each condition, or at least one hundred units were initially assigned to two experimental conditions; (2) there was an outcome measure of offending; and (3) the experiment was published in English. They found that 122 different experiments of this kind had been published up to 2004.

Farrington (1979) reviewed longitudinal studies in criminology with the following features: (1) at least several hundred persons were initially studied; (2) there were at least two personal contacts with the participants and/or their families, separated by at least five years; (3) there was a measure of offending; and (4) the study was published in English. At that time, only eleven studies of this kind had been published.

Farrington, Ohlin, and Wilson (1986) reviewed the advantages and problems of both experimental and longitudinal studies in criminology and recommended that combined longitudinal- experimental studies should be carried out. For a number of reasons (specified in more detail by Tonry, Ohlin, and Farrington 1991), they recommended that the ideal study should have several assessments (personal contacts) over several years, followed by an experimental intervention, followed by several more assessments over several years. No study of that kind had ever been conducted in criminology, although there had been studies that compared officially recorded offending in a few years before the intervention with officially recorded offending in a few years after (e.g., Empey and Erickson 1972; Empey and Lubeck 1971).

Type
Chapter
Information
Experimental Criminology
Prospects for Advancing Science and Public Policy
, pp. 111 - 140
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2013

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Barnett, W. Steven, and Masse, Leonard N.. 2007. “Comparative Benefit-Cost Analysis of the Abecedarian Program and Its Policy Implications.” Economics of Education Review 26: 113–25.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Berrueta-Clement, John R., Schweinhart, Lawrence J., Barnett, W. Steven, Epstein, Ann S., and Weikart, David P.. 1984. Changed Lives: The Effects of the Perry Preschool Program on Youths through Age 19. Ypsilanti, MI: High/Scope Press.Google Scholar
Boisjoli, Rachel, Vitaro, Frank, F., Lacourse, Eric, Barker, Edward D., and Tremblay, Richard E.. 2007. “Impact and Clinical Significance of a Preventive Intervention for Disruptive Boys.” British Journal of Psychiatry 191: 415–19.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Borduin, Charles M., Mann, Barton J., Cone, Lynn T., Henggeler, Scott W., Fucci, Bethany R., Blaske, David M., and Williams, Robert A.. 1995. “Multisystemic Treatment of Serious Juvenile Offenders: Long-Term Prevention of Criminality and Violence.” Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology 63: 569–87.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Brooks-Gunn, Jeanne, Klebanov, Pam Kato, Liaw, Fong-ruey, and Spiker, Donna. 1993. “Enhancing the Development of Low Birthweight, Premature Infants: Changes in Cognition and Behavior over the First Three Years.” Child Development 64: 736–53.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Campbell, Frances A., Ramey, Craig T., Pungello, Elizabeth, Sparling, Joseph, and Miller-Johnson, Shari. 2002. “Early Childhood Education: Young Adult Outcomes from the Abecedarian Project.” Applied Developmental Science 6: 42–57.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Conduct Problems Prevention Research Group (CPPRG). 1999. “Initial Impact of the Fast Track Prevention Trial for Conduct Problems: I. The High-Risk Sample.” Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology 67: 631–47.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Conduct Problems Prevention Research Group (CPPRG) 2002. “Evaluation of the First 3 Years of the Fast Track Prevention Trial with Children at High Risk for Adolescent Conduct Problems.” Journal of Abnormal Child Psychology 30: 19–35.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Conduct Problems Prevention Research Group (CPPRG) 2004. “The effects of the Fast Track Program on Serious Problem Outcomes at the End of Elementary School.” Journal of Clinical Child and Adolescent Psychology 33: 650–61.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Conduct Problems Prevention Research Group (CPPRG) 2007. “Fast Track Randomized Controlled Trial to Prevent Externalizing Psychiatric Disorders: Findings from Grades 3 to 9.” Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry 46: 1250–62.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Conduct Problems Prevention Research Group (CPPRG) 2010. “Fast Track Intervention Effects on Youth Arrests and Delinquency.” Journal of Experimental Criminology 6: 131–57.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Conduct Problems Prevention Research Group (CPPRG) 2011. “The Effects of the Fast Track Preventive Intervention on the Development of Conduct Disorder across Childhood.” Child Development 82: 331–45.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Deković, Maja, Slagt, Meike I., Asscher, Jessica J., Boendermaker, Leonieke, Eichelsheim, Veroni I., and Prinzie, Peter. 2011. “Effects of Early Prevention Programs on Adult Criminal Offending: A Meta-Analysis.” Clinical Psychology Review 31: 532–44.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Dishion, Thomas J., McCord, Joan, and Poulin, François. 1999. “When Interventions Harm: Peer Groups and Problem Behavior.” American Psychologist 54: 755–64.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Eckenrode, John, Campa, Mary, Luckey, Deninis W., Henderson, Charles R., Harriet Kitzman, Robert Cole, Anson, Elizabeth, Sidora-Arcoleo, Kimberly, Powers, Jane, and Olds, David L.. 2010. “Long-Term Effects of Prenatal and Infancy Nurse Home Visitation on the Life Course of Youths: 19-Year Follow-Up a Randomized Trial.” Archives of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine 164: 9–15.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Empey, LaMar T., and Erickson, Maynard L.. 1972. The Provo Experiment: Evaluating Community Control of Delinquency. Lexington, MA: Heath.Google Scholar
Empey, LaMar T., and Lubeck, Steven G.. 1971. The Silverlake Experiment: Testing Delinquency Theory and Community Intervention. Chicago: Aldine.Google Scholar
Farrington, David P. 1979. “Longitudinal Research on Crime and Delinquency.” In Crime and Justice: An Annual Review of Research, Vol. 1, edited by Morris, Norval and Tonry, Michael, pp. 289–348. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Farrington, David P. 1983. “Randomized Experiments on Crime and Justice.” In Crime and Justice: A Review of Research, Vol. 4, edited by Morris, Norval and Tonry, Michael, pp. 257–308. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Farrington, David P. 1992. “The Need for Longitudinal-Experimental Research on Offending and Antisocial Behavior.” In Preventing Antisocial Behavior: Interventions from Birth through Adolescence, edited by McCord, Joan and Tremblay, Richard E., pp. 353–76. New York: Guilford.Google Scholar
Farrington, David P. 2006. “Key Longitudinal-Experimental Studies in Criminology.” Journal of Experimental Criminology 2: 121–41.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Farrington, David P., Loeber, Rolf, and Welsh, Brandon C.. 2010. “Longitudinal-Experimental Studies.” In Handbook of Quantitative Criminology, edited by Piquero, Alex R. and Weisburd, David, pp. 503–18. New York: Springer.Google Scholar
Farrington, David P., Ohlin, Lloyd E., and Wilson, James Q.. 1986. Understanding and Controlling Crime: Toward a New Research Strategy. New York: Springer-Verlag.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Farrington, David P., and Welsh, Brandon C.. 2005. “Randomized Experiments in Criminology: What Have We Learned in the Last Two Decades?Journal of Experimental Criminology 1: 9–38.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Farrington, David P., and Welsh, Brandon C. 2006. “A Half-Century of Randomized Experiments on Crime and Justice.” In Crime and Justice: A Review of Research, Vol. 34, edited by Tonry, Michael, pp. 55–132. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Hawkins, J. David, Catalano, Richard F., Kosterman, Rick, Abbott, Robert D., and Hill, Karl G.. 1999. “Preventing Adolescent Health Risk Behaviors by Strengthening Protection during Childhood.” Archives of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine 153: 226–34.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Hawkins, J. David, Kosterman, Rick, Catalano, Richard F., Hill, Karl G., and Abbott, Robert D.. 2008. “Effects of Social Development Intervention in Childhood 15 Years Later.” Archives of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine 162: 1133–41.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Hawkins, J. David, Elizabeth Von, Cleve, and Catalano, Richard F.. 1991. “Reducing Early Childhood Aggression: Results of a Primary Prevention Program.” Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry 30: 208–17.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Kellam, Sheppard G., Brown, C. Hendricks, Poduska, Jeanne M., Ialongo, Nicholas S., Wang, Wei, Toyinbo, Peter, Petras, Hanno, Ford, Carla, Windham, Amy, and Wilcox, Holly C.. 2008. “Effects of a Universal Classroom Behavior Management Program in First and Second Grades on Young Adult Behavioral, Psychiatric, and Social Outcomes.” Drug and Alcohol Dependence 95S: 5–28.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Killias, Martin, Aebi, Marcelo, and Ribeaud, Denis. 2000. “Does Community Service Rehabilitate Better than Short-Term Imprisonment? Results of a Controlled Experiment.” Howard Journal 39: 40–57.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Killias, Martin, Gilliéron, Gwladys, Villard, Françoise, and Poglia, Clara. 2010. “How Damaging Is Imprisonment in the Long-Term? A Controlled Experiment Comparing Long-Term Effects of Community Service and Short Custodial Sentences on Reoffending and Social Integration.” Journal of Experimental Criminology 6: 115–30.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Loeber, Rolf, and Farrington, David P.. 1994. “Problems and Solutions in Longitudinal and Experimental Treatment Studies of Child Psychopathology and Delinquency.” Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology 62: 887–900.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Loeber, Rolf, and Farrington, David P. 1995. “Longitudinal Approaches in Epidemiological Research on Conduct Problems.” In The Epidemiology of Child and Adolescent Psychopathology, edited by Verhulst, Frank C. and Koot, H. M., pp. 309–36. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Loeber, Rolf, and Farrington, David P. 1997. “Strategies and Yields of Longitudinal Studies on Antisocial Behavior.” In Handbook of Antisocial Behavior, edited by Stoff, David M., Breiling, James, and Maser, Jack D., pp. 125–39. New York: John Wiley & Sons.Google Scholar
Loeber, Rolf, and Farrington, David P. 2008. “Advancing Knowledge about Causes in Longitudinal Studies: Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Methods.” In The Long View of Crime: A Synthesis of Longitudinal Research, edited by Avika Liberman, pp. 257–79. New York: Springer.Google Scholar
Lonczak, Heather S., Abbott, Robert D., Hawkins, J. David, Kosterman, Rick, and Catalano, Richard F.. 2002. “Effects of the Seattle Social Development Project on Sexual Behavior, Pregnancy, Birth, and Sexually Transmitted Disease Outcomes by Age 21 Years.” Archives of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine 156: 438–47.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Manning, Matthew, Homel, Ross, and Smith, Christine. 2010. “A Meta-Analysis of the Effects of Early Developmental Prevention Programs in At-Risk Populations on Non-Health Outcomes in Adolescence.” Children and Youth Services Review 32: 506–19.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Marques, Janice K., Wiederanders, Mark, Day, David M., Nelson, Craig, and Ommeren, Alice van. 2005. “Effects of a Relapse Prevention Program on Sexual Recidivism: Final Results from California’s Sex Offender Treatment and Evaluation Project (SOTEP).” Sexual Abuse: A Journal of Research and Treatment 17: 79–107.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mayfield, Demmie, McLeod, Gail, and Hall, Patricia. 1974. “The CAGE Questionnaire: Validation of a New Alcoholism Screening Instrument.” American Journal of Psychiatry 131: 1121–3.Google ScholarPubMed
McCarton, Cecelia M., Brooks-Gunn, Jeanne, Wallace, Ina F., Bauer, Charles R., Bennett, Forrest C., Bernbaum, Judy C., Broyles, R. Sus, Casey, Patrick H., McCormick, Marie C., Scott, David T., Tyson, Jon, Tonascia, James, and Meinert, Curtis L.. 1997. “Results at Age 8 Years of Early Intervention for Low-Birth-Weight Premature Infants: The Infant Health and Development Program.” Journal of the American Medical Association 277: 126–32.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
McCord, Joan. 1978. “A Thirty-Year Follow-Up of Treatment Effects.” American Psychologist 33:284–9.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
McCord, Joan. 1981. “Consideration of Some Effects of a Counseling Program.” In New Directions in the Rehabilitation of Criminal Offenders, edited by Martin, Susan E., Sechrest, Lee B., and Redner, Robin, pp. 394–405. Washington, DC: National Academy of Sciences.Google Scholar
McCord, Joan. 1990. “Crime in Moral and Social Contexts: The American Society of Criminology 1989 Presidential Address.” Criminology 28: 1–26.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McCord, Joan 2003. “Cures that Harm: Unanticipated Outcomes of Crime Prevention Programs.” Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 587: 16–30.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McCord, Joan, and McCord, William. 1959. “A Follow-Up Report on the Cambridge-Somerville Youth Study.” Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 322: 89–96.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McCormick, Marie C., Brooks-Gunn, Jeanne, Buka, Stephen L., Goldman, Julia, Yu, Jennifer, Salganik, Mikhail, Scott, David T., Bennett, Forrest C., Kay, Libby L., Bernbaum, Judy C., Bauer, Charles R., Martin, Camilia, Woods, Elizabeth R., Martin, Anne, and Casey, Patrick H.. 2006. “Early Intervention in Low Birth Weight Premature Infants: Results at 18 Years of Age for the Infant Health and Development Program.” Pediatrics 117: 771–80.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Mills, Paulette E., Cole, Kevin N., Jenkins, Joseph R., and Dale, Philip S.. 2002. “Early Exposure to Direct Instruction and Subsequent Juvenile Delinquency: A Prospective Examination.” Exceptional Children 69: 85–96.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Olds, David L., Eckenrode, John, Henderson, Charles R., Kitzman, Harriet, Powers, Jane, Cole, Robert, Sidora, Kimberly, Morris, Pamela, Pettitt, Lisa M., and Luckey, Dennis W.. 1997. “Long-Term Effects of Home Visitation on Maternal Life Course and Child Abuse and Neglect: Fifteen-Year Follow-Up of a Randomized Trial.” JAMA 278: 637–43.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Olds, David L., Henderson, Charles R., Chamberlin, Robert, and Tatelbaum, Robert. 1986. “Preventing Child Abuse and Neglect: A Randomized Trial of Nurse Home Visitation.” Pediatrics 78: 65–78.Google ScholarPubMed
Olds, David L., Henderson, Charles R., Cole, Robert, Eckenrode, John, Kitzman, Harriet, Luckey, Dennis W., Pettitt, Lisa M., Sidora, Kimberly, Morris, Pamela, and Powers, Jane. 1998. “Long-Term Effects of Nurse Home Visitation on Children’s Criminal and Antisocial Behavior: 15-Year Follow-Up of a Randomized Controlled Trial.” JAMA 280: 1238–44.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Petras, Hanno, Kellam, Sheppard G., Brown, C. Hendricks, Muthén, Bengt O., Ialongo, Nicholas S., and Poduska, Jeanne M.. 2008. “Developmental Epidemiological Courses Leading to Antisocial Personality Disorder and Violent and Criminal Behavior: Effects by Young Adulthood of a Universal Preventive Intervention in First and Second Grade Classrooms.” Drug and Alcohol Dependence 95S: 45–59.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Powers, Edwin, and Witmer, Helen. 1951. An Experiment in the Prevention of Delinquency. New York: Columbia University Press.Google Scholar
Raine, Adrian, Mellingen, Kjetil, Liu, Jianghong, Venables, Peter H., and Mednick, Sarnoff A.. 2003. “Effects of Environmental Enrichment at Ages 3–5 Years on Schizotypal Personality and Antisocial Behavior at Ages 17 and 23 Years.” American Journal of Psychiatry 160: 1627–35.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Reynolds, Arthur J., Temple, Judy A., Ou, Suh-Ruu, Arteaga, Irma A., and White, Barry A. B.. 2011. “School-Based Early Childhood Education and Age-28 Well-Being: Effects by Timing Dosage and Subgroups.” Science 333: 360–4.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Sawyer, Aaron M., and Borduin, Charles M.. 2011. “Effects of Multisystemic Therapy through Midlife: A 21.9-Year Follow-Up to a Randomized Clinical Trial with Serious and Violent Juvenile Offenders.” Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology 79: 643–52.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Schaeffer, Cindy M., and Borduin, Charles M.. 2005. “Long-Term Follow-Up to a Randomized Clinical Trial of Multisystemic Therapy with Serious and Violent Juvenile Offenders.” Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology 73: 445–53.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Schweinhart, Lawrence J., Barnes, Helen V., and Weikart, David P.. 1993. Significant Benefits: The High/Scope Perry Preschool Study through Age 27. Ypsilanti, MI: High/Scope Press.Google Scholar
Schweinhart, Lawrence J., Montie, Jeanne, Zongping, Xiang, W. Steven Barnett, Belfield, Clive R., and Nores, Milagros. 2005. Lifetime Effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool Study through Age 40. Ypsilanti, MI: High/Scope Press.Google Scholar
Schweinhart, Lawrence J., and Weikart, David P.. 1980. Young Children Grow Up: The Effects of the Perry Preschool Program on Youths through Age 15. Ypsilanti, MI: High/Scope Press.Google Scholar
Tonry, Michael, Ohlin, Lloyd E., and Farrington, David P.. 1991. Human Development and Criminal Behavior: New Ways of Advancing Knowledge. New York: Springer-Verlag.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tremblay, Richard E., Mâsse, Louise C., Pagani, Linda, and Vitaro, Frank. 1996. “From Childhood Physical Aggression to Adolescent Maladjustment: The Montreal Prevention Experiment. In Preventing Childhood Disorders, Substance Use, and Delinquency, edited by Peters, Ray D. and McMahon, Robert J., pp. 268–98. Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE.Google Scholar
Tremblay, Richard E., Pagani-Kurtz, Linda, Mâsse, Louise C., Vitaro, Frank, and Pihl, Robert O.. 1995. “A Bimodal Preventive Intervention for Disruptive Kindergarten Boys: Its Impact through Mid-Adolescence.” Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology 63: 560–8.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Weisburd, David, Lum, Cynthia M., and Petrosino, Anthony. 2001. “Does Research Design Affect Study Outcomes in Criminal Justice?Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 578: 50–70.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Westinghouse Learning Corporation and Ohio University. 1969. The Impact of Head Start Experience on Children’s Cognitive and Affective Development. Springfield, VA: U.S. Department of Commerce Clearinghouse.Google Scholar

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×