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4 - Multifractal structure of rainfall occurrence in West Africa

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 May 2010

P. Hubert
Affiliation:
CIG, Ecole des Mines de Paris, Fontainebleau, France
F. Friggit
Affiliation:
Eiier, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso
J. P. Carbonnel
Affiliation:
CNRS, Université P. & M. Curie, Paris, France
Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz
Affiliation:
World Meteorological Organization, Geneva
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Summary

ABSTRACT Rainfall occurrence related to a particular location, denned as the set of rainy periods observed, can be regarded as a fractal object belonging to the 1-D space of time. The dimension of this object, which is bounded by 0 and 1, is estimated via the functional box counting method. A large number of West African rainfall time series has been analysed. The resulting dimension is a function of the time scale and of the accepted threshold of rainfall intensity. In all cases under study, for a given time scale, a decreasing fractal dimension of rainfall occurence with increasing rainfall intensity threshold was observed. A main time scale range of practical interest was found to be from some days to some months. It is possible to attribute a multifractal structure to the process of rainfall occurrence. It can be used for simulation and/or estimation purposes. Attempts to find regional patterns and trends, and to compare them to those of inter annual rainfall means were undertaken.

INTRODUCTION

In a given location, rainfall is an intermittent process. That means that, for this location, one can observe a succession of wet and dry states. These states must be carefully defined, with areal, time interval and threshold references. A time period would be defined as wet if a given area receives during a given time interval an amount of water greater than the given threshold.

A raingauge defines accurately an observed area, being its collection surface (generally 400 cm2).

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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 1995

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