We use cookies to distinguish you from other users and to provide you with a better experience on our websites. Close this message to accept cookies or find out how to manage your cookie settings.
To save content items to your account,
please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies.
If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account.
Find out more about saving content to .
To save content items to your Kindle, first ensure no-reply@cambridge.org
is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings
on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part
of your Kindle email address below.
Find out more about saving to your Kindle.
Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations.
‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi.
‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.
Conventional understanding and research regarding prognostic understanding too often focuses on transmission of information. However, merely overcoming barriers to patient understanding may not be sufficient. In this article the authors provide a more nuanced understanding of prognostic awareness, using oncological care as an overarching example, and discuss factors that may lead to prognostic discordance between physicians and patients. We summarize the current literature and research and present a model developed by the authors to characterize barriers to prognostic awareness. Ultimately, multiple influences on prognostic understanding may impede acceptance by patients even when adequate transfer of information takes place. Physicians should improve how they transmit prognostic information, as this information may be processed in different ways. A model of misunderstandings in awareness, ranging from patient understanding to patient belief, may be useful to guide future discussions. Future decision-making studies should consider these many variables so that interventions may be created to address all aspects of the prognostic disclosure process.
Recent developments have indicated a potential association between tinnitus and COVID-19. The study aimed to understand tinnitus following COVID-19 by examining its severity, recovery prospects, and connection to other lasting COVID-19 effects. Involving 1331 former COVID-19 patients, the online survey assessed tinnitus severity, cognitive issues, and medical background. Of the participants, 27.9% reported tinnitus after infection. Findings showed that as tinnitus severity increased, the chances of natural recovery fell, with more individuals experiencing ongoing symptoms (p < 0.001). Those with the Grade II mild tinnitus (OR = 3.68; CI = 1.89–7.32; p = 0.002), Grade III tinnitus (OR = 3.70; CI = 1.94–7.22; p < 0.001), Grade IV (OR = 6.83; CI = 3.73–12.91; p < 0.001), and a history of tinnitus (OR = 1.96; CI = 1.08–3.64; p = 0.03) had poorer recovery outcomes. Grade IV cases were most common (33.2%), and severe tinnitus was strongly associated with the risk of developing long-term hearing loss, anxiety, and emotional disorders (p < 0.001). The study concludes that severe post-COVID tinnitus correlates with a worse prognosis and potential hearing loss, suggesting the need for attentive treatment and management of severe cases.
This case highlights the limitations of current prognostication and communication in clinical practice.
Methods
We report a case of a 50 year old patient with metastatic melanoma following admission to intensive care unit and later transferred to palliative care unit for end-of-life care.
Results
The patient had clinical improvement despite signs of predictors of death and was later transferred back to care of oncology team.
Significance of results
Physicians frequently overestimate or underestimate survival time which can be distressing to patients and families. There is need for further research to improve the accuracy of these tools for the sake of our patients and their families.
Edited by
Laurie J. Mckenzie, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston,Denise R. Nebgen, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston
Vulvar melanoma is a rare malignant tumor of the female genital tract that affects mostly women in the 5th−8th decade of life. A histopathological evaluation and immunohistochemical analysis are paramount to confirm the diagnosis. Treatment requires a multidisciplinary approach. Secondary to a high metastatic potential as well as late diagnosis due to non-specific clinical signs, the prognosis is typically poor. Close monitoring, patient education regarding self-skin examination and screening are necessary for all atypical lesions and to identify local recurrences.
Subacute and chronic meningitis (SCM) presents significant diagnostic challenges, with numerous infectious and non-infectious inflammatory causes. This study examined patients aged 16 and older with SCM admitted to referral centers for neuroinfections and neuroinflammations in Mashhad, Iran, between March 2015 and October 2022. Among 183 episodes, tuberculous meningitis was the most common infectious cause (46.5%), followed by Brucella meningitis (24.6%). The cause of SCM was definitively proven in 40.4%, presumptive in 35.0%, and unknown in 24.6% of cases. In-hospital mortality was 14.4%, and 30.5% of survivors experienced unfavorable outcomes (Glasgow Outcome Scale 2–4). Patients with unknown causes had a significantly higher risk of death compared to those with presumptive or proven diagnoses (risk ratio 4.18). This study emphasizes the diagnostic difficulties of SCM, with one-quarter of cases remaining undiagnosed and over one-third having only a presumptive diagnosis. Improving diagnostic methods could potentially enhance prognosis and reduce mortality.
Neural predictors underlying variability in depression outcomes are poorly understood. Functional MRI measures of subgenual cortex connectivity, self-blaming and negative perceptual biases have shown prognostic potential in treatment-naïve, medication-free and fully remitting forms of major depressive disorder (MDD). However, their role in more chronic, difficult-to-treat forms of MDD is unknown.
Methods:
Forty-five participants (n = 38 meeting minimum data quality thresholds) fulfilled criteria for difficult-to-treat MDD. Clinical outcome was determined by computing percentage change at follow-up from baseline (four months) on the self-reported Quick Inventory of Depressive Symptomatology (16-item). Baseline measures included self-blame-selective connectivity of the right superior anterior temporal lobe with an a priori Brodmann Area 25 region-of-interest, blood-oxygen-level-dependent a priori bilateral amygdala activation for subliminal sad vs happy faces, and resting-state connectivity of the subgenual cortex with an a priori defined ventrolateral prefrontal cortex/insula region-of-interest.
Findings:
A linear regression model showed that baseline severity of depressive symptoms explained 3% of the variance in outcomes at follow-up (F[3,34] = .33, p = .81). In contrast, our three pre-registered neural measures combined, explained 32% of the variance in clinical outcomes (F[4,33] = 3.86, p = .01).
Conclusion:
These findings corroborate the pathophysiological relevance of neural signatures of emotional biases and their potential as predictors of outcomes in difficult-to-treat depression.
Amygdala and dorsal anterior cingulate cortex responses to facial emotions have shown promise in predicting treatment response in medication-free major depressive disorder (MDD). Here, we examined their role in the pathophysiology of clinical outcomes in more chronic, difficult-to-treat forms of MDD.
Methods
Forty-five people with current MDD who had not responded to ⩾2 serotonergic antidepressants (n = 42, meeting pre-defined fMRI minimum quality thresholds) were enrolled and followed up over four months of standard primary care. Prior to medication review, subliminal facial emotion fMRI was used to extract blood-oxygen level-dependent effects for sad v. happy faces from two pre-registered a priori defined regions: bilateral amygdala and dorsal/pregenual anterior cingulate cortex. Clinical outcome was the percentage change on the self-reported Quick Inventory of Depressive Symptomatology (16-item).
Results
We corroborated our pre-registered hypothesis (NCT04342299) that lower bilateral amygdala activation for sad v. happy faces predicted favorable clinical outcomes (rs[38] = 0.40, p = 0.01). In contrast, there was no effect for dorsal/pregenual anterior cingulate cortex activation (rs[38] = 0.18, p = 0.29), nor when using voxel-based whole-brain analyses (voxel-based Family-Wise Error-corrected p < 0.05). Predictive effects were mainly driven by the right amygdala whose response to happy faces was reduced in patients with higher anxiety levels.
Conclusions
We confirmed the prediction that a lower amygdala response to negative v. positive facial expressions might be an adaptive neural signature, which predicts subsequent symptom improvement also in difficult-to-treat MDD. Anxiety reduced adaptive amygdala responses.
Clinicians and patients have varying degrees of comfort in discussing prognosis. Patients can swing between worry or understanding that death is near and hope or optimism that lets them live life. This prognostication awareness pendulum may require a clinician negotiate the discussion over time. The cognitive roadmap for prognosis discussion is ADAPT (Ask what they know about their medical condition, Discover what they want to know about prognosis, Anticipate ambivalence, Provide information about what to expect, and Track emotion and respond with empathy). Some patients want prognostic information, some don’t, and some are ambivalent. While respecting their wishes, exploring why in each of these scenarios may be helpful to understand their concerns and how best to address them. Be aware that patients and their family members may have different prognostic information needs. Having separate conversations (with permission) may be in order. When they are concerned about destroying hope or prognosis is uncertain, using the frame of “hope and worry” can be helpful. Finally, when patients or family members don’t believe our prognosis, be curious as to why and focus on the relationship.
Edited by
David Kingdon, University of Southampton,Paul Rowlands, Derbyshire Healthcare NHS foundation Trust,George Stein, Emeritus of the Princess Royal University Hospital
Schizophrenia is a psychotic illness that erodes the ability to initiate and organise self-directed mental activity and to recognise oneself as the source of such activity. It can produce a diverse array of disturbances within the domains of thought, perception, affect and volition. Typically, the illness follows a course in which acute episodes of hallucinations, delusions and florid disorganisation of thought are superimposed upon more persistent and subtle disorders of the initiation and organisation of thought and behaviour. These persistent disorders can profoundly disrupt occupational activities and social relationships. However, the severity of the persisting disorder varies greatly between cases.
The disorder we think of as schizophrenia is the archetypal exemplar of a spectrum of disorders that extends to schizoaffective disorder, delusional disorder and schizotypal disorder. While there have not been major changes in the specific diagnostic criteria for any of these specific disorders in the 11th edition of International Classification of Diseases, ICD-11, nor the 5th edition of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of the American Psychiatric Association, DSM-5, compared with the immediately preceding editions, a shift towards emphasis on regarding schizophrenia as one pole of a spectrum of psychotic disorders reflects an ongoing debate.
We aimed to investigate effects of prognostic communication strategies on emotions, coping, and appreciation of consultations in advanced cancer.
Methods
For this experimental study, we created 8 videos of a scripted oncological consultation, only varying in prognostic communication strategies. Disease-naive individuals (n = 1036) completed surveys before and after watching 1 video, while imagining being the depicted cancer patient. We investigated effects of the type of disclosure (prognostic disclosure vs. communication of unpredictability vs. non-disclosure) and content of disclosure (standard vs. standard and best-case vs. standard, best- and worst-case survival scenarios; numerical vs. word-based estimates) on emotions, coping, and appreciation of consultations. Moderating effects of individual characteristics were tested.
Results
Participants generally reported more satisfaction (p < .001) after prognostic disclosure versus communication of unpredictability and less uncertainty (p = .042), more satisfaction (p = .005), and more desirability (p = .016) regarding prognostic information after numerical versus word-based estimates. Effects of different survival scenarios were absent. Prognostic communication strategies lacked effects on emotions and coping. Significant moderators included prognostic information preference and uncertainty tolerance.
Significance of results
In an experimental setting, prognostic disclosure does not cause more negative emotions than non-disclosure and numerical estimates are more strongly appreciated than words. Oncologists’ worries about harming patients should not preclude disclosing (precise) prognostic information, yet sensitivity to individual preferences and characteristics remains pivotal.
Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy is the leading cause of sudden cardiac death among the paediatric population. The aim of this study is to investigate the prevalence and clinical significance of late gadolinium enhancement, as assessed by cardiac MRI, in paediatric hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.
Methods:
A systematic literature search was conducted in PubMed, SCOPUS, and Ovid SP to identify relevant studies. Pooled estimates with a 95% confidence interval were calculated using the random-effects generic inverse variance model. Statistical analysis was performed using Review Manager v5.4 and R programming.
Results:
Seventeen studies were included in this meta-analysis, encompassing a total of 778 patients. Late gadolinium enhancement was highly prevalent in paediatric hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, with a pooled prevalence of 51% (95% confidence interval, 40–62%). The estimated extent of focal fibrosis expressed as a percentage of left ventricular mass was 4.70% (95% confidence interval, 2.11–7.30%). The presence of late gadolinium enhancement was associated with an increased risk of adverse cardiac events (pooled odds ratio 3.49, 95% confidence interval 1.10–11.09). The left ventricular mass index of late gadolinium enhancement-positive group was higher than the negative group, with a standardised mean difference of 0.91 (95% confidence interval, 0.42–1.41).
Conclusion:
This meta-analysis demonstrates that prevalence of late gadolinium enhancement in paediatric hypertrophic cardiomyopathy is similar to that in the adult population. The presence and extent of late gadolinium enhancement are independent predictors of adverse cardiac events, underscoring their prognostic significance among the paediatric population.
This chapter focuses on the variety of different EEG patterns that can be seen after hypoxic ischemic brain injury, which often produces some of the most severe encephalopathies. Common post–cardiac arrest findings include discontinuity, burst suppression, background voltage attenuation and suppression, lack of EEG reactivity, seizures, myoclonus, and status epilepticus. The prognostic significance of these findings is discussed. Finally, the topic of using EEG as a confirmatory tool in brain death protocols is introduced.
Guillain-Barre syndrome (GBS) is the commonest cause of acute polyradiculoneuropathy that requires hospitalization. Many of these patients experience systemic and disease-related complications during its course. Notable among them is hyponatremia. Though recognized for decades, the precise incidence, prevalence, and mechanism of hyponatremia in GBS are not well known. Hyponatremia in GBS patients is associated with more severe in-hospital disease course, prolonged hospitalization, higher mortality, increased costs, and a greater number of other complications in the hospital and worse functional status at 6 months and at 1 year. Though there are several reports of low sodium associated with GBS, many have not included the exact temporal relationship of sodium or its serial values during GBS thereby underestimating the exact incidence, prevalence, and magnitude of the problem. Early detection, close monitoring, and better understanding of the pathophysiology of hyponatremia have therapeutic implications. We review the complexities of the relationship between hyponatremia and GBS with regard to its pathophysiology and treatment.
Hard-to-treat childhood cancers are those where standard treatment options do not exist and the prognosis is poor. Healthcare professionals (HCPs) are responsible for communicating with families about prognosis and complex experimental treatments. We aimed to identify HCPs’ key challenges and skills required when communicating with families about hard-to-treat cancers and their perceptions of communication-related training.
Methods
We interviewed Australian HCPs who had direct responsibilities in managing children/adolescents with hard-to-treat cancer within the past 24 months. Interviews were analyzed using qualitative content analysis.
Results
We interviewed 10 oncologists, 7 nurses, and 3 social workers. HCPs identified several challenges for communication with families including: balancing information provision while maintaining realistic hope; managing their own uncertainty; and nurses and social workers being underutilized during conversations with families, despite widespread preferences for multidisciplinary teamwork. HCPs perceived that making themselves available to families, empowering them to ask questions, and repeating information helped to establish and maintain trusting relationships with families. Half the HCPs reported receiving no formal training for communicating prognosis and treatment options with families of children with hard-to-treat cancers. Nurses, social workers, and less experienced oncologists supported the development of communication training resources, more so than more experienced oncologists.
Significance of results
Resources are needed which support HCPs to communicate with families of children with hard-to-treat cancers. Such resources may be particularly beneficial for junior oncologists and other HCPs during their training, and they should aim to prepare them for common challenges and foster greater multidisciplinary collaboration.
There are little reported data on the perspectives of fathers caring for children with chronic conditions. Although survival of children with advanced heart disease has improved, long-term morbidity remains high. This study describes the experience and prognostic awareness of fathers of hospitalised children with advanced heart disease.
Methods:
Cross-sectional survey study of parents caring for children hospitalised with advanced heart disease admitted for ≥ 7 days over a one-year period. One parent per patient completed surveys, resulting in 27 father surveys. Data were analysed using descriptive methods.
Results:
Nearly all (96%) of the fathers reported understanding their child’s prognosis “extremely well” or “well,” and 59% felt they were “very prepared” for their child’s medical problems. However, 58% of fathers wanted to know more about prognosis, and 22% thought their child’s team knew something about prognosis that they did not. Forty-one per cent of fathers did not think that their child would have lifelong limitations, and 32% anticipated normal life expectancies. All 13 fathers who had a clinical discussion of what would happen if their child got sicker found this conversation helpful. Nearly half (43%) of the fathers receiving new prognostic information or changes to treatment course found it “somewhat” or “a little” confusing.
Conclusions:
Fathers report excellent understanding of their child’s illness and a positive experience around expressing their hopes and fears. Despite this, there remain many opportunities to improve communication, prognostic awareness, and participation in informed decision-making of fathers of children hospitalised with advanced heart disease.
Chapter 8 shows how close Galen is to the style and language of a practical moralist by focusing on the previously neglected moral aspects of Prognosis. The rich ethical material that Galen includes on the way his society functions and the role of physicians is construed as moral reportage, which also enables him to provide the image he constructs of himself as a medic with profoundly moral features. The essay’s preface stresses the quest for truth and the exercise of correct judgement as moral principles advocated by Galen for physicians and all other professionals as thinking beings. This, I suggest, has a strong theoretical background expounded upon in Galen’s ethical work, pointing to his ideological coherence on ethics and its uniform application across texts of a (seemingly) different purpose. The preface is also informed by Galen’s perception of the morality of doctors addressed in the Therapeutic Method, which I see as a sibling account of Galen’s conceptualisation of medicine as a virtuous art. Furthermore, the delineation of moral character is made central to Galen’s notion of the proper physician, which explains the fact that he formulates his text in such a way as to distinguish himself and his peers from charlatans and sophists, a group of moral outsiders traditionally depicted as quarrelsome and vainglorious. This Chapter also discusses the sophisticated discourse on malice and contentiousness that Galen sets up within the context of some of his medical case histories. The analysis of the writing technique and structure of the case histories as much as of the characters involved offers unique insights into Galen’s account of emotions, especially their causes, consequences, theorisation and phenomenology. This Chapter concludes by stressing how in these instances Galen’s medical activity impinged on the formation and sometimes the development of his moral ideas. In Prognosis ethics emerges as a robust area of thought, study and professional performance in Galen.
Advanced laryngeal cancers are clinically complex; there is a paucity of modern decision-making models to guide tumour-specific management. This pilot study aims to identify computed tomography-based radiomic features that may predict survival and enhance prognostication.
Methods
Pre-biopsy, contrast-enhanced computed tomography scans were assembled from a retrospective cohort (n = 72) with advanced laryngeal cancers (T3 and T4). The LIFEx software was used for radiomic feature extraction. Two features: shape compacity (irregularity of tumour volume) and grey-level zone length matrix – grey-level non-uniformity (tumour heterogeneity) were selected via least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-based Cox regression and explored for prognostic potential.
Results
A greater shape compacity (hazard ratio 2.89) and grey-level zone length matrix – grey-level non-uniformity (hazard ratio 1.64) were significantly associated with worse 5-year disease-specific survival (p < 0.05). Cox regression models yielded a superior C-index when incorporating radiomic features (0.759) versus clinicopathological variables alone (0.655).
Conclusions
Two radiomic features were identified as independent prognostic biomarkers. A multi-centre prospective study is necessary for further exploration. Integrated radiomic models may refine the treatment of advanced laryngeal cancers.
This chapter investigates the contours of prognosis itself. It begins by describing prognosis in the Neoplatonist Iamblichus’ De Mysteriis. It then “catches” Iamblichus in the act of inventing a new definition of prognosis in his response to Porphyry, shifting it away from discrete knowledge of particular events towards panoptic knowledge that emerges as an expression of divine substance. This chapter then shows how both the Pseudo-Clementine Homilies and the Manichaeans were also theorizing prognosis along similar lines.
Discussing end-of-life (EOL) issues with patients remains challenging for health professionals. Physicians may use various expressions, including euphemistic ones, when disclosing the prognosis to their patients to reduce their psychological impact. However, the actual expressions of EOL disclosure in clinical practice are unclear. This study aims to investigate the expressions used in EOL disclosures and explore their associated factors.
Methods
A retrospective chart review was conducted enrolling all the patients who died in a university-affiliated hospital. Expressions used in the EOL disclosure were qualitatively analyzed. The patients’ participation rate and length from the discussion to death were investigated.
Results
EOL disclosures were observed in 341 of 358 patients. The expressions used by the physicians were categorized into 4 groups; Group 1: Clear presentation of life expectancy (n = 106; 31.1%), Group 2: Euphemistic presentation of life expectancy (n = 24; 7.0%), Group 3: Presentation of risk of sudden death (n = 147; 43.1%), Group 4: No mention on life expectancy (n = 64; 18.8%). The proportion of male patients was higher in Group 2 (79%) and lower in Group 4 (56%). Patients with cancer accounted for approximately 70% of Groups 1 and 4, but only approximately 30% of Group 3. The patient participation rate was highest in Group4 (84.4%), followed by Group 2 (50.0%). The median time from EOL disclosure to death was longer in Groups 1 and 4 (26 and 29.5 days, respectively), compared to Groups 2 and 3 (18.5 and 16 days, respectively).
Significance of results
A variety of expressions are used in EOL disclosure. Patterns of communication are influenced by patients’ gender and type of illness (cancer or noncancer). Euphemisms do not seem to facilitate timely disclosure of life expectancy or patient participation. For health professionals, not only devising the expressions to alleviate their patients’ distress when breaking bad news but also considering the communication process and patient background are essential.
To investigate the effects of combination therapy with and without batroxobin, and the frequency of batroxobin use on the prognosis of profound sudden sensorineural hearing loss.
Methods
Hearing recovery in the batroxobin group (231 patients) and non-batroxobin group (56 patients) was compared. The correlation between the number of times batroxobin was used and hearing recovery was analysed.
Results
The decrease in hearing threshold and overall improvement rate in the batroxobin group with hearing loss exceeding 100 dB HL was significantly higher than that in the non-batroxobin group. There was no linear correlation between the number of times batroxobin was used and the overall improvement rate. Using batroxobin two to three times achieved a therapeutic effectiveness plateau.
Conclusion
Batroxobin can improve the efficacy of combination therapy for profound sudden sensorineural hearing loss exceeding 100 dB HL, and using batroxobin two to three times yields the maximum overall improvement rate.