Lajos Takács was born in Maglód, Hungary, on 21 August 1924. It was in this small town, 16 miles from Budapest, that he attended elementary school. He showed an early fascination with numbers, and worked on personal projects such as predicting the weight of the apricot harvest from 12 trees in the garden of the family home, by counting the buds on one tree in the spring.

In this paper we find new bounds for the reliability of coherent systems of independent components with increasing failure rate average (IFRA) lifetimes. These bounds are based on certain bounds available for the survival functions of IFRA random variables and the fact that the IFRA class of life distributions is closed under the formation of coherent systems. These bounds are compared with other applicable bounds in this case. An illustration of explicit computations of the bounds is provided for the bridge structure with components having independent gamma life distributions.

The distribution of the maximum and the extinction probability for a Markovian population is derived. Asymptotic growth is described, using the sequence of sojourn times. A regularity criterion for the processes under consideration exists under certain assumptions. For a class of processes with specific population-dependent transition rates the asymptotic behaviour is given explicitly.

In this paper, we consider the total variation distance between the distributions of two random sums SM and SN with different random summation indices M and N. We derive upper bounds, some of which are sharp. Further, bounds with so-called magic factors are possible. Better results are possible when M and N are stochastically or stop-loss ordered. It turns out that the solution of this approximation problem strongly depends on how many of the first moments of M and N coincide. As approximations, we therefore choose suitable finite signed measures, which coincide with the distribution of the approximating random sum SN if M and N have the same first moments.

We find the first-hit distributions of symmetric randomized random walks on ℝ with exponential lifetime using prediction formulas for Gaussian stationary autoregressive processes, associated with the random walks.

We study the phenomenon of entrainment in processor sharing networks, whereby, while individual network resources have sufficient capacity to meet demand, the requirement for simultaneous availability of resources means that a network may nevertheless be unstable. We show that instability occurs through poor control, and that, for a variety of network topologies, only small modifications to controls are required in order to ensure stability. For controls which possess a natural monotonicity property, we give some new results for the classification of the corresponding Markov processes, which lead to conditions both for stability and for instability.

Consider Wald's sequential probability ratio test for deciding whether a sequence of independent and identically distributed observations comes from a specified phase-type distribution or from an exponentially tilted alternative distribution. Exact decision boundaries for given type-I and type-II errors are derived by establishing a link with ruin theory. Information on the mean sample size of the test can be retrieved as well. The approach relies on the use of matrix-valued scale functions associated with a certain one-sided Markov additive process. By suitable transformations, the results also apply to other types of distributions, including some distributions with regularly varying tails.

We introduce multivariate partial orderings related with the Palm and time-stationary probabilities of a point process. Using these orderings, we give conditions for the monotonicity of a random sequence, with respect to some integral stochastic ordering, to be inherited with a continuous time process in which this sequence is imbedded. This type of inheritance is also discussed for the property of association.

In this paper we study the functional central limit theorem (CLT) for stationary Markov chains with a self-adjoint operator and general state space. We investigate the case when the variance of the partial sum is not asymptotically linear in n, and establish that conditional convergence in distribution of partial sums implies the functional CLT. The main tools are maximal inequalities that are further exploited to derive conditions for tightness and convergence to the Brownian motion.

We give a simple conceptual proof of the consistency of a test for multivariate uniformity in a bounded set K ⊂ ℝd that is based on the maximal spacing generated by independent and identically distributed points X1, . . ., Xn in K, i.e. the volume of the largest convex set of a given shape that is contained in K and avoids each of these points. Since asymptotic results for the d > 1 case are only availabe under uniformity, a key element of the proof is a suitable coupling. The proof is general enough to cover the case of testing for uniformity on compact Riemannian manifolds with spacings defined by geodesic balls.

We investigate the limit distributions associated with cost measures in Sattolo's algorithm for generating random cyclic permutations. The number of moves made by an element turns out to be a mixture of 1 and 1 plus a geometric distribution with parameter ½, where the mixing probability is the limiting ratio of the rank of the element being moved to the size of the permutation. On the other hand, the raw distance traveled by an element to its final destination does not converge in distribution without norming. Linearly scaled, the distance converges to a mixture of a uniform and a shifted product of a pair of independent uniforms. The results are obtained via randomization as a transform, followed by derandomization as an inverse transform. The work extends analysis by Prodinger.

We study the conditions for unimodality of the lifetime distribution of a coherent system when the ordered component lifetimes in the system are described by generalized order statistics. Results for systems with independent and identically distributed lifetimes of components are included in this setting. The findings are illustrated with some examples for different types of systems. In particular, coherent systems with strictly bimodal density functions are presented in the case of independent standard uniform distributed lifetimes of components. Furthermore, we use the results to derive a sharp upper bound on the expected system lifetime in terms of the mean and the standard deviation of the underlying distribution.

Following Baurdoux and Kyprianou (2008) we consider the McKean stochastic game, a game version of the McKean optimal stopping problem (American put), driven by a spectrally negative Lévy process. We improve their characterisation of a saddle point for this game when the driving process has a Gaussian component and negative jumps. In particular, we show that the exercise region of the minimiser consists of a singleton when the penalty parameter is larger than some threshold and ‘thickens’ to a full interval when the penalty parameter drops below this threshold. Expressions in terms of scale functions for the general case and in terms of polynomials for a specific jump diffusion case are provided.

Invariant integrals of a Lotka-Volterra system with infinitely many species are introduced. The values of these integrals are given by the probabilities of certain configurations of random points on a circle when the probability density on the circle satisfies a certain symmetry condition.

The multihit–one target model induces a stochastic ordering of cell survival with respect to the cell sensitivity characteristics. This property can be used for a description of cell killing effects in heterogeneous populations of cells on the basis of randomized versions of the model. In such versions, either the critical number of lesions or the mean number of hits per unit dose (sensitivity), or both, are assumed to be random. We give some new results specifying conditions under which the randomized multihit models are identifiable, with a focus on the following cases: (1) the critical number of radiation-induced lesions, m, is random; (2) the sensitivity parameter, x, is random given m is known or otherwise; (3) x and m form a pair of independent random variables.

A two-dimensional Poisson cluster point process is formulated by the use of a probability generating functional. Moment measures of both the cluster centre and member processes are discussed. An example is provided, and the magnitude frequency law is proved in this case.

The probability of attaining a goal structure in a partially stochastic manpower model is discussed in relation to the position of the structure described in Euclidean space. It is found that, within the regions of structures attainable with non-zero probability, the probabilities decrease on lines emanating from the structure attainable with probability 1.

In this paper we define a family of preferential attachment models for random graphs with fitness in the following way: independently for each node, at each time step a random fitness is drawn according to the position of a moving average process with positive increments. We will define two regimes in which our graph reproduces some features of two well-known preferential attachment models: the Bianconi–Barabási and Barabási–Albert models. We will discuss a few conjectures on these models, including the convergence of the degree sequence and the appearance of Bose–Einstein condensation in the network when the drift of the fitness process has order comparable to the graph size.

We consider a continuous, infinitely divisible random field in ℝd, d = 1, 2, 3, given as an integral of a kernel function with respect to a Lévy basis with convolution equivalent Lévy measure. For a large class of such random fields, we compute the asymptotic probability that the excursion set at level x contains some rotation of an object with fixed radius as x → ∞. Our main result is that the asymptotic probability is equivalent to the right tail of the underlying Lévy measure.

Assuming that the original observation from a discrete distribution is subject to damage according to a binomial probability law, it is shown here that a class of discrete distributions consisting of binomial, Poisson and mixed Poisson distributions, is characterized by the generalized Rao–Rubin condition 0 <π, π′ < 1 are constants. Y denotes the resulting or observed random variable, taking the values r = 0, 1, 2, ….