The limit of a product of independent 2 × 2 stochastic matrices is given when the entries of the first column are independent and have the same symmetric beta distribution. The rate of convergence is considered by introducing a stopping time for which asymptotics are given.

Approximate and asymptotic distributional results are obtained for the likelihood ratio test of the hypothesis that a time series is composed from s sinusoidal components, at unknown frequencies, with additive Gaussian white noise, against the hypothesis that there are an additional r sinusoidal components at unknown frequencies. The work extends that of Fisher (1929), and contains a number of simulations illustrating the results.

The substability and the ergodicity of various queueing models are discussed. This paper considers the vector-valued queueing process Xrn = (xrn,1,xrn,2, · ··) with non-negative components and a constant initial value Xrr= a. For this, the substability is derived under simple conditions by showing the finiteness of With respect to the ergodicity, in order to make use of Borovkov's theorem, we additionally assume that the distribution of the interarrival of customers has non-bounded tail for any given past sequence.

In this paper we study the equilibrium behavior of the queue lengths in a product-form closed queueing network when the service rates at a subset of stations (nodes) are increased. Univariate and multivariate likelihood ratio orderings as well as multivariate stochastic ordering of the queue lengths are established to indicate the effect of increasing the service rates. Relations among these orderings are also developed.

The concept of positive ageing describes the adverse effects of age on the lifetime of units. Various aspects of this concept are described in terms of conditional probability distributions of residual lifetimes, failure rates, equilibrium distributions, etc. In this paper we further analyse this concept and relate it to stochastic dominance of first and higher orders. In the process we gain many insights and are able to define several new kinds of ageing criteria which supplement those existing in the literature.

In this paper, we give good-quality approximations for multiserver queues with general service-time distributions. For the interarrival-time distribution we consider hyperexponential distributions and mixtures of Erlang distributions with the same scale parameters. We give an algorithm to compute various operating characteristics such as the delay probability and the mean queue length.

The approximations are obtained by making assumptions regarding the residual service times of services in progress at service completion epochs, whereas the arrival process is modelled exactly. As the operating characteristics are far more sensitive to changes in the parameters of the arrival process, the latter is very important.

The quality of the approximations is extensively tested by using the exact results of more than 2000 cases. In heavy traffic the average relative error is up to 1% and in moderate traffic about 4%.

A correlated random walk on a d-dimensional integer lattice is studied in which, at any stage, the probabilities of the next step being in the various possible directions depend on the direction of the previous step. Using a renewal argument, asymptotic estimates are obtained for the probability of return to the origin after n steps.

Asymptotic expansions for the distributions of estimators and test statistics are derived in connection with time series models. The expansions relate to marginal and joint distributions together with the percentiles of marginal distributions. We also consider transforming a statistic so that the transformed statistic has a distribution that coincides with its asymptotic distribution up to a higher order.

Two models of a system with a single activated unit which can be in a finite number of states are considered. The unit is subject to Markovian deterioration, and it is possible to replace it before its failure. Inspections of the system are carried out at discrete time instants. The only difference between the two models is when the replacements take effect — immediately at the instant when the corresponding decision is made, or with the next inspection. The paper shows that this difference is much more essential than one might expect, and proves a relation between the optimal replacement strategies in the models concerned.

We show that the periodogram behaves differently for a weakly dependent process with a small monotonic trend and a stationary strongly dependent process. In the former case it has a non-central -distribution with noncentrality parameter tending to 0 uniformly outside intervals . In the latter case it has λα −1 times a central -distribution, 0 < α < 1.

This paper shows how majorization and Schur-convex functions can be used to solve the problem of optimal allocation of components to parallel-series and series-parallel systems to maximize the reliability of the system. For parallel-series systems the optimal allocation is completely described and depends only on the ordering of component reliabilities. For series-parallel systems, we describe a partial ordering among allocations that can lead to the optimal allocation. Finally, we describe how these problems can be cast as integer linear programming problems and thus the results obtained in this paper show that when some linear integer programming problems are recast in a different way and the techniques of Schur functions are used, complete solutions can be obtained in some instances and better insight in others.

Recent time series research has been directed towards the relaxation of the assumption that time series models have constant coefficients. One class of models to emerge as a result of this has been that of random coefficient autoregressive models. This paper demonstrates how the Box-Jenkins three-step approach of model specification, estimation and diagnostic checking may be applied to this class of models.

Recently, unbiased stereological estimators of moments of particle volume, based on measurements on lower-dimensional sections through the particles, have been developed by Jensen and Gundersen (1985). In this note, we derive an explicit form of these unbiased estimators valid for particles in Rn of ellipsoidal shape, and we establish a close relationship between the estimators and a known integral geometric formula for ellipsoids, due to Furstenberg and Tzkoni (1971). Furthermore, a stereological version of another integral geometric formula for n-dimensional ellipsoids, due to Guggenheimer (1973), is derived.

The system provides each customer with a service made up of a random number of stages in sequence. Arrivals are Poisson, and the stage times are independent exponential random variables. The number of stages of a particular service depends on the customer's random demand and on the arrival process, in a way which is aimed at preventing the queue from growing fast while matching the customer's demand as well as possible.

A finite-state Markov process is aggregated into several groups. What can be learned about the underlying process from the aggregated one? We provide some partial answers to this question.

This paper derives the stationary probability distribution of inventory level for continuous-review models, by means of the system-point method of level-crossing analysis. We analyze inventory problems with decaying products under (nQ, r) and (s, S) ordering policies and zero lead-time, and derive the relevant cost functions. Our results have implications for the case of positive lead-time and to a non-decaying inventory problem with two types of demand processes.

A characterization of the exponential distribution in the class of all distributions which are HNBUE or HNWUE is proved. An upper (a lower) bound is obtained on the renewal function of a renewal process when the underlying distribution is HNBUE (HNWUE).

The Wright–Fisher model with varying population size is examined in the case where the selective advantage varies from generation to generation. Models are considered where the selective advantage is not always in favour of a particular genotype. Sufficient conditions in terms of the selection coefficients and the population growth are given to ensure ultimate homozygosity.

Stochastic dynamical system models for non-linear random vibrations are considered and their discrete-time version, non-linear time series models are introduced using the local Gaussian modelling method. Some computational problems and implications of the present method in non-linear time series analysis are discussed.

It is shown that if a stochastically monotone Markov process on [0,∞) with stationary distribution H has its state space truncated by making all states in [B,∞) absorbing, then the quasi-stationary distribution of the new process converges to H as B →∞.