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Published online by Cambridge University Press: 20 October 2021
Chapter 7 looks at subtleties that arise when people assess competing causes of the same evidence. I identify a novel fallacy in evidential reasoning – the zero-sum fallacy – and show how both legal experts and lay people are prone to this error. But on the positive side I also show that lay people are pretty good at qualitative causal reasoning, despite using simplifying strategies.
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