Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Contributors
- 1 Introduction
- 2 Integrated regional risk assessment and safety management: Challenge from Agenda 21
- 3 Risk analysis: The unbearable cleverness of bluffing
- 4 Aspects of uncertainty, reliability, and risk in flood forecasting systems incorporating weather radar
- 5 Probabilistic hydrometeorological forecasting
- 6 Flood risk management: Risk cartography for objective negotiations
- 7 Responses to the variability and increasing uncertainty of climate in Australia
- 8 Developing an indicator of a community's disaster risk awareness
- 9 Determination of capture zones of wells by Monte Carlo simulation
- 10 Controlling three levels of uncertainties for ecological risk models
- 11 Stochastic precipitation-runoff modeling for water yield from a semi-arid forested watershed
- 12 Regional assessment of the impact of climate change on the yield of water supply systems
- 13 Hydrological risk under nonstationary conditions changing hydroclimatological input
- 14 Fuzzy compromise approach to water resources systems planning under uncertainty
- 15 System and component uncertainties in water resources
- 16 Managing water quality under uncertainty: Application of a new stochastic branch and bound method
- 17 Uncertainty in risk analysis of water resources systems under climate change
- 18 Risk and reliability in water resources management: Theory and practice
- 19 Quantifying system sustainability using multiple risk criteria
- 20 Irreversibility and sustainability in water resources systems
- 21 Future of reservoirs and their management criteria
- 22 Performance criteria for multiunit reservoir operation and water allocation problems
- 23 Risk management for hydraulic systems under hydrological loads
6 - Flood risk management: Risk cartography for objective negotiations
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 18 January 2010
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Contributors
- 1 Introduction
- 2 Integrated regional risk assessment and safety management: Challenge from Agenda 21
- 3 Risk analysis: The unbearable cleverness of bluffing
- 4 Aspects of uncertainty, reliability, and risk in flood forecasting systems incorporating weather radar
- 5 Probabilistic hydrometeorological forecasting
- 6 Flood risk management: Risk cartography for objective negotiations
- 7 Responses to the variability and increasing uncertainty of climate in Australia
- 8 Developing an indicator of a community's disaster risk awareness
- 9 Determination of capture zones of wells by Monte Carlo simulation
- 10 Controlling three levels of uncertainties for ecological risk models
- 11 Stochastic precipitation-runoff modeling for water yield from a semi-arid forested watershed
- 12 Regional assessment of the impact of climate change on the yield of water supply systems
- 13 Hydrological risk under nonstationary conditions changing hydroclimatological input
- 14 Fuzzy compromise approach to water resources systems planning under uncertainty
- 15 System and component uncertainties in water resources
- 16 Managing water quality under uncertainty: Application of a new stochastic branch and bound method
- 17 Uncertainty in risk analysis of water resources systems under climate change
- 18 Risk and reliability in water resources management: Theory and practice
- 19 Quantifying system sustainability using multiple risk criteria
- 20 Irreversibility and sustainability in water resources systems
- 21 Future of reservoirs and their management criteria
- 22 Performance criteria for multiunit reservoir operation and water allocation problems
- 23 Risk management for hydraulic systems under hydrological loads
Summary
ABSTRACT
Flood damage in France and Europe in recent years has shown that there is still a long way to cope with this problem. It seems that the conceptualization of the risk by dividing it between a socioeconomical dimension (vulnerability) and a hydrologicalhydraulic dimension (hazard) is a promising means of investigation. Moreover, recent hydrological synthetic models, called flow-duration-frequency models, allow one to propose quantification of these two parameters of risk, that is, vulnerability and hazard. Estimating its spatial characteristics is very useful in the process of objective negotiation where land use managers take into account flood risk and socially acceptable risk. Representative maps, such as those proposed by the “inondabilité” model, can be forwarded to decision makers in order to help them use hydrological and hydraulic results in a more efficient way. These new concepts and methods should improve risk mitigation and lead to better acceptability of the risk level in the potentially flooded area.
INTRODUCTION
Extreme floods have been particularly numerous in France in the recent past. They caused severe economic and human damage. Among disastrous recent floods were those of Vaison la Romaine (1992), Corsica (1993) and Camargue area (1994), north and west of France (1994 and 1995), Var (1994), and so on. These events showed that flood risk management, and especially land use management in flood plains, is not sufficient to cope with the problem.
A risk policy should be based on three different aspects, as shown in Figure 6.1: these are prevention in the phase of land use management, flood forecasting and crisis management, and individual risk culture to improve citizen reactions to flood risk (Gilard and Givone 1993).
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- Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2002