Changes in conduct problems from middle school through early
adulthood were examined in a sample of 1191 African American and White
males and females. Predictors were selected from a number of ecological
contexts to examine the relative contribution of family, peer, school,
and neighborhood factors to conduct problems during the 7th, 8th, and
11th grade and across transitions in middle school, into high school,
and into young adulthood. Almost all contexts made a unique
contribution to conduct problems except for the neighborhood setting.
The variables that had the most regular influences during each of these
periods were Family Consistent Control, Family Discipline Harshness,
and Negative Peers. Positive family and positive peer variables had
less consistent relations to outcomes. School variables were more
influential in middle school than later. Few gender or race differences
were found in the patterning of predictors across time. Studies using
only one or two settings as predictors of conduct problems, may provide
a misleading picture of their impact by excluding other contextual
influences.The authors acknowledge the
Russell Sage Foundation, the National Institute of Child Health and
Human Development, the National Institute of Mental Health, and the
following individuals (listed alphabetically) for support during the
preparation of this article: Elaine Belansky, Todd Bartko, Heather
Bouchey, Nick Butler, Celina Chatman, Diane Early, Kari Fraser, Leslie
Gutman, Katie Jodl, Ariel Kalil, Linda Kuhn, Sarah Lord, Karen
McCarthy, Oksana Malanchuk, Alice Michael, Melanie Overby, Robert
Roeser, Sherri Steele, Erika Taylor, Janice Templeton, Cindy Winston,
and Carol Wong.