Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Contributors
- 1 Introduction
- 2 Integrated regional risk assessment and safety management: Challenge from Agenda 21
- 3 Risk analysis: The unbearable cleverness of bluffing
- 4 Aspects of uncertainty, reliability, and risk in flood forecasting systems incorporating weather radar
- 5 Probabilistic hydrometeorological forecasting
- 6 Flood risk management: Risk cartography for objective negotiations
- 7 Responses to the variability and increasing uncertainty of climate in Australia
- 8 Developing an indicator of a community's disaster risk awareness
- 9 Determination of capture zones of wells by Monte Carlo simulation
- 10 Controlling three levels of uncertainties for ecological risk models
- 11 Stochastic precipitation-runoff modeling for water yield from a semi-arid forested watershed
- 12 Regional assessment of the impact of climate change on the yield of water supply systems
- 13 Hydrological risk under nonstationary conditions changing hydroclimatological input
- 14 Fuzzy compromise approach to water resources systems planning under uncertainty
- 15 System and component uncertainties in water resources
- 16 Managing water quality under uncertainty: Application of a new stochastic branch and bound method
- 17 Uncertainty in risk analysis of water resources systems under climate change
- 18 Risk and reliability in water resources management: Theory and practice
- 19 Quantifying system sustainability using multiple risk criteria
- 20 Irreversibility and sustainability in water resources systems
- 21 Future of reservoirs and their management criteria
- 22 Performance criteria for multiunit reservoir operation and water allocation problems
- 23 Risk management for hydraulic systems under hydrological loads
21 - Future of reservoirs and their management criteria
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 18 January 2010
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Contributors
- 1 Introduction
- 2 Integrated regional risk assessment and safety management: Challenge from Agenda 21
- 3 Risk analysis: The unbearable cleverness of bluffing
- 4 Aspects of uncertainty, reliability, and risk in flood forecasting systems incorporating weather radar
- 5 Probabilistic hydrometeorological forecasting
- 6 Flood risk management: Risk cartography for objective negotiations
- 7 Responses to the variability and increasing uncertainty of climate in Australia
- 8 Developing an indicator of a community's disaster risk awareness
- 9 Determination of capture zones of wells by Monte Carlo simulation
- 10 Controlling three levels of uncertainties for ecological risk models
- 11 Stochastic precipitation-runoff modeling for water yield from a semi-arid forested watershed
- 12 Regional assessment of the impact of climate change on the yield of water supply systems
- 13 Hydrological risk under nonstationary conditions changing hydroclimatological input
- 14 Fuzzy compromise approach to water resources systems planning under uncertainty
- 15 System and component uncertainties in water resources
- 16 Managing water quality under uncertainty: Application of a new stochastic branch and bound method
- 17 Uncertainty in risk analysis of water resources systems under climate change
- 18 Risk and reliability in water resources management: Theory and practice
- 19 Quantifying system sustainability using multiple risk criteria
- 20 Irreversibility and sustainability in water resources systems
- 21 Future of reservoirs and their management criteria
- 22 Performance criteria for multiunit reservoir operation and water allocation problems
- 23 Risk management for hydraulic systems under hydrological loads
Summary
ABSTRACT
There are nearly 40,000 large dams in the world, increasing around 250 a year. More reservoirs need to be built, in developing countries, for anticipated population growth, upgrading standard of living, urbanization, flood control, hydroelectric energy, and so on. In developed countries, however, instead of reservoir construction, more emphasis will be placed on demand management and efficient use and reuse of water to meet higher environmental quality needs. Climate change would increase the importance of reservoirs but societal adaptation measures should precede the physical counteractions. The average sedimentation rate to fill reservoirs in the world may not be very high, but the rate is much higher in East and Southeast Asia where many reservoirs would suffer from sedimentation problems in the latter part of the twenty-first century. Reservoirs are the most important component for risk and uncertainty management of water resources systems. But for a reliable and robust water resources system, an integrated management and the administrative structure that makes it possible are most important. The integrated management is also the key strategy for sustainable reservoirs and water resources management.
INTRODUCTION
Reservoirs are indispensable to utilize running water for sustaining life and civilized activities. They must have been built ever since the beginning of human history and clearly since the emergence of irrigated agriculture. The oldest ruin of a dam may be the Sad el-Kafara Dam, 30km south of Cairo, Egypt (length 104m, height 11m and storage capacity 0.57 · 106m3), that was built around 2800 B.C. for water supply, and believed to be destroyed by the first hit of a flood (Biswas 1970).
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- Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2002