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31 - What Is Funny about Moore’s Law?

ICT and the Fourth Industrial Revolution

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  30 August 2022

Johan Fourie
Affiliation:
University of Stellenbosch, South Africa
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Summary

You wouldn’t call it a classic joke. It’s more of a quip, to be honest; something you might hear at a computer-science convention. It is said that the number of people predicting the end of Moore’s law doubles every two years. Lol.

For the uninitiated, Moore’s law refers to Gordon Moore’s prediction, in 1965, that the number of transistors on a computer microchip would double every two years while the cost of computers would be halved. It was a brave prediction to make when microprocessors and home computers were still just a distant dream. But despite the countless experts predicting the demise of Moore’s law, as the quip insinuates, it has remained true for almost five decades, as Figure 31.1 demonstrates.

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Our Long Walk to Economic Freedom
Lessons from 100,000 Years of Human History
, pp. 188 - 194
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2022

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